Wrexham
6/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Wrexham’s results
FA CupRound of 16THE MATCH CENTREWrexham vs Chelsea match centre
125′ · Live
2:4
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. Smith18′
C. Doyle78′
A. Okonkwo40′ (og)
J. Acheampong82′
A. Garnacho96′
Joao Pedro120+5′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
125′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Wrexham
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%Chelsea
Another goal7.2%before full time
Next goal: Wrexham 2.5% · no further goal 92.8% · Chelsea 4.8%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.WrexhamChelsea
2.290Expected goals · API-Football2.490
5Shots on target6
19Total Shots20
32%Ball Possession68%
9Corner Kicks4
11Fouls6
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves2
447Total passes1000
352Passes accurate916
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Round of 16Wrexham 2–4 Chelsea
→Current progressionChelsea
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Wrexham 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Chelsea 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Chelsea
6/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Chelsea’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Wrexham
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CharltonAway · Championship1–0PortsmouthHome · Championship2–1IpswichHome · Championship5–3Bristol CityAway · Championship2–2IpswichHome · FA Cup1–0MillwallHome · Championship0–2Sheffield WednesdayAway · Championship1–0QPRAway · Championship3–2LeicesterHome · Championship1–1NorwichHome · Championship1–2
Chelsea
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.4
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Aston VillaAway · Premier League4–1ArsenalAway · Premier League1–2BurnleyHome · Premier League1–1Hull CityAway · FA Cup4–0LeedsHome · Premier League2–2WolvesAway · Premier League3–1ArsenalAway · League Cup0–1West HamHome · Premier League3–2NapoliAway · UEFA Champions League3–2Crystal PalaceAway · Premier League3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Wrexham at home with Chelsea away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:15 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
FA Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches
WrexhamChelsea
2Matches played2
6Points earned6
2Wins2
2.5Goals scored / match4.5
1.5Goals conceded / match0.5
1Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Wrexham at home with Chelsea away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Wrexham
Confirmed formation3-4-3Phil Parkinson
- 1
A. OkonkwoG - 4
M. CleworthD - 5
D. HyamD - 2
C. DoyleD - 47
R. LongmanM - 26
Z. VynerM - 15
G. DobsonM - 14
G. ThomasonM - 20
O. RathboneF - 28
S. SmithF - 27
L. O'BrienF
Substitutes (9)
21 · D. Ward
16 · J. Rodriguez
10 · J. Windass
33 · N. Broadhead
29 · R. Barnett
3 · L. Brunt
19 · K. Moore
24 · D. Scarr
7 · D. Keillor-Dunn
Chelsea
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Liam Rosenior
- 1
R. SanchezG - 19
M. SarrD - 4
T. AdarabioyoD - 5
B. BadiashileD - 34
J. AcheampongM - 17
Andrey SantosM - 45
R. LaviaM - 21
J. HatoM - 7
P. NetoF - 49
A. GarnachoF - 9
L. DelapF
Substitutes (9)
28 · T. Sharman-Lowe
23 · T. Chalobah
24 · R. James
20 · Joao Pedro
27 · M. Gusto
38 · M. Guiu
3 · M. Cucurella
14 · D. Essugo
55 · J. Derry
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Wrexham
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Okonkwo | 120 | 5.2 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Max Cleworth | 112 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 30 | 2 |
| Dominic Hyam | 120 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 2 |
| Callum Doyle | 105 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 72 | 3 |
| Ryan Longman | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 2 |
| Zak Vyner | 76 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 2 |
| George Dobson | 93 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 46 | 4 |
| George Thomason | 120 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 40 | 1 |
| Oliver Rathbone | 66 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Sam Smith | 66 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Lewis O'Brien | 120 | 8.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 42 | 9 |
| Josh Windass | 54 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 2 | 29 | — |
| Kieffer Moore | 54 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 |
| Nathan Broadhead | 44 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Ryan Barnett | 30 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Lewis Brunt | 15 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Davis Keillor-Dunn | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Danny Ward | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dan Scarr | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jay Rodriguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Chelsea
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Sánchez | 120 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 76 | — |
| Mamadou Sarr | 58 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 80 | — |
| Tosin Adarabioyo | 120 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 151 | 1 |
| Benoît Badiashile | 120 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 126 | 2 |
| Josh Acheampong | 85 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 54 | — |
| Andrey Santos | 120 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 117 | 3 |
| Roméo Lavia | 65 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 71 | — |
| Jorrel Hato | 65 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 27 | 1 |
| Pedro Neto | 100 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 80 | 1 |
| Alejandro Garnacho | 120 | 8.5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 46 | 1 |
| Liam Delap | 85 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Marc Guiu | 62 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Marc Cucurella | 55 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Dário Essugo | 55 | 7.3 | — | 2 | 1 | 55 | — |
| Malo Gusto | 35 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| João Pedro | 35 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | — |
| Jesse Derry | 20 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Teddy Sharman-Lowe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trevoh Chalobah | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reece James | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗FA Cup table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
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AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
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