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Rapid Vienna vs Sturm Graz match centre

Rapid Vienna badgeRapid ViennaHome · 5 in league
WDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising89/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Sturm Graz badgeSturm GrazAway · 2 in league
WDWWD
Momentum↑ Strong71/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Vallci13′
S. Jatta52′
Allianz Stadion · ViennaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%Rapid Vienna
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Sturm Graz
Another goal8.0%before full time

Next goal: Rapid Vienna 3.2% · no further goal 92.0% · Sturm Graz 4.8%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Rapid ViennaSturm Graz
4Corner Kicks8
10Fouls14
4Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves0
452Total passes238
384Passes accurate158

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Bundesliga , Championship Round

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Sturm Graz33+1840↑ 1
2Lask Linz32+1439↓ 1
3Red Bull Salzburg32+1529—
4Austria Vienna32-529—
5Rapid Vienna33-727—
6TSV Hartberg32025—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Rapid Vienna 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Sturm Graz 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Rapid Vienna

6/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Rapid Vienna’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Sturm Graz

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Sturm Graz’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Rapid Vienna at home with Sturm Graz away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Rapid ViennaSturm Graz
24Matches played24
39Points earned42
11Wins13
1.3Goals scored / match1.7
1.2Goals conceded / match1.3
7Clean sheets9
4Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Rapid Vienna at home with Sturm Graz away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Rapid Vienna

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Johannes Thorup
  1. 1N. HedlG
  2. 55N. CvetkovicD
  3. 6S. Raux YaoD
  4. 20A. AhoussouD
  5. 77B. BollaM
  6. 18M. SeidlM
  7. 29R. AmaneM
  8. 17T. GulliksenM
  9. 15N. WurmbrandF
  10. 90J. AntisteF
  11. 26A. WeimannF
Substitutes (9)

25 · P. Gartler

22 · Y. Demir

10 · P. Dahl

61 · F. Demir

44 · L. Szladits

47 · A. Groller

8 · L. Grgic

9 · E. Kara

7 · M. Tilio

Sturm Graz

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Fabio Ingolitsch
  1. 53D. KhudyakovG
  2. 5A. VallciD
  3. 2J. MitchellD
  4. 30P. KollerD
  5. 22J. GazibegovicM
  6. 4J. Gorenc StankovicM
  7. 39L. WeinhandlM
  8. 43J. HodlM
  9. 8F. Rozga
  10. 15G. MamageishviliF
  11. 20S. JattaF
Substitutes (9)

40 · M. Bignetti

10 · O. Kiteishvili

17 · E. Karic

77 · M. Malone

80 · R. Fosso

25 · S. Hierlander

47 · E. Aiwu

9 · R. Wilson

23 · A. Malic

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Rapid Vienna

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Niklas Hedl906.3—0—42—
Nenad Cvetković907.5—0—774
Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao906.5—0—693
Kouadio Ange Ahoussou716.3—01323
Bendegúz Bolla906.9—0161—
Matthias Seidl907.0—0—564
Romeo Amane907.6—0—531
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen576.3—0—151
Nikolaus Wurmbrand716.9—0—131
Janis Antiste717.2—0—182
Andreas Weimann906.5—0—15—
Petter Nosakhare Dahl336.5—0—71
Ercan Kara196.7—0———
Yusuf Demir196.5—0151
Marco Tilio196.2—012—
Paul Gartler———————
Amin Gröller———————
Lukas Grgić———————
Lorenz Szladits———————
Furkan Demir———————

Sturm Graz

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Daniil Khudyakov906.7—0—30—
Albert Vallci907.710128—
Jeyland Mitchell907.5—0—152
Paul-Friedrich Koller906.9—0—27—
Jusuf Gazibegović596.6—0—15—
Jon Gorenc Stanković906.6—01281
Luca Weinhandl907.0—02321
Jacob Hödl736.3—02142
Filip Rózga816.9—0—113
Gizo Mamageishvili735.9—01101
Seedy Jatta737.01029—
Arjan Malić317.2—0—62
Maurice Malone176.5—0—2—
Otar Kiteishvili176.5—016—
Ryan Fosso176.3—0—31
Stefan Hierländer96.7—0—2—
Emanuel Aiwu———————
Emir Karić———————
Matteo Bignetti———————
Rory Wilson———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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