Southampton
7/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Southampton’s results
FA CupQuarter-finalsTHE MATCH CENTRESouthampton vs Arsenal match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. Stewart35′
S. Charles85′
V. Gyokeres68′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.0%Southampton
Draw4.8%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Arsenal
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Southampton 3.2% · no further goal 91.8% · Arsenal 5.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.SouthamptonArsenal
0.800Expected goals · API-Football2.100
3Shots on target7
7Total Shots21
36%Ball Possession64%
3Corner Kicks9
8Fouls11
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
5Goalkeeper Saves1
291Total passes507
233Passes accurate453
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Quarter-finalsSouthampton 2–1 Arsenal
→Current progressionSouthampton
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Southampton 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Arsenal 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Arsenal
7/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Arsenal’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Southampton
10 matchesResults7 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Arsenal
10 matchesResults7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Manchester CityHome · League Cup0–2Bayer LeverkusenHome · UEFA Champions League2–0EvertonHome · Premier League2–0Bayer LeverkusenAway · UEFA Champions League1–1Mansfield TownAway · FA Cup2–1BrightonAway · Premier League1–0ChelseaHome · Premier League2–1TottenhamAway · Premier League4–1WolvesAway · Premier League2–2WiganHome · FA Cup4–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Southampton at home with Arsenal away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:04 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
FA Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches
SouthamptonArsenal
3Matches played3
9Points earned9
3Wins3
2.0Goals scored / match3.3
1.0Goals conceded / match0.7
1Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Southampton at home with Arsenal away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Southampton
Confirmed formationPending
- 41
D. PeretzG - 14
J. BreeD - 6
T. Harwood-BellisD - 15
N. WoodD - 3
R. ManningD - 48
C. BraggM - 20
C. JanderM - 18
T. FellowsM - 10
F. AzazM - 13
L. ScienzaM - 11
R. StewartF
Substitutes (9)
25 · G. Long
28 · O. Romeu
9 · C. Larin
24 · S. Charles
46 · J. Robinson
49 · N. Oyekunle
19 · C. Archer
23 · S. Edozie
17 · J. Quarshie
Arsenal
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mikel Arteta
- 13
K. ArrizabalagaG - 4
B. WhiteD - 3
C. MosqueraD - 6
GabrielD - 49
M. Lewis-SkellyD - 8
M. OdegaardM - 16
C. NorgaardM - 56
M. DowmanM - 29
K. HavertzM - 11
G. MartinelliM - 9
Gabriel JesusF
Substitutes (9)
1 · D. Raya
14 · V. Gyökeres
20 · N. Madueke
2 · W. Saliba
36 · M. Zubimendi
71 · A. Harriman-Annous
89 · M. Salmon
33 · R. Calafiori
76 · C. O'Neill
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Southampton
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Peretz | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 35 | — |
| James Bree | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Taylor Harwood-Bellis | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Nathan Wood | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | — |
| Ryan Manning | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 4 |
| Cameron Bragg | 76 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Caspar Jander | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 3 |
| Tom Fellows | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 16 | 2 |
| Finn Azaz | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Leo Scienza | 71 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Ross Stewart | 70 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | — |
| Cyle Larin | 20 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Samuel Edozie | 19 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Shea Charles | 14 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Joshua Quarshie | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| George Long | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Oyekunle | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oriol Romeu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jay Robinson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cameron Archer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Arsenal
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kepa Arrizabalaga | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Ben White | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 62 | — |
| Cristhian Mosquera | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 70 | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | 72 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 1 |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly | 60 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Martin Ødegaard | 61 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 52 | — |
| Christian Nørgaard | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 76 | 3 |
| Max Dowman | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 3 | 37 | 1 |
| Kai Havertz | 79 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | 33 | — |
| Gabriel Martinelli | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 24 | 1 |
| Gabriel Jesus | 60 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1 |
| Riccardo Calafiori | 30 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Viktor Gyökeres | 30 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Noni Madueke | 29 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| William Saliba | 18 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | 11 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Marli Salmon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Raya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andre Harriman-Annous | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ceadach O'Neill | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗FA Cup table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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