Bayer Leverkusen
5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Bayer Leverkusen’s results
UEFA Champions LeagueRound of 16THE MATCH CENTREBayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
R. Andrich46′
K. Havertz89′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.0%Bayer Leverkusen
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.5%Arsenal
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Bayer Leverkusen 4.1% · no further goal 92.3% · Arsenal 3.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Bayer LeverkusenArsenal
0.880Expected goals · API-Football1.650
3Shots on target2
10Total Shots6
45%Ball Possession55%
2Corner Kicks2
9Fouls8
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
426Total passes519
373Passes accurate454
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
UEFA Champions LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | +19 | 25 | — |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 8 | +14 | 21 | — |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 8 | +12 | 18 | — |
| 4 |  Tottenham | 8 | +10 | 17 | — |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 8 | +8 | 16 | — |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 8 | +7 | 16 | — |
| 7 |  Sporting CP | 8 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 8 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 9 |  Real Madrid | 8 | +9 | 15 | — |
| 10 |  Inter | 8 | +8 | 15 | — |
| 11 |  Paris Saint Germain | 8 | +10 | 14 | — |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | +10 | 14 | — |
| 13 |  Juventus | 8 | +4 | 13 | — |
| 14 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | +2 | 13 | — |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 8 | 0 | 13 | — |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | -1 | 13 | — |
| 17 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | +2 | 11 | — |
| 18 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | -4 | 11 | — |
| 19 |  Club Brugge KV | 8 | -2 | 10 | — |
| 20 |  Galatasaray | 8 | -2 | 10 | — |
| 21 |  Monaco | 8 | -6 | 10 | — |
| 22 |  Qarabag | 8 | -8 | 10 | — |
| 23 |  Bodo/Glimt | 8 | -1 | 9 | — |
| 24 |  Benfica | 8 | -2 | 9 | — |
| 25 |  Marseille | 8 | -3 | 9 | — |
| 26 |  Pafos | 8 | -3 | 9 | — |
| 27 |  Union St. Gilloise | 8 | -9 | 9 | — |
| 28 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 0 | 8 | — |
| 29 |  Athletic Club | 8 | -5 | 8 | — |
| 30 |  Napoli | 8 | -6 | 8 | — |
| 31 |  FC Copenhagen | 8 | -9 | 8 | — |
| 32 |  Ajax | 8 | -13 | 6 | — |
| 33 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | -11 | 4 | — |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 8 | -14 | 3 | — |
| 35 |  Villarreal | 8 | -13 | 1 | — |
| 36 |  Kairat Almaty | 8 | -15 | 1 | — |
Round of 16Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Arsenal
→Current progressionLevel
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bayer Leverkusen 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Arsenal 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Arsenal
8/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Arsenal’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bayer Leverkusen
10 matchesResults5 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga3–3FSV Mainz 05Home · Bundesliga1–1Olympiakos PiraeusHome · UEFA Champions League0–0Union BerlinAway · Bundesliga0–1Olympiakos PiraeusAway · UEFA Champions League2–0FC St. PauliHome · Bundesliga4–0Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Bundesliga1–1FC St. PauliHome · DFB Pokal3–0Eintracht FrankfurtAway · Bundesliga3–1VillarrealHome · UEFA Champions League3–0
Arsenal
10 matchesResults8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.4
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Mansfield TownAway · FA Cup2–1BrightonAway · Premier League1–0ChelseaHome · Premier League2–1TottenhamAway · Premier League4–1WolvesAway · Premier League2–2WiganHome · FA Cup4–0BrentfordAway · Premier League1–1SunderlandHome · Premier League3–0ChelseaHome · League Cup1–0LeedsAway · Premier League4–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayer Leverkusen at home with Arsenal away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:22 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Champions League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Bayer LeverkusenArsenal
10Matches played8
16Points earned24
4Wins8
1.5Goals scored / match2.9
1.4Goals conceded / match0.6
5Clean sheets5
2Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayer Leverkusen at home with Arsenal away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bayer Leverkusen
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Kasper Hjulmand
- 28
J. BlaswichG - 4
J. QuansahD - 8
R. AndrichD - 12
E. TapsobaD - 19
E. PokuM - 25
E. PalaciosM - 24
A. GarciaM - 20
A. GrimaldoM - 11
M. TerrierF - 30
I. MazaF - 35
C. KofaneF
Substitutes (9)
18 · J. Omlin
36 · N. Lomb
14 · P. Schick
6 · E. Fernandez
15 · T. Oermann
7 · J. Hofmann
10 · M. Tillman
42 · M. Culbreath
16 · A. Tape
Arsenal
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mikel Arteta
- 1
D. RayaG - 12
J. TimberD - 2
W. SalibaD - 6
GabrielD - 5
P. HincapieD - 36
M. ZubimendiM - 41
D. RiceM - 7
B. SakaM - 10
E. EzeM - 11
G. MartinelliM - 14
V. GyökeresF
Substitutes (12)
13 · K. Arrizabalaga
79 · K. Ranson
9 · Gabriel Jesus
4 · B. White
29 · K. Havertz
20 · N. Madueke
49 · M. Lewis-Skelly
3 · C. Mosquera
56 · M. Dowman
89 · M. Salmon
16 · C. Norgaard
33 · R. Calafiori
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Janis Blaswich | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Jarell Quansah | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Robert Andrich | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 40 | — |
| Edmond Tapsoba | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 74 | 2 |
| Ernest Poku | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Exequiel Palacios | 82 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 68 | 5 |
| Aleix García | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 77 | — |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 49 | 3 |
| Martin Terrier | 82 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | — |
| Ibrahim Maza | 74 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 22 | 1 |
| Christian Kofane | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Malik Tillman | 16 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Ezequiel Fernández | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Jonas Hofmann | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Jonas Omlin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niklas Lomb | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Axel Tape | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Oermann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Montrell Culbreath | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrik Schick | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Arsenal
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Raya | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Jurriën Timber | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 1 |
| William Saliba | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 86 | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 1 |
| Piero Hincapié | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 1 |
| Declan Rice | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 76 | — |
| Bukayo Saka | 60 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Eberechi Eze | 82 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Gabriel Martinelli | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 27 | — |
| Viktor Gyökeres | 74 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Noni Madueke | 30 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 1 |
| Kai Havertz | 16 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Gabriel Jesus | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Kepa Arrizabalaga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khari Ranson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristhian Mosquera | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben White | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Calafiori | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marli Salmon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Nørgaard | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Dowman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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