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Al Ahly vs Smouha SC match centre

Al Ahly badgeAl AhlyHome · 3 in league
WLLLD
Momentum↓ Low23/100OlderLatest
28′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Smouha SC badgeSmouha SCAway · 6 in league
LLWWL
Momentum→ Steady43/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Trezeguet24′
Al Salam Stadium · CairoSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

28′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate66.3%Al Ahly
Draw22.5%at full time
Current result estimate11.2%Smouha SC
Another goal79.9%before full time

Next goal: Al Ahly 38.8% · no further goal 20.1% · Smouha SC 41.1%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Al AhlySmouha SC
1Corner Kicks0
3Fouls1
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves0
158Total passes65
140Passes accurate47

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Premier League: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Zamalek SC20+1943—
2Pyramids FC20+1843—
3Al Ahly21+1543—
4Ceramica Cleopatra20+1338—
5AL Masry20+932—
6Smouha SC21+731—
7Enppi20+430—
8Masr20+529↑ 1
9Wadi Degla20+329↓ 1
10El Gouna FC20+128—
11National Bank of Egypt20+426—
12Petrojet20-225—
13Future FC20-623—
14El Geish20-1022—
15Al Ittihad20-920—
16Ghazl El Mehalla20-319—
17El Mokawloon20-818—
18Haras El Hodood20-1417—
19Kahraba Ismailia20-1516—
20Pharco20-1415—
21Ismaily SC20-1711—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Al Ahly 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Smouha SC 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Al Ahly

4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Al Ahly’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Smouha SC

5/9Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Smouha SC’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Al Ahly at home with Smouha SC away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:34 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Premier League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Al AhlySmouha SC
21Matches played21
41Points earned31
11Wins8
1.6Goals scored / match1.0
1.0Goals conceded / match0.7
6Clean sheets7
3Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Al Ahly at home with Smouha SC away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Al Ahly

Confirmed formationPendingJess Thorup

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

Smouha SC

Confirmed formationPendingAhmed Abdelaziz

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Al Ahly

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mostafa Shobeir907.3—0—271
Mohamed Hany907.9—1—672
Yasser Ibrahim906.5—0—49—
Yassin Marei837.3—0—452
Youssef Belammari906.6—0—49—
Hussein El Shahat907.5—01331
Emam Ashour656.7—0238—
Marwan Attia907.3—0268—
Mahmoud Trézéguet907.2103422
Zizo657.0—1—271
Mohamed Sherif566.2—0—7—
Marwan Osman346.2—0—3—
Achraf Bencharki256.7—0—17—
Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane256.9—0—21—
Taher Mohamed137.710110—
Hamza Alaa———————
Hady Reyad———————
Aliou Dieng———————
Ahmed Eid———————
Ahmed Ramadan———————

Smouha SC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ahmed Mayhoub906.5—0—25—
Hesham Hafez906.9—0—224
Mohamed Ragab906.3—0—232
Mido Mostafa906.2—0—162
Abdel Rahman Amer566.7—0—92
Samadou Attidjikou836.9—01263
Samuel Amadi667.910219—
Khaled El Ghandour907.2—02251
Amr El Sisi836.6—01181
Samir Fekri836.9—02141
Hossam Ashraf906.2—1217—
Sherif Reda346.3—0—11
Youssef Afifi246.5—0—4—
Mohamed Kone136.3—0———
Mohamed Saeed136.7—0—3—
Ahmed Fawzi136.5—0—3—
Ahmed Khaled———————
El-Hani Soliman———————
Abdo Yehia———————
Ahmed Awad———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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