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Pafos vs Apollon Limassol match centre

Pafos badgePafosHome · 4 in league
WDDWW
Momentum↗ Rising75/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Apollon Limassol badgeApollon LimassolAway · 3 in league
WWDWD
Momentum→ Steady69/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
D. Quina15′
I. Ljubic35′
Stelios Kyriakidis · PaphosSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate3.8%Pafos
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.8%Apollon Limassol
Another goal7.7%before full time

Next goal: Pafos 3.8% · no further goal 92.3% · Apollon Limassol 3.8%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
PafosApollon Limassol
2Corner Kicks8
11Fouls10
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
324Total passes376
251Passes accurate321

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

1-division: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Omonia Nicosia26+4661—
2Apollon Limassol27+1454↑ 1
3AEK Larnaca26+2753↓ 1
4Pafos27+2952—
5Apoel Nicosia26+1845—
6Aris26+2243—
7Omonia Aradippou26-834—
8AEL26-733—
9Anorthosis26-1032—
10Krasava Ypsonas26-1028—
11Olympiakos26-1528—
12Akritas26-2526—
13Ethnikos Achna26-1923—
14Enosis26-621—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Pafos 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Apollon Limassol 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Pafos

6/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Pafos’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Apollon Limassol

7/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Apollon Limassol’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Pafos at home with Apollon Limassol away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:58 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

1. Division · 2025/26 · all league matches

PafosApollon Limassol
26Matches played26
51Points earned53
16Wins16
2.1Goals scored / match1.4
1.0Goals conceded / match0.8
13Clean sheets13
3Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Pafos at home with Apollon Limassol away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Pafos

Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Albert Celades
  1. 1J. GorterG
  2. 23D. LuckassenD
  3. 4David LuizD
  4. 14N. IoannouD
  5. 7BrunoM
  6. 26I. SunjicM
  7. 77J. CorreiaM
  8. 17M. OrsicM
  9. 88PepeM
  10. 8D. QuinaF
  11. 33Anderson SilvaF
Substitutes (12)

99 · A. Papadoudis

19 · A. Guessand

2 · K. Pileas

21 · O. Mimovic

50 · A. Brito

80 · Dani Silva

30 · V. Dragomir

12 · K. Sema

20 · W. Odefalk

11 · Jaja

9 · M. Bassouamina

93 · N. Michail

Apollon Limassol

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Hernan Losada
  1. 22P. KuhnG
  2. 76B. GasparD
  3. 4Z. AdoniD
  4. 44J. KvidaD
  5. 8J. ZmrhalD
  6. 5M. BrownM
  7. 77I. LjubicM
  8. 10G. RodriguesM
  9. 27G. WeissbeckM
  10. 23B. ThomasM
  11. 43P. MarquesF
Substitutes (11)

41 · P. Leeuwenburgh

31 · K. Stylianou

14 · G. Malekkidis

26 · A. Shikkis

91 · I. Polyviou

20 · D. Spoljaric

45 · A. Vrikkis

50 · L. Markovic

12 · G. Assuncao

30 · D. Escriche

89 · R. Rotis

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Pafos

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jay Gorter906.500—200
Derrick Luckassen906.300—591
David Luiz906.900—280
Nicholas Ioannou906.000—270
Bruno906.9001320
Ivan Šunjić906.700—231
João Correia906.3001110
Mislav Oršić606.6001170
Pêpê906.900—530
Domingos Quina797.2101220
Anderson Silva906.700—210
Vlad Dragomir386.300170
Ken Sema206.300—20
Dani Silva6—00—10
Mons Bassouamina6—00—10

Apollon Limassol

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Philipp Kühn907.000—270
Bruno Gaspar806.900—230
Zacharias Adoni906.900—430
Josef Kvida906.900—401
Jaromír Zmrhal486.600—210
Morgan Brown907.0001341
Ivan Ljubić907.9101480
Garry Rodrigues907.7002280
Gaetan Weissbeck907.300—392
Brandon Thomas716.2001291
Pedro Marques906.7001130
Giorgos Malekkidis517.3001190
Dani Escriche276.300130
Antreas Shikkis186.700170
Agapios Vrikkis5—00—20
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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