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Independiente Medellin vs Flamengo match centre

Independiente Medellin badgeIndependiente MedellinHome · 3 in league
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Flamengo badgeFlamengoAway · 1 in league
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Estadio Atanasio Girardot · MedellinSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

10′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate30.2%Independiente Medellin
Draw32.6%at full time
Current result estimate37.2%Flamengo
Another goal83.8%before full time

Next goal: Independiente Medellin 38.9% · no further goal 16.2% · Flamengo 44.9%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Independiente MedellinFlamengo
—Corner Kicks—
0Fouls0
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
7Total passes9
6Passes accurate8

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Group A

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Flamengo7+1217—
2Estudiantes L.P.6+19—
3Independiente Medellin7-58—
4Cusco6-81—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Independiente Medellin 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Flamengo 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Flamengo

6/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Flamengo’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Independiente Medellin at home with Flamengo away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 5 Oct, 08:40 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2026/27 · all league matches

Independiente MedellinFlamengo
6Matches played3
9Points earned7
2Wins2
1.2Goals scored / match2.3
1.4Goals conceded / match0.7
1Clean sheets1
1Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Independiente Medellin at home with Flamengo away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

1 recorded meetings

Independiente Medellin

0wins
0 draws

Flamengo

1wins

Apr 2026 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Independiente Medellin first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Awaiting lineups

The provider has not published confirmed XIs for this fixture yet. We are continuing to check.

Independiente Medellin

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

Flamengo

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Independiente Medellin

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Eder Chaux5——————
Esneyder Mena5——————
Léyser Chaverra5————1—
José Ortiz5——————
Daniel Londoño5——————
Didier Moreno5————1—
Halam Loboa5——————
Alexis Serna5————1—
Yony González5————1—
Francisco Fydriszewski5————3—
Frank Fabra5——————
Salvador Ichazo———————
Luis Escorcia———————
Málcom Palacios———————
Hayen Palacios———————
Daniel Cataño———————
Francisco Chaverra———————
Baldomero Perlaza———————
Diego Moreno———————
John Edwin Montaño———————
Geronimo Mancilla———————
Andrés Dávila———————

Flamengo

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Agustín Rossi5——————
Emerson Royal5————1—
Danilo5——————
Léo Pereira5————1—
Alex Sandro5——————
Evertton Araujo5——————
Jorginho5————2—
Luiz Araújo5———1——
Jorge Carrascal5————2—
Samuel Lino5————1—
Bruno Henrique5————2—
Andrew———————
Dyogo Alves———————
Léo Ortiz———————
Guillermo Varela———————
Vitão———————
Ayrton Lucas———————
Everton———————
Gonzalo Plata———————
Nicolás de la Cruz———————
Luiz Felipe———————
Saúl Ñíguez———————
Pedro———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerIndependiente MedellinDrawFlamengo
Bet3654.753.501.80

Snapshot from 7 May 2026, 19:19 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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