Crystal Palace
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Crystal Palace’s results
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueQuarter-finalsTHE MATCH CENTRECrystal Palace vs Fiorentina match centre
90′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Mateta24′ (pen)
T. Mitchell31′
I. Sarr90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Crystal Palace
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Fiorentina
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Crystal Palace 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Fiorentina 3.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Crystal PalaceFiorentina
3.050Expected goals · API-Football0.450
5Shots on target2
16Total Shots8
52%Ball Possession48%
2Corner Kicks1
15Fouls11
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves2
438Total passes409
379Passes accurate338
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
UEFA Conference LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Strasbourg | 6 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 2 |  Raków Częstochowa | 6 | +7 | 14 | — |
| 3 | Crystal Palace | 7 | +8 | 13 | ↑ 7 |
| 4 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | +7 | 13 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  Sparta Praha | 6 | +7 | 13 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  Rayo Vallecano | 6 | +6 | 13 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | +5 | 13 | ↓ 1 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | +4 | 13 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  AEK Larnaca | 6 | +6 | 12 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Lausanne | 6 | +3 | 11 | ↓ 1 |
| 11 |  Lech Poznan | 6 | +4 | 10 | — |
| 12 |  Samsunspor | 6 | +4 | 10 | — |
| 13 |  Celje | 6 | +1 | 10 | — |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 0 | 10 | — |
| 15 |  HNK Rijeka | 6 | +3 | 9 | ↑ 1 |
| 16 |  Jagiellonia | 6 | +1 | 9 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 7 | 0 | 9 | ↓ 2 |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 6 | +1 | 8 | — |
| 19 |  FC Noah | 6 | -1 | 8 | — |
| 20 |  Drita | 6 | -4 | 8 | — |
| 21 |  KuPS | 6 | +1 | 7 | — |
| 22 |  Shkendija | 6 | -1 | 7 | — |
| 23 |  Zrinjski | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 24 |  Sigma Olomouc | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 25 |  Universitatea Craiova | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 26 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 6 | -8 | 7 | — |
| 27 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 28 |  Legia Warszawa | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 29 |  Slovan Bratislava | 6 | -4 | 6 | — |
| 30 |  Breidablik | 6 | -5 | 5 | — |
| 31 |  Shamrock Rovers | 6 | -6 | 4 | — |
| 32 |  BK Hacken | 6 | -3 | 3 | — |
| 33 |  Hamrun Spartans | 6 | -7 | 3 | — |
| 34 |  Shelbourne | 6 | -7 | 2 | — |
| 35 |  Aberdeen | 6 | -11 | 2 | — |
| 36 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | -11 | 1 | — |
Quarter-finalsCrystal Palace 3–0 Fiorentina
→Current progressionCrystal Palace
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Crystal Palace 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Fiorentina 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Fiorentina
6/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Fiorentina’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Crystal Palace
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AEK LarnacaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League1–1LeedsHome · Premier League0–0AEK LarnacaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League0–0TottenhamAway · Premier League3–1Manchester UnitedAway · Premier League1–2ZrinjskiHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–0WolvesHome · Premier League1–0ZrinjskiAway · UEFA Europa Conference League1–1BurnleyHome · Premier League2–3BrightonAway · Premier League1–0
Fiorentina
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Hellas VeronaAway · Serie A1–0InterHome · Serie A1–1Raków CzÄ™stochowaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League2–1CremoneseAway · Serie A4–1Raków CzÄ™stochowaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–1ParmaHome · Serie A0–0UdineseAway · Serie A0–3JagielloniaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League0–3PisaHome · Serie A1–0JagielloniaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League3–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Crystal Palace at home with Fiorentina away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:26 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Europa Conference League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Crystal PalaceFiorentina
12Matches played12
22Points earned24
6Wins8
1.4Goals scored / match1.9
0.7Goals conceded / match1.1
6Clean sheets4
3Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Crystal Palace at home with Fiorentina away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Crystal Palace
Confirmed formation3-4-3Oliver Glasner
- 1
D. HendersonG - 26
C. RichardsD - 5
M. LacroixD - 23
J. CanvotD - 2
D. MunozM - 20
A. WhartonM - 18
D. KamadaM - 3
T. MitchellM - 7
I. SarrF - 14
J. MatetaF - 29
E. GuessandF
Substitutes (11)
44 · W. Benitez
31 · R. Matthews
17 · N. Clyne
19 · W. Hughes
24 · B. Sosa
11 · B. Johnson
8 · J. Lerma
10 · Y. Pino
55 · J. Devenny
34 · C. Riad
59 · R. Cardines
Fiorentina
Confirmed formation4-3-3Paolo Vanoli
- 43
D. de GeaG - 2
DodoD - 5
M. PongracicD - 6
L. RanieriD - 21
R. GosensD - 80
G. FabbianM - 44
N. FagioliM - 27
C. NdourM - 17
J. HarrisonF - 91
R. PiccoliF - 10
A. GudmundssonF
Substitutes (11)
50 · P. Leonardelli
53 · O. Christensen
8 · R. Mandragora
22 · J. Fazzini
61 · R. Braschi
23 · E. Kospo
60 · E. Kouadio
62 · L. Balbo
15 · P. Comuzzo
64 · L. Deli
69 · G. Puzzoli
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Crystal Palace
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Henderson | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Chris Richards | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 47 | — |
| Maxence Lacroix | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | — |
| Jaydee Canvot | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 76 | — |
| Daniel Muñoz | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 50 | 3 |
| Adam Wharton | 89 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 70 | — |
| Daichi Kamada | 89 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 43 | 2 |
| Tyrick Mitchell | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 3 |
| Ismaïla Sarr | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 1 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 83 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| Evann Guessand | 65 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Yéremy Pino | 25 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 2 |
| Jefferson Lerma | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Brennan Johnson | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Will Hughes | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Remi Matthews | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Walter Benítez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathaniel Clyne | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borna Sosa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Devenny | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chadi Riad | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rio Cardines | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Fiorentina
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David De Gea | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Dodô | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 53 | — |
| Marin Pongračić | 82 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 64 | 1 |
| Luca Ranieri | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 1 |
| Robin Gosens | 78 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | — |
| Giovanni Fabbian | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Nicolò Fagioli | 89 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 55 | 2 |
| Cher Ndour | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 2 |
| Jack Harrison | 78 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Roberto Piccoli | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Albert Guðmundsson | 89 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 20 | — |
| Jacopo Fazzini | 12 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Luís Balbo | 12 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Pietro Comuzzo | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Rolando Mandragora | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Giorgio Puzzoli | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Pietro Leonardelli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Christensen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eman Košpo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eddy Kouadio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Braschi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lapo Deli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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