AEK Larnaca
6/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect AEK Larnaca’s results
UEFA Europa Conference LeagueRound of 16THE MATCH CENTREAEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace match centre
126′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
E. Saborit63′
I. Sarr13′
I. Sarr99′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
126′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%AEK Larnaca
Draw1.9%at full time
Current result estimate98.1%Crystal Palace
Another goal7.6%before full time
Next goal: AEK Larnaca 2.0% · no further goal 92.4% · Crystal Palace 5.7%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AEK LarnacaCrystal Palace
0.280Expected goals · API-Football3.180
3Shots on target7
6Total Shots27
30%Ball Possession70%
1Corner Kicks10
6Fouls20
2Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves2
291Total passes673
197Passes accurate597
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
UEFA Conference LeagueProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Strasbourg | 6 | +6 | 16 | — |
| 2 |  Raków Częstochowa | 6 | +7 | 14 | — |
| 3 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | +7 | 13 | — |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 6 | +7 | 13 | — |
| 5 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | +6 | 13 | ↑ 5 |
| 6 |  Rayo Vallecano | 6 | +6 | 13 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | +5 | 13 | ↓ 1 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | +4 | 13 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 | AEK Larnaca | 7 | +5 | 12 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Lausanne | 6 | +3 | 11 | ↓ 1 |
| 11 |  Lech Poznan | 6 | +4 | 10 | — |
| 12 |  Samsunspor | 6 | +4 | 10 | — |
| 13 |  Celje | 6 | +1 | 10 | — |
| 14 |  AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 0 | 10 | — |
| 15 |  Fiorentina | 6 | +3 | 9 | — |
| 16 |  HNK Rijeka | 6 | +3 | 9 | — |
| 17 |  Jagiellonia | 6 | +1 | 9 | — |
| 18 |  Omonia Nicosia | 6 | +1 | 8 | — |
| 19 |  FC Noah | 6 | -1 | 8 | — |
| 20 |  Drita | 6 | -4 | 8 | — |
| 21 |  KuPS | 6 | +1 | 7 | — |
| 22 |  Shkendija | 6 | -1 | 7 | — |
| 23 |  Zrinjski | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 24 |  Sigma Olomouc | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 25 |  Universitatea Craiova | 6 | -2 | 7 | — |
| 26 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 6 | -8 | 7 | — |
| 27 |  Dynamo Kyiv | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 28 |  Legia Warszawa | 6 | 0 | 6 | — |
| 29 |  Slovan Bratislava | 6 | -4 | 6 | — |
| 30 |  Breidablik | 6 | -5 | 5 | — |
| 31 |  Shamrock Rovers | 6 | -6 | 4 | — |
| 32 |  BK Hacken | 6 | -3 | 3 | — |
| 33 |  Hamrun Spartans | 6 | -7 | 3 | — |
| 34 |  Shelbourne | 6 | -7 | 2 | — |
| 35 |  Aberdeen | 6 | -11 | 2 | — |
| 36 |  Rapid Vienna | 6 | -11 | 1 | — |
Round of 16AEK Larnaca 1–2 Crystal Palace
→Current progressionCrystal Palace
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
AEK Larnaca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Crystal Palace 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Crystal Palace
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Crystal Palace’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
AEK Larnaca
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Ethnikos AchnaAway · 1. Division2–0Crystal PalaceAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–0AkritasHome · 1. Division3–0OlympiakosHome · 1. Division1–1Omonia AradippouAway · 1. Division1–2Apollon LimassolHome · 1. Division0–1Apoel NicosiaAway · 1. Division2–1EnosisHome · 1. Division5–0PafosAway · 1. Division2–1Krasava YpsonasHome · 1. Division2–1
Crystal Palace
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LeedsHome · Premier League0–0AEK LarnacaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League0–0TottenhamAway · Premier League3–1Manchester UnitedAway · Premier League1–2ZrinjskiHome · UEFA Europa Conference League2–0WolvesHome · Premier League1–0ZrinjskiAway · UEFA Europa Conference League1–1BurnleyHome · Premier League2–3BrightonAway · Premier League1–0Nottingham ForestAway · Premier League1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AEK Larnaca at home with Crystal Palace away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:27 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
UEFA Europa Conference League · 2025/26 · all league matches
AEK LarnacaCrystal Palace
7Matches played11
13Points earned19
3Wins5
1.0Goals scored / match1.3
0.2Goals conceded / match0.7
6Clean sheets6
3Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AEK Larnaca at home with Crystal Palace away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
AEK Larnaca
Confirmed formation5-4-1Imanol Idiakez
- 1
Z. AlomerovicG - 2
P. IoannouD - 22
G. EkpoloD - 15
H. MilicevicD - 4
E. SaboritD - 14
A. GarciaD - 8
M. RohdenM - 7
Ledes GustavoM - 17
P. PonsM - 9
D. IvanovicM - 11
R. BajicF
Substitutes (10)
51 · A. Paraskevas
99 · D. Demetriou
27 · V. Roberge
25 · C. Kyriakou
32 · R. Mudrazija
10 · W. Rubio
30 · E. Cabrera
13 · Y. Gurfinkel
36 · C. Loukaidis
41 · Mathias Gonzalez
Crystal Palace
Confirmed formation3-4-3Oliver Glasner
- 44
W. BenitezG - 26
C. RichardsD - 5
M. LacroixD - 23
J. CanvotD - 11
B. JohnsonM - 20
A. WhartonM - 18
D. KamadaM - 3
T. MitchellM - 7
I. SarrF - 22
J. S. LarsenF - 29
E. GuessandF
Substitutes (12)
31 · R. Matthews
53 · J. Izquierdo
17 · N. Clyne
19 · W. Hughes
24 · B. Sosa
8 · J. Lerma
14 · J. Mateta
2 · D. Munoz
10 · Y. Pino
55 · J. Devenny
34 · C. Riad
59 · R. Cardines
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
AEK Larnaca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zlatan Alomerović | 120 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Petros Ioannou | 120 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Godswill Ekpolo | 120 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Hrvoje Miličević | 120 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 2 |
| Enric Saborit | 73 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 2 |
| Ángel García | 79 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Marcus Rohdén | 89 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Gus Ledes | 120 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Pere Pons | 105 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 3 |
| Đorđe Ivanović | 79 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Riad Bajić | 76 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 6 | — |
| Enzo Cabrera | 36 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Yahav Gurfinkel | 41 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Valentin Roberge | 41 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Charalampos Kyriakou | 31 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Robert Mudražija | 15 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Waldo Rubio Marín | 8 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Antreas Paraskevas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitris Dimitriou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christos Loukaidis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathías González | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Crystal Palace
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Benítez | 120 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Chris Richards | 76 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 67 | — |
| Maxence Lacroix | 120 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 100 | 2 |
| Jaydee Canvot | 83 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 68 | 2 |
| Brennan Johnson | 60 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Adam Wharton | 119 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 65 | 2 |
| Daichi Kamada | 120 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 101 | 1 |
| Tyrick Mitchell | 120 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 2 |
| Ismaïla Sarr | 120 | 8.7 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 27 | — |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | 120 | 5.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| Evann Guessand | 76 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 3 |
| Daniel Muñoz | 60 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 46 | — |
| Jefferson Lerma | 44 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 41 | — |
| Yéremy Pino | 44 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | — |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 37 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Will Hughes | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Remi Matthews | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jackson Izquierdo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathaniel Clyne | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chadi Riad | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borna Sosa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Devenny | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rio Cardines | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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