Mamelodi Sundowns
9/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Mamelodi Sundowns’s results
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsTHE MATCH CENTREMamelodi Sundowns vs ES Tunis match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
B. Leon35′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.2%Mamelodi Sundowns
Draw3.7%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%ES Tunis
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Mamelodi Sundowns 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · ES Tunis 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Mamelodi SundownsES Tunis
1.640Expected goals · API-Football0.660
5Shots on target2
14Total Shots11
58%Ball Possession42%
3Corner Kicks4
11Fouls11
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
409Total passes292
326Passes accurate216
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Semi-finalsMamelodi Sundowns 1–0 ES Tunis
→Current progressionMamelodi Sundowns
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Mamelodi Sundowns 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
ES Tunis 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
ES Tunis
6/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect ES Tunis’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Mamelodi Sundowns
10 matchesResults9 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
ES TunisAway · CAF Champions League1–0Durban CityAway · Premier Soccer League1–0Chippa UnitedHome · Premier Soccer League4–1Stade Malien BamakoAway · CAF Champions League0–2Marumo GallantsHome · Premier Soccer League3–1Stade Malien BamakoHome · CAF Champions League3–0Orbit CollegeAway · Premier Soccer League2–0Golden ArrowsHome · Premier Soccer League2–1Sekhukhune UnitedHome · Premier Soccer League3–1AmazuluAway · Premier Soccer League1–0
ES Tunis
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored2 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Mamelodi SundownsHome · CAF Champions League0–1ES SahelAway · Ligue 10–0Al AhlyAway · CAF Champions League3–2Al AhlyHome · CAF Champions League1–0AS MarsaHome · Ligue 11–0Olympique BéjaAway · Ligue 13–0Petro de LuandaHome · CAF Champions League2–0Stade Malien BamakoAway · CAF Champions League0–1SimbaAway · CAF Champions League2–2JS KairouanaiseHome · Ligue 11–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mamelodi Sundowns at home with ES Tunis away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:37 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
CAF Champions League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Mamelodi SundownsES Tunis
11Matches played13
21Points earned27
6Wins8
1.8Goals scored / match1.6
0.8Goals conceded / match0.6
5Clean sheets7
2Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mamelodi Sundowns at home with ES Tunis away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Mamelodi Sundowns
Confirmed formation4-1-3-2Miguel Cardoso
- 30
Ronwen WilliamsG - 25
Khuliso MudauD - 3
Khulumani NdamaneD - 24
Keanu CupidoD - 29
Divine LungaD - 8
Jayden AdamsM - 27
Thapelo MorenaM - 4
Teboho MokoenaM - 17
Tashreeq MatthewsM - 12
Brayan Léon MuñizF - 9
Arthur SalesF
Substitutes (9)
1 · Denis Onyango
28 · Zuko Mdunyelwa
37 · Kegan Johannes
18 · Themba Zwane
15 · Bathusi Aubaas
34 · Tsiki Ntsabeleng
11 · Marcelo Allende
13 · Iqraam Rayners
14 · Monnapule Saleng
ES Tunis
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Patrice Beaumelle
- 32
Bechir Ben SaidG - 23
Ibrahima KeitaD - 6
Hamza JelassiD - 15
Mohamed TougaiD - 20
Amine Ben HmidaD - 8
Houssem TekaM - 14
Onuche OgbeluM - 7
Kouceila BoualiaM - 10
Yan SasseM - 21
Abdramane KonateM - 22
Florian DanhoF
Substitutes (9)
1 · Amanallah Memmiche
2 · Mohamed Ben Ali
12 · Nidhal Laifi
37 · Mohamed Dräger
24 · Hamza Rafia
39 · Moez Haj Ali
30 · Koussay Maacha
29 · Aboubacar Diakite
34 · Jack Diarra
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Mamelodi Sundowns
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronwen Williams | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 59 | — |
| Khuliso Mudau | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 31 | 1 |
| Khulumani Ndamane | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 50 | — |
| Keanu Cupido | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 2 |
| Divine Lunga | 97 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 5 |
| Jayden Adams | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 43 | — |
| Thapelo Morena | 86 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
| Teboho Mokoena | 97 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 43 | 1 |
| Tashreeq Matthews | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 1 |
| Brayan Léon Muñiz | 78 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 1 |
| Arthur Sales | 57 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Marcelo Allende | 40 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 27 | — |
| Iqraam Rayners | 19 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 4 | — |
| Monnapule Saleng | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Kegan Johannes | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Bathusi Aubaas | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Denis Onyango | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zuko Mdunyelwa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Themba Zwane | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tsiki Ntsabeleng | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
ES Tunis
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bechir Ben Said | 97 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 20 | — |
| Ibrahima Keita | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 4 |
| Hamza Jelassi | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 38 | — |
| Mohamed Tougai | 97 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 41 | 1 |
| Amine Ben Hmida | 97 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 41 | 1 |
| Houssem Teka | 69 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 2 |
| Onuche Ogbelu | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 32 | — |
| Kouceila Boualia | 59 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 2 |
| Yan Sasse | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 14 | 1 |
| Abdramane Konate | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 18 | — |
| Florian Danho | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 5 | — |
| Aboubacar Diakite | 38 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Hamza Rafia | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 11 | 3 |
| Jack Diarra | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Moez Haj Ali | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Koussay Maacha | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Amanallah Memmiche | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Ben Ali | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nidhal Laifi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Dräger | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗CAF Champions League table
Current standings · CAF Champions League , Group C. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Hilal Omdurman | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 | LDWLW |
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 | DWWWL |
| 3 |  MC Alger | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | LWWLD |
| 4 |  Saint Eloi Lupopo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 | LDLWD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Mamelodi Sundowns | Draw | ES Tunis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.00 | 4.33 |
Snapshot from 17 Apr 2026, 20:37 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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