FC Winterthur
2/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect FC Winterthur’s results
Super LeagueRelegation Group - 38THE MATCH CENTREFC Winterthur vs FC Luzern match centre
89′ · Live
0:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
O. Kabwit39′
P. Dorn54′
O. Kabwit68′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
89′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%FC Winterthur
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%FC Luzern
Another goal7.8%before full time
Next goal: FC Winterthur 1.8% · no further goal 92.2% · FC Luzern 5.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.FC WinterthurFC Luzern
0.540Expected goals · API-Football2.750
0Shots on target8
11Total Shots25
42%Ball Possession58%
1Corner Kicks5
7Fouls8
0Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves0
355Total passes483
290Passes accurate416
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Super League Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Thun | 33 | +38 | 74 | — |
| 2 |  FC ST. Gallen | 33 | +24 | 60 | — |
| 3 |  FC Lugano | 33 | +12 | 57 | — |
| 4 |  FC Basel 1893 | 33 | +6 | 53 | — |
| 5 |  FC Sion | 33 | +16 | 52 | — |
| 6 |  BSC Young Boys | 33 | +5 | 48 | — |
| 7 |  FC Luzern | 34 | +6 | 43 | — |
| 8 |  Servette FC | 33 | 0 | 40 | — |
| 9 |  Lausanne | 33 | -10 | 39 | — |
| 10 |  FC Zurich | 33 | -18 | 34 | — |
| 11 |  Grasshoppers | 33 | -25 | 27 | — |
| 12 | FC Winterthur | 34 | -54 | 19 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
FC Winterthur 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FC Luzern 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FC Luzern
5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect FC Luzern’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
FC Winterthur
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
GrasshoppersAway · Super League2–3LausanneHome · Super League2–1FC ZurichHome · Super League2–2Servette FCAway · Super League3–5GrasshoppersHome · Super League0–2LausanneAway · Super League1–2FC Basel 1893Home · Super League0–2FC LuzernAway · Super League2–1FC SionAway · Super League1–1Servette FCHome · Super League1–1
FC Luzern
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC ZurichHome · Super League1–0Servette FCHome · Super League3–3LausanneAway · Super League3–1GrasshoppersAway · Super League2–1FC ST. GallenHome · Super League2–2Servette FCAway · Super League0–3LausanneHome · Super League4–0FC WinterthurHome · Super League1–2FC LuganoAway · Super League3–1BSC Young BoysHome · Super League1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Winterthur at home with FC Luzern away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Super League · 2025/26 · all league matches
FC WinterthurFC Luzern
35Matches played35
20Points earned46
4Wins12
1.1Goals scored / match1.9
2.7Goals conceded / match1.8
0Clean sheets5
11Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Winterthur at home with FC Luzern away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
FC Winterthur
Confirmed formation3-5-2Patrick Rahmen
- 75
A. SpagnoliG - 33
T. CitherletD - 16
R. ArnoldD - 21
L. LuthiD - 27
F. RohnerM - 6
E. EssiamM - 7
L. ZuffiM - 44
S. CueniM - 3
R. SmithM - 35
L. MaksutajF - 9
R. BuessF
Substitutes (9)
30 · N. Brogli
23 · P. Kasami
18 · S. Diaby
99 · N. Burkart
22 · A. Durrer
8 · T. Golliard
19 · D. Ulrich
17 · A. Hunziker
37 · E. Maluvunu
FC Luzern
Confirmed formation4-3-1-2Mario Frick
- 1
P. LoretzG - 20
P. DornD - 5
S. KnezevicD - 4
A. BajramiD - 22
R. DantasD - 24
T. OwusuM - 6
T. AbeM - 11
M. Di GiustoM - 73
L. M. Silva FerreiraM - 19
A. VasovicF - 16
O. KabwitF
Substitutes (9)
41 · J. Bock
9 · A. Grbic
14 · A. Ciganiks
10 · S. Karweina
81 · J. Von Moos
7 · K. Spadanuda
27 · L. Villiger
2 · S. Ottiger
29 · L. Winkler
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
FC Winterthur
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Spagnoli | 90 | 8.7 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Tibault Citherlet | 46 | 5.2 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Remo Arnold | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Loïc Lüthi | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 2 |
| Fabian Rohner | 83 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Emmanuel Essiam | 58 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Luca Zuffi | 74 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 1 |
| Stéphane Cueni | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Rhodri Smith | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Leandro Maksutaj | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Roman Buess | 58 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 14 | — |
| Andrin Hunziker | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Nishan Burkart | 32 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Elias Maluvunu | 32 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
| Pajtim Kasami | 16 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Dario Ulrich | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Noah Brogli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Souleymane Diaby | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Durrer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Theo Golliard | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Luzern
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Loretz | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Pius Dorn | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 2 |
| Stefan Knežević | 90 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 71 | 3 |
| Adrian Bajrami | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 69 | 1 |
| Rúben Dantas | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 75 | 5 |
| Tyron Owusu | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 2 |
| Taisei Abe | 80 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 59 | 2 |
| Matteo Di Giusto | 63 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 27 | — |
| Lucas Silva | 63 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | 2 |
| Oscar Kabwit | 74 | 9.3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | — |
| Andrej Vasovic | 74 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
| Kevin Spadanuda | 27 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Sinan Karweina | 27 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 |
| Lars Villiger | 16 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Julian Von Moos | 16 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Levin Winkler | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Julian Bock | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Severin Ottiger | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrejs Cigaņiks | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Grbić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | FC Winterthur | Draw | FC Luzern |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 1.91 |
Snapshot from 15 May 2026, 20:08 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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