Sweden
1/8Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Sweden’s results
World CupGroup Stage - 1THE MATCH CENTRESweden vs Tunisia match centre
90′ · Live
4:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Y. Ayari7′
A. Isak30′
V. Gyokeres59′
M. Svanberg84′
O. Rekik43′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Sweden
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Tunisia
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Sweden 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Tunisia 3.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.SwedenTunisia
1.360Expected goals · API-Football0.280
6Shots on target2
12Total Shots6
49%Ball Possession51%
4Corner Kicks2
10Fouls8
0Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves1
343Total passes354
270Passes accurate280
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Group FProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Netherlands | 3 | +6 | 7 | — |
| 2 | Sweden | 4 | +3 | 7 | ↑ 1 |
| 3 |  Japan | 3 | +4 | 5 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  Tunisia | 4 | -13 | 0 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Sweden 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Tunisia 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Tunisia
3/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Tunisia’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Sweden
8 matchesResults1 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 8
Both teams scored6 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
See results
GreeceHome · Friendlies2–2NorwayAway · Friendlies1–3UkraineAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe3–1SloveniaHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–1SwitzerlandAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe1–4KosovoHome · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–1KosovoAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe0–2SloveniaAway · World Cup - Qualification Europe2–2
Tunisia
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BelgiumAway · Friendlies0–5AustriaAway · Friendlies0–1HaitiAway · Friendlies1–0MaliAway · Africa Cup of Nations1–1TanzaniaAway · Africa Cup of Nations1–1NigeriaAway · Africa Cup of Nations2–3UgandaHome · Africa Cup of Nations3–1QatarAway · Arab Cup3–0PalestineAway · Arab Cup2–2SyriaHome · Arab Cup0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sweden at home with Tunisia away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:54 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
World Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches
SwedenTunisia
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sweden at home with Tunisia away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Sweden
Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Graham Potter
- 23
K. NordfeldtG - 2
G. LagerbielkeD - 4
I. HienD - 3
V. LindelofD - 16
J. KarlstromM - 21
A. BernhardssonM - 10
B. NygrenM - 18
Y. AyariM - 5
G. GudmundssonM - 17
V. GyökeresF - 9
A. IsakF
Substitutes (15)
1 · J. Widell Zetterstrom
12 · V. Johansson
15 · C. Starfelt
25 · G. Nilsson
19 · M. Svanberg
6 · H. Johansson
26 · T. Ali
13 · K. Sema
20 · E. Smith
14 · H. Ekdal
11 · A. Elanga
24 · E. Stroud
8 · D. Svensson
7 · L. Bergvall
22 · B. Zeneli
Tunisia
Confirmed formationPending
- 1
A. ChamakhG - 20
Y. ValeryD - 4
O. RekikD - 3
M. TalbiD - 21
M. Ben HamidaD - 2
A. AbdiD - 13
R. KhediraM - 17
E. SkhiriM - 10
H. MejbriM - 8
E. SaadF - 25
A. SlimaneF
Substitutes (15)
22 · S. Ben Hessen
16 · A. Dahmen
19 · F. Chaouat
26 · S. Tounekti
7 · E. Achouri
15 · M. Belhadj
11 · I. Gharbi
23 · M. Neffati
14 · K. Ayari
24 · R. Chikhaoui
18 · R. Elloumi
12 · M. Ben Ouanes
6 · D. Bronn
9 · H. Mastouri
5 · A. Arous
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Sweden
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristoffer Nordfeldt | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Gustaf Lagerbielke | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 54 | — |
| Isak Hien | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 1 |
| Victor Lindelöf | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 57 | 1 |
| Jesper Karlström | 84 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 89 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 3 |
| Benjamin Nygren | 65 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Yasin Ayari | 90 | 8.6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 3 |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | 65 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 2 |
| Viktor Gyökeres | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | — |
| Alexander Isak | 89 | 8.9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 1 |
| Elliot Stroud | 25 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Lucas Bergvall | 25 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Mattias Svanberg | 13 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Daniel Svensson | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Anthony Elanga | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Jacob Widell Zetterström | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Johansson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hjalmar Ekdal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Smith | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carl Starfelt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Herman Johansson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ken Sema | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Besfort Zeneli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taha Abdi Ali | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustaf Nilsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Tunisia
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdelmouhib Chamakh | 90 | 4.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Yan Valery | 72 | 5.2 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Omar Rekik | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 2 |
| Montassar Talbi | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 38 | 1 |
| Amine Ben Hmida | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 6 |
| Ali Abdi | 90 | 5.0 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Rani Khedira | 83 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Ellyes Skhiri | 72 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 2 |
| Hannibal Mejbri | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 54 | 5 |
| Elias Saad | 72 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Anis Ben Slimane | 84 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud | 18 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 2 |
| Sebastian Tounekti | 18 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Elias Achouri | 18 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Ismael Gharbi | 14 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Firas Chaouat | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Aymen Dahmen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sabri Ben Hessen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adem Arous | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Bronn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moataz Nefati | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raed Chikhaoui | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mortadha Ben Ouanes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalil Ayari | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Elloumi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hazem Mastouri | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Sweden | Draw | Tunisia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
Snapshot from 14 Jun 2026, 20:03 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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