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Belgium vs Tunisia match centre

Belgium badgeBelgiumHome
DWWDW
Momentum↑ Strong75/100OlderLatest
79′ · Live
3:0
UK time · Europe/London
Tunisia badgeTunisiaAway
DDWDL
Momentum↘ Falling38/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
L. Trossard28′
C. De Ketelaere53′
K. De Bruyne65′
Roi Baudouin · BrusselsSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

79′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate100.0%Belgium
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Tunisia
Another goal35.6%before full time

Next goal: Belgium 27.5% · no further goal 64.4% · Tunisia 8.1%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
BelgiumTunisia
13Corner Kicks0
7Fouls9
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
470Total passes261
410Passes accurate205

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Belgium 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Tunisia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Belgium

7/10Wins
3.6Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Belgium’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Tunisia

3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Tunisia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Belgium at home with Tunisia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:09 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2026/27 · all league matches

BelgiumTunisia
2Matches played2
4Points earned4
1Wins1
3.0Goals scored / match0.5
1.5Goals conceded / match0.0
0Clean sheets2
0Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Belgium at home with Tunisia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Belgium

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rudi Garcia
  1. 1T. CourtoisG
  2. 15T. MeunierD
  3. 25N. NgoyD
  4. 4B. MecheleD
  5. 21T. CastagneD
  6. 24A. OnanaM
  7. 8Y. TielemansM
  8. 10L. TrossardM
  9. 7K. De BruyneM
  10. 11J. DokuM
  11. 17C. De KetelaereF
Substitutes (14)

12 · S. Lammens

13 · M. Penders

6 · A. Witsel

9 · R. Lukaku

20 · H. Vanaken

22 · A. Saelemaekers

23 · N. Raskin

3 · A. Theate

26 · M. Fernandez-Pardo

19 · D. Moreira

14 · D. Lukebakio

5 · M. De Cuyper

16 · K. De Winter

18 · J. Seys

Tunisia

Confirmed formation4-4-1-1Sabri Lamouchi
  1. 1A. ChamakhG
  2. 5A. ArousD
  3. 3M. TalbiD
  4. 4O. RekikD
  5. 21M. Ben HamidaD
  6. 14K. AyariM
  7. 15M. BelhadjM
  8. 17E. SkhiriM
  9. 7E. AchouriM
  10. 11I. GharbiF
  11. 9H. MastouriF
Substitutes (15)

22 · S. Ben Hessen

16 · A. Dahmen

20 · Y. Valery

2 · A. Abdi

19 · F. Chaouat

26 · S. Tounekti

10 · H. Mejbri

8 · E. Saad

25 · A. Slimane

23 · M. Neffati

24 · R. Chikhaoui

18 · R. Elloumi

13 · R. Khedira

12 · M. Ben Ouanes

6 · D. Bronn

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Belgium

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Thibaut Courtois946.9———17—
Thomas Meunier806.6———413
Nathan Ngoy947.0——267—
Brandon Mechele947.2——365—
Timothy Castagne737.6———384
Amadou Onana667.2——1361
Youri Tielemans747.9—11524
Leandro Trossard747.21—339—
Kevin De Bruyne809.21—468—
Jérémy Doku7410.0—2—401
Charles De Ketelaere668.51—1134
Hans Vanaken286.6———26—
Romelu Lukaku286.3—1—4—
Maxim De Cuyper216.7———10—
Axel Witsel206.9———13—
Dodi Lukebakio208.51—1101
Matías Fernández-Pardo207.2——18—
Diego Moreira146.3———9—
Nicolas Raskin147.61—112—
Mike Penders———————
Senne Lammens———————
Arthur Theate———————
Koni De Winter———————
Joaquin Seys———————
Alexis Saelemaekers———————

Tunisia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Abdelmouhib Chamakh945.7———41—
Adem Arous797.3———243
Montassar Talbi946.2——1392
Omar Rekik947.6——1401
Amine Ben Hmida666.3———241
Khalil Ayari456.5———8—
Mohamed Belhadj Mahmoud946.0——1181
Ellyes Skhiri946.3———304
Elias Achouri666.7——1153
Ismael Gharbi625.9—01191
Hazem Mastouri456.0———5—
Sebastian Tounekti496.7———14—
Firas Chaouat496.3———12—
Mortadha Ben Ouanes286.7———101
Anis Ben Slimane286.5———5—
Rayan Elloumi156.3—————
Aymen Dahmen———————
Sabri Ben Hessen———————
Ali Abdi———————
Dylan Bronn———————
Yan Valery———————
Moutaz Neffati———————
Raed Chikhaoui———————
Hannibal Mejbri———————
Rani Khedira———————
Elias Saad———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerBelgiumDrawTunisia
Bet3651.334.758.00

Snapshot from 5 Jun 2026, 20:30 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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