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Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia match centre

Ecuador badgeEcuadorHome
DDWDD
Momentum↘ Falling46/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Saudi Arabia badgeSaudi ArabiaAway
DLDLL
Momentum↘ Falling11/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Porozo35′
A. Valencia51′
S. Mandash87′
Sports Illustrated Stadium · HarrisonSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.3%Ecuador
Draw3.7%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Saudi Arabia
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Ecuador 4.3% · no further goal 91.9% · Saudi Arabia 3.8%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
EcuadorSaudi Arabia
2Corner Kicks2
14Fouls11
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
402Total passes535
344Passes accurate448

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Ecuador 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Saudi Arabia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Ecuador

1/4Wins
0.8Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Ecuador’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Saudi Arabia

5/8Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Saudi Arabia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Saudi Arabia

8 matches
Oldest newest
Results5 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 8
Both teams scored5 of 8

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Ecuador at home with Saudi Arabia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:25 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2026/27 · all league matches

EcuadorSaudi Arabia
2Matches played2
2Points earned0
0Wins0
1.0Goals scored / match0.5
1.0Goals conceded / match3.0
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Ecuador at home with Saudi Arabia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

1 recorded meetings

Ecuador

0wins
1 draw

Saudi Arabia

0wins

Sep 2022 – Sep 2022 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.

Scores shown with Ecuador first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Ecuador

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sebastian Beccacece
  1. 12M. RamirezG
  2. 21A. HurtadoD
  3. 25J. PorozoD
  4. 2F. TorresD
  5. 7P. EstupinanD
  6. 6D. CastilloM
  7. 8A. ValenciaM
  8. 9J. YeboahM
  9. 15D. Guagua
  10. 20N. AnguloM
  11. 16J. CaicedoF
Substitutes (15)

1 · C. Loor

22 · G. Valle

17 · A. Preciado

11 · K. Rodriguez

23 · E. Castillo

13 · L. Fragozo

3 · F. Caicedo

5 · J. Alcivar

18 · J. Mercado

26 · Y. Medina

24 · J. Arevalo

10 · K. Paez

19 · B. Caicedo

4 · D. Ordonez

14 · M. Dacosta

Saudi Arabia

Confirmed formation4-4-2Georgios Donis
  1. 21M. Al OwaisG
  2. 13N. BoushalD
  3. 4A. Al AmriD
  4. 5H. TambaktiD
  5. 24M. Al HarbiD
  6. 26M. Abu Al ShamatM
  7. 28M. KannoM
  8. 15A. Al KhaibariM
  9. 10S. Al DawsariM
  10. 9F. Al BuraikanF
  11. 7M. Al JuwayrF
Substitutes (12)

22 · A. Al Kassar

23 · A. Atiah

27 · S. Mandash

3 · A. Lajami

6 · N. Al Dawsari

2 · A. Majrashi

17 · K. Al Ghannam

19 · A. Al Hamdan

14 · H. Kadesh

30 · A. Hejji

18 · S. Abu Al Shamat

25 · J. Thakri

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Ecuador

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Moisés Ramírez906.3—0—41—
José Andrés Hurtado456.3—0—19—
Jackson Porozo907.710148—
Félix Torres906.3—0—75—
Pervis Estupiñán896.7—0—401
Denil Castillo777.0—02263
Anthony Valencia907.9102333
John Yeboah647.9—2222—
Darwin Guagua456.9—0—6—
Nilson Angulo646.2—0113—
Jordy Caicedo456.2—015—
Jordy Alcivar456.3—01221
Ángelo Preciado456.7—0—183
Kevin Rodriguez456.3—0—14—
Kendry Páez266.7—0—12—
John Mercado266.3—0—7—
Yaimar Medina136.3—0—5—
Fricio Caicedo1——0———
Cristhian Loor———————
Gonzalo Valle———————
Deinner Ordóñez———————
Ederson Castillo———————
Malcom Dacosta———————
Bruno Quiñonez———————
Luis Fragozo———————
Jeremy Arevalo———————

Saudi Arabia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mohammed Al-Owais907.7—0—21—
Nawaf Boushal906.3—0—498
Abdulelah Al-Amri456.7—0—411
Hassan Altambakti905.9—01722
Moteb Al-Harbi846.2—0—581
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat626.2—03351
Mohamed Kanno736.9—0—493
Abdullah Al-Khaibari456.5—0—302
Salem Al-Dawsari747.2—0234—
Firas Al-Buraikan746.5—01163
Musab Al Juwayr737.3—0—696
Ali Lajami456.5—0—331
Nasser Al-Dawsari456.9—01174
Sultan Mandash288.010111—
Saleh Abu Al-Shamat176.7—012—
Ala'a Al-Hejji176.9—1—5—
Abdullah Al-Hamdan166.2—0—6—
Khalid Al-Ghannam166.5—0—5—
Hassan Kadesh126.7—0—3—
Abdulquddus Atiah———————
Ahmed Al-Kassar———————
Ali Majrashi———————
Jehad Thakri———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerEcuadorDrawSaudi Arabia
Bet3651.503.706.50

Snapshot from 29 May 2026, 21:08 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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