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Burundi vs Algeria match centre

Burundi badgeBurundiHome · 4 in league
LWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling37/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
Algeria badgeAlgeriaAway · 1 in league
LWDLW
Momentum→ Steady49/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Fares Chaibi5′ (og)
J. Girumugisha12′
Mohamed Belloumi30′
Adil Boulbina63′
Stade Intwari · BujumburaSeason 2027/28Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated 29 Sep 13:12 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win11.00Our model PendingMarket 8.3% Draw5.00Our model PendingMarket 18.3% Away win1.25Our model PendingMarket 73.3% Bet365 · Updated 29 Sep 13:12 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
BurundiAlgeria
6Corner Kicks2
13Fouls11
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
229Total passes574
160Passes accurate503

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Burundi 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Algeria 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Burundi

1/5Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Burundi’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Algeria

6/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Algeria’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Burundi at home with Algeria away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 00:26 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · 2027/28 · all league matches

BurundiAlgeria
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Burundi at home with Algeria away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

2 recorded meetings

Burundi

0wins
0 draws

Algeria

2wins

Jun 2019 – Jan 2024 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.

Scores shown with Burundi first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Burundi

Confirmed formation4-4-2P. Sangwa
  1. 1J. NahimanaG
  2. 4A. MuderiD
  3. 19F. NsabiyumvaD
  4. 22C. NduwarugiraD
  5. 18Mossi NduwumweD
  6. 8Mokono Elie EldhinoM
  7. 14Y. NdayishimiyeM
  8. 5H. MsangaM
  9. 7J. GirumugishaM
  10. 21Asman ndikumanaF
  11. 20B. KanakimanaF
Substitutes (12)

11 · M. Amissi

9 · S. Abdallah

17 · Cedric Amissi

12 · B. Bimenyimana

3 · K. Icoyitungiye

15 · Omar Moussa

6 · Abdoul Karim Mpawenimana

13 · D. Mukombozi

2 · Franck Nduwimana

10 · S. Ntibazonkiza

23 · O. Onésime

16 · E. Swedi

Algeria

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1B. Hemdani
  1. 1M. MastilG
  2. 19S. RadouaniD
  3. 3A. AbadaD
  4. 21R. BensebaïniD
  5. 13J. HadjamD
  6. 10F. ChaïbiM
  7. 17H. AbdelliM
  8. 20M. BelloumiM
  9. 30I. MazaM
  10. 18A. BoulbinaM
  11. 12Amin ChiakhaF
Substitutes (12)

14 · A. Aouchiche

22 · M. Bakrar

5 · Z. Belaïd

26 · A. Bourabaa

2 · S. Chergui

7 · A. Hadj-Moussa

24 · I. Kebbal

25 · S. Nair

23 · A. Ramdane

4 · A. Touba

6 · A. Zorgane

11 · M. Amoura

2027/28 STANDINGS

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group I. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Algeria21105324
DW
2Zambia21013303
WL
3Togo210112-13
LW
4Burundi201123-11
DL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerBurundiDrawAlgeria
Marathonbet11.255.251.24
Betfair10.505.001.20
Pinnacle11.945.251.27
William Hill11.004.601.25
Bet36511.005.001.25

Snapshot from 29 Sep 2026, 13:12 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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