Waalwijk
1/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Waalwijk’s results
Eerste DivisieMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREWaalwijk vs NAC Breda match centre
Full time
4:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Rio·Hillen26′ (og)
Thijs van Leeuwen56′
F. Al Mazyani75′
Jordy de Wijs90+3′
Mohamed Nassoh64′
Mohamed Nassoh83′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
WaalwijkNAC Breda
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target6
14Total Shots16
55%Ball Possession45%
3Corner Kicks4
17Fouls8
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
473Total passes395
406Passes accurate326
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Waalwijk 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
NAC Breda 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
NAC Breda
5/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect NAC Breda’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Waalwijk
10 matchesResults1 wins · 7 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Jong PSV U21Home · Eerste Divisie2–2Helmond SportAway · Eerste Divisie1–1DordrechtHome · Eerste Divisie2–2VitesseAway · Eerste Divisie1–1KifisiaHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0Patro EisdenHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2Bochum IIHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2FC VolendamHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2Alemannia AachenHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1Kozakken BoysAway · Friendlies Clubs0–0
NAC Breda
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
RodaAway · Eerste Divisie2–2Jong AjaxHome · Eerste Divisie3–2VVV VenloHome · Eerste Divisie0–2FC OSSAway · Eerste Divisie2–1BoltonAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1OFIHome · Friendlies Clubs3–2Lokeren-TemseAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1ExcelsiorHome · Friendlies Clubs1–3HoekAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1FC EindhovenHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Waalwijk at home with NAC Breda away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:04 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eerste Divisie · 2026/27 · all league matches
WaalwijkNAC Breda
7Matches played7
13Points earned10
3Wins3
2.6Goals scored / match1.9
1.3Goals conceded / match2.1
1Clean sheets0
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Waalwijk at home with NAC Breda away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Waalwijk
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sander Duits
- 1
N. SchiksG - 33
F. Al MazyaniD - 4
L. van GelderenD - 30
J. de WijsD - 5
J. Familia-CastilloD - 6
L. PostmaM - 8
J. NapM - 7
R. FageM - 10
T. van LeeuwenM - 20
K. VarelaM - 27
F. StokkersF
Substitutes (12)
16 · M. Spenkelink
13 · X. Mulder
25 · N. Bakboord
55 · N. Held
3 · S. van der Plas
42 · B. Kemmeren
18 · R. van Hedel
17 · R. Kuijpers
11 · Y. van der Veen
19 · H. van Gemert
24 · A. Dkidak
9 · J. van de Haar
NAC Breda
Confirmed formation4-4-2Carl Hoefkens
- 1
M. VerripsG - 2
B. LucassenD - 4
L. GreimlD - 12
J. Van den BerghD - 22
R. HillenD - 78
J. Van HeckeM - 8
F. JensenM - 6
M. BalardM - 10
M. NassohM - 19
P. GladonF - 9
M. SoumanoF
Substitutes (10)
31 · K. Lamprou
23 · R. Kortsmit
17 · M. Bouchouari
5 · J. Candelaria
35 · M. Brouwers
32 · R. van Aarst
11 · G. Misehouy
34 · I. Nazih
55 · B. Ghalidi
26 · P. Reulen
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Waalwijk
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yorem van der Veen | 22 | 6.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| S. van der Plas | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| J. van de Haar | 11 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| R. van Hedel | 22 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| H. van Gemert | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Spenkelink | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Kuijpers | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Kemmeren | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Held | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Dkidak | 11 | 6.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| N. Bakboord | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Xander Mulder | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Schiks | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 |
| F. Al Mazyani | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 4 |
| L. van Gelderen | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 58 | 0 |
| J. de Wijs | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 60 | 0 |
| Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 59 | 1 |
| R. Fage | 79 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 3 |
| J. Nap | 79 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 1 |
| L. Postma | 68 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 2 |
| Keyan Varela | 68 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 |
| F. Stokkers | 89 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
| T. van Leeuwen | 90 | 7.4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 1 |
NAC Breda
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. van Aarst | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Reulen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Misehouy | 45 | 6.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 |
| I. Nazih | 24 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 |
| K. Lamprou | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| R. Kortsmit | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| B. Ghalidi | 21 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| J. Candelaria | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Brouwers | 45 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 |
| M. Bouchouari | 45 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 0 |
| M. Verrips | 90 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | 0 |
| B. Lucassen | 45 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| L. Greiml | 37 | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 |
| J. Van den Bergh | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 1 |
| R. Hillen | 45 | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 2 |
| J. Van Hecke | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 2 |
| M. Balard | 45 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| F. Oldrup Jensen | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 1 |
| M. Nassoh | 90 | 8.8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 49 | 1 |
| M. Soumano | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
| P. Gladon | 45 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Eerste Divisie table
Current standings · Eerste Divisie: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Almere City FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 16 | LWWLW |
| 3 |  MVV | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 | WLLDW |
| 4 |  VVV Venlo | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Roda | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 | WDWDD |
| 6 |  Emmen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 | WLLWL |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  Vitesse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 9 | NAC Breda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 | WWLLD |
| 10 |  Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 | WDLWW |
| 11 |  FC Volendam | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 12 |  Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 13 |  FC Eindhoven | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 14 |  Helmond Sport | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 8 | LLWWL |
| 15 |  Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 | DLLWD |
| 16 |  Den Bosch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 17 |  Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 18 |  De Graafschap | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 | WLWLL |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 20 |  FC OSS | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | LWLLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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