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Waalwijk vs MVV match centre

Waalwijk badgeWaalwijkHome · 7 in league
DDDWW
Momentum↗ Rising66/100OlderLatest
Full time
6:1
UK time · Europe/London
MVV badgeMVVAway · 3 in league
WLWDL
Momentum↘ Falling42/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Jordy de Wijs13′
F. Al Mazyani29′
Juan Familia-Castillo40′
Liam Van Gelderen49′
Jesse van de Haar73′
Jesse van de Haar90+2′ (pen)
Olivier·Dumont89′
Mandemakers Stadion · WaalwijkSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 16:17 UK.

Odds updated 18 Sep 18:21 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.62Our model 54.0%Market 58.2% Draw4.10Our model 23.5%Market 23.0% Away win5.00Our model 22.5%Market 18.8% Bet365 · Updated 18 Sep 18:21 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
WaalwijkMVV
6Corner Kicks3
12Fouls9
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves1
349Total passes479
284Passes accurate414

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Waalwijk 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

MVV 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 17:10 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Waalwijk

3/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Waalwijk’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

MVV

4/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect MVV’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Waalwijk at home with MVV away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:56 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eerste Divisie · 2026/27 · all league matches

WaalwijkMVV
7Matches played7
13Points earned13
3Wins4
2.6Goals scored / match1.4
1.3Goals conceded / match2.1
1Clean sheets1
0Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Waalwijk at home with MVV away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Waalwijk

4wins
0 draws

MVV

0wins

Dec 2018 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Waalwijk first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Waalwijk

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sander Duits
  1. 1N. SchiksG
  2. 33F. Al MazyaniD
  3. 4L. van GelderenD
  4. 30J. de WijsD
  5. 5Juan Carlos Familia-CastilloD
  6. 6L. PostmaM
  7. 8J. NapM
  8. 7R. FageM
  9. 10T. van LeeuwenM
  10. 20Keyan VarelaM
  11. 27F. StokkersF
Substitutes (12)

24 · A. Dkidak

11 · Yorem van der Veen

55 · N. Held

93 · V. Misidjan

13 · Xander Mulder

16 · M. Spenkelink

19 · H. van Gemert

18 · R. van Hedel

9 · J. van de Haar

22 · T. van de Loo

3 · S. van der Plas

25 · N. Bakboord

MVV

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1A. Jonker
  1. 1H. WentgesG
  2. 21D. AsanteD
  3. 6F. DickeD
  4. 22Sven BoulandD
  5. 17S. WegenD
  6. 18E. SierraM
  7. 16R. KlaasenM
  8. 27Naïm MatougM
  9. 10O. DumontM
  10. 7L. DaneelsM
  11. 24N. El HamdaouiF
Substitutes (10)

29 · O. Zimuangana

12 · S. van der Heijden

9 · T. Vinogradac

11 · T. Verheijen

23 · S. Timmers

26 · A. Mansala Mpudi

19 · Mika Luijendijk

14 · M. Kuipers

31 · Yanis Bourard

20 · A. Amgar

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Waalwijk

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
N. Bakboord00.000000
S. van der Plas166.400081
T. van de Loo96.300031
J. van de Haar278.220361
R. van Hedel00.000000
H. van Gemert00.000000
M. Spenkelink00.000000
Xander Mulder00.000000
V. Misidjan276.600290
N. Held00.000000
A. Dkidak00.000000
Yorem van der Veen156.500051
N. Schiks906.3000410
F. Al Mazyani907.5101354
L. van Gelderen907.8101343
J. de Wijs747.9103270
Juan Carlos Familia-Castillo908.3111374
J. Nap818.0020201
L. Postma906.6000373
R. Fage756.2001211
T. van Leeuwen906.7002340
Keyan Varela636.9011151
F. Stokkers636.4000180

MVV

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
H. Wentges905.9000350
D. Asante905.7001481
F. Dicke906.0001852
Sven Bouland905.8000831
S. Wegen906.0000433
R. Klaasen455.9000172
E. Sierra905.6000381
O. Dumont907.2102364
L. Daneels906.1000392
O. Zimuangana456.6010131
S. van der Heijden00.000000
T. Vinogradac136.300030
T. Verheijen00.000000
S. Timmers00.000000
A. Mansala Mpudi00.000000
Mika Luijendijk456.2000191
M. Kuipers00.000000
Yanis Bourard00.000000
A. Amgar00.000000
Naïm Matoug455.800052
N. El Hamdaoui776.4000180
2026/27 STANDINGS

Eerste Divisie table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Eerste Divisie: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Heracles870126101621
WLWWW
2Almere City FC85121871116
LWWLW
3MVV85121215-316
WLLDW
4VVV Venlo85032114715
LWWLW
5Roda843195415
WDWDD
6Emmen85031817115
WLLWL
7Waalwijk83411811713
LWWWD
8Vitesse84131311213
LWLWW
9NAC Breda84131717013
WWLLD
10Jong AZ94142217513
WDLWW
11FC Volendam84042016412
WLWLW
12Jong PSV U2193331416-212
LDLWD
13FC Eindhoven83141317-410
LWWDL
14Helmond Sport82241314-18
LLWWL
15Jong Ajax92251322-98
DLLWD
16Den Bosch82151217-57
LWLLL
17Dordrecht82151223-117
WLLLL
18De Graafschap8215920-117
WLWLL
19Jong Utrecht92161521-67
LWWDL
20FC OSS8206813-56
LWLLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerWaalwijkDrawMVV
William Hill1.624.004.60
Bet3651.624.105.00
Marathonbet1.594.104.70
Betfair1.624.334.50
BetVictor1.624.334.80

Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 18:21 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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