Dordrecht
2/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
2.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Dordrecht’s results
Eerste DivisieMatchweek 8THE MATCH CENTREDordrecht vs Almere City FC match centre
Full time
3:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Beni Christophe Mpanzu22′
Stan Henderikx58′
A. Ouarghi90+1′
Olivier de Nijs10′
Joey Jacobs90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Under review · Calculated 25 Sep 16:50 UK. The model differs from the margin-adjusted match-winner market by at least 30 percentage points on an outcome, so its probabilities are held for review. This check flags disagreement; it does not establish which forecast is right.
Odds updated 25 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 7 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
DordrechtAlmere City FC
—Expected goals · API-Football—
5Shots on target3
10Total Shots15
42%Ball Possession58%
4Corner Kicks3
14Fouls12
2Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
352Total passes503
272Passes accurate420
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Dordrecht 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Almere City FC 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 25 Sep, 16:52 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Almere City FC
7/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Almere City FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Dordrecht
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game2.5
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC OSSAway · Eerste Divisie0–3FC EindhovenAway · Eerste Divisie1–2Jong AZHome · Eerste Divisie3–6FC VolendamAway · Eerste Divisie1–6RodaHome · Eerste Divisie0–1WaalwijkAway · Eerste Divisie2–2Jong AjaxHome · Eerste Divisie2–1RSC Anderlecht IIHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2Al Khaleej SaihatHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2Lusail CityHome · Friendlies Clubs5–0
Almere City FC
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.6
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
HeraclesHome · Eerste Divisie1–0MVVAway · Eerste Divisie4–0Jong AjaxHome · Eerste Divisie0–1De GraafschapAway · Eerste Divisie4–1VitesseAway · Eerste Divisie3–0Jong PSV U21Home · Eerste Divisie3–1Den BoschAway · Eerste Divisie1–1EmmenAway · Friendlies Clubs0–4FC OSSHome · Friendlies Clubs8–4FC VolendamHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Dordrecht at home with Almere City FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:03 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eerste Divisie · 2026/27 · all league matches
DordrechtAlmere City FC
7Matches played7
4Points earned16
1Wins5
1.3Goals scored / match2.3
3.0Goals conceded / match0.6
0Clean sheets3
2Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Dordrecht at home with Almere City FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Dordrecht
0wins4MEETINGS
Almere City FC
4winsNov 2022 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Dordrecht
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Paul Nuijten
- 1
Y. van OschG - 22
J. van AkenD - 4
J. PinasD - 3
S. HenderikxD - 5
C. MpanzuD - 8
Senne VugtsM - 21
M. VetkalM - 16
L. RománM - 6
L. RiccioM - 11
N. RossiM - 77
D. ŠitsF
Substitutes (9)
44 · B. Hardley
14 · Bae Seung-Gyun
28 · T. Coremans
51 · Lucas Gardenier
2 · A. Lechkar
15 · Y. M'Bemba
10 · A. Ouarghi
23 · L. Woudenberg
9 · J. de Bie
Almere City FC
Confirmed formation4-3-3Anoush Dastgir
- 1
Wessel SpeelG - 2
M. WasinskiD - 3
J. JacobsD - 4
J. LawrenceD - 5
T. BijleveldD - 6
E. CornelisseM - 19
Olivier de NijsM - 8
M. de HaanM - 7
B. BurgeringF - 18
Bas HuismanF - 11
M. DorsF
Substitutes (9)
25 · I. Ghogli
10 · J. Jacobs
20 · J. Kalisvaart
38 · L. Lenssen
24 · M. Mateyo
17 · E. Poku
44 · D. van Bruggen
30 · J. van der Wilt
26 · Twan·Van Der Zeeuw
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Eerste Divisie table
Current standings · Eerste Divisie: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 16 | LWWLW |
| 3 |  MVV | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 | WLLDW |
| 4 |  VVV Venlo | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Roda | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 | WDWDD |
| 6 |  Emmen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 | WLLWL |
| 7 |  Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  Vitesse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 9 |  NAC Breda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 | WWLLD |
| 10 |  Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 | WDLWW |
| 11 |  FC Volendam | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 12 |  Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 13 |  FC Eindhoven | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 14 |  Helmond Sport | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 8 | LLWWL |
| 15 |  Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 | DLLWD |
| 16 |  Den Bosch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 18 |  De Graafschap | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 | WLWLL |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 20 |  FC OSS | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | LWLLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Dordrecht | Draw | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 3.18 | 3.98 | 1.92 |
| Betfair | 3.20 | 4.00 | 1.95 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24 | 4.25 | 1.97 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 4.10 | 1.91 |
| 1xBet | 3.20 | 3.98 | 1.94 |
Snapshot from 25 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →