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Almere City FC vs Heracles match centre

Almere City FC badgeAlmere City FCHome · 2 in league
WWWLW
Momentum↘ Falling77/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Heracles badgeHeraclesAway · 1 in league
WWWWW
Momentum↑ Strong100/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Martin Jean Wasinski80′
Yanmar Stadion · AlmereSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 15:33 UK.

Odds updated 18 Sep 18:21 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win3.10Our model 44.6%Market 30.4% Draw4.20Our model 21.8%Market 22.4% Away win2.00Our model 33.6%Market 47.1% Bet365 · Updated 18 Sep 18:21 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Almere City FCHeracles
3Corner Kicks8
13Fouls11
0Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
308Total passes444
213Passes accurate330

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Almere City FC 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Heracles 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 18 Sep, 17:10 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Almere City FC

6/10Wins
2.6Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Almere City FC’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Heracles

8/10Wins
3.2Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Heracles’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Almere City FC at home with Heracles away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:21 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Eerste Divisie · 2026/27 · all league matches

Almere City FCHeracles
7Matches played8
16Points earned21
5Wins7
2.3Goals scored / match3.3
0.6Goals conceded / match1.3
3Clean sheets2
1Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Almere City FC at home with Heracles away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

4 recorded meetings

Almere City FC

0wins
2 draws

Heracles

2wins

Nov 2023 – Jan 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Almere City FC first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Almere City FC

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Anoush Dastgir
  1. 1Wessel SpeelG
  2. 2M. WasinskiD
  3. 3J. JacobsD
  4. 4J. LawrenceD
  5. 5T. BijleveldD
  6. 14M. HoedemakersM
  7. 6E. CornelisseM
  8. 17E. PokuM
  9. 21H. El DahriM
  10. 11M. DorsM
  11. 18Bas HuismanF
Substitutes (10)

26 · Twan·Van Der Zeeuw

20 · J. Kalisvaart

10 · J. Jacobs

25 · I. Ghogli

7 · B. Burgering

24 · M. Mateyo

8 · M. de Haan

19 · Olivier de Nijs

44 · D. van Bruggen

30 · J. van der Wilt

Heracles

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1V. Heilmann
  1. 1F. de KeijzerG
  2. 15David VicenteD
  3. 4D. MiraniD
  4. 14M. WruschD
  5. 25MannyD
  6. 5D. van der KustM
  7. 32S. SchepermanM
  8. 7C. AbbasM
  9. 17T. van GilstM
  10. 18M. HauswirthM
  11. 27J. N'djoliF
Substitutes (12)

10 · T. Bruns

8 · M. Engels

80 · F. Fofana

16 · T. Jansink

26 · D. van Kaam

23 · M. te Wierik

33 · L. Zeevalkink

6 · D. Tomić

11 · J. Reine-Adélaïde

9 · V. Poppler

2 · M. Benita

3 · Mario Borac

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Almere City FC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Twan·Van Der Zeeuw00.000000
J. van der Wilt00.000000
D. van Bruggen86.400000
Olivier de Nijs176.500030
M. de Haan176.500010
M. Mateyo00.000000
B. Burgering306.801150
I. Ghogli00.000000
J. Jacobs306.300090
J. Kalisvaart00.000000
Wessel Speel906.8000350
M. Wasinski826.9101370
J. Jacobs907.0000320
J. Lawrence906.6000351
T. Bijleveld906.2001341
M. Hoedemakers736.7000351
E. Cornelisse906.4000262
E. Poku736.100070
H. El Dahri606.1000142
M. Dors906.2000211
Bas Huisman606.0001170

Heracles

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
F. de Keijzer906.3000520
Mario Borac06.600000
T. Bruns216.4000101
M. Engels56.300100
F. Fofana00.000000
T. Jansink00.000000
D. van Kaam00.000000
M. te Wierik56.300020
L. Zeevalkink00.000000
D. Tomić00.000000
J. Reine-Adélaïde136.000091
V. Poppler56.100110
M. Benita00.000000
David Vicente907.6000302
D. Mirani856.8003570
M. Wrusch777.6000603
Manny855.5001272
D. van der Kust906.7000502
S. Scheperman906.2001324
C. Abbas906.8002320
T. van Gilst855.8001341
M. Hauswirth696.6002271
J. N'djoli906.50011220
2026/27 STANDINGS

Eerste Divisie table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Eerste Divisie: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Heracles870126101621
WLWWW
2Almere City FC85121871116
LWWLW
3MVV85121215-316
WLLDW
4VVV Venlo85032114715
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5Roda843195415
WDWDD
6Emmen85031817115
WLLWL
7Waalwijk83411811713
LWWWD
8Vitesse84131311213
LWLWW
9NAC Breda84131717013
WWLLD
10Jong AZ94142217513
WDLWW
11FC Volendam84042016412
WLWLW
12Jong PSV U2193331416-212
LDLWD
13FC Eindhoven83141317-410
LWWDL
14Helmond Sport82241314-18
LLWWL
15Jong Ajax92251322-98
DLLWD
16Den Bosch82151217-57
LWLLL
17Dordrecht82151223-117
WLLLL
18De Graafschap8215920-117
WLWLL
19Jong Utrecht92161521-67
LWWDL
20FC OSS8206813-56
LWLLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAlmere City FCDrawHeracles
William Hill3.103.602.00
Bet3653.104.202.00
Marathonbet3.183.781.97
Betfair3.104.101.91
BetVictor3.204.102.00

Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 18:21 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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