MVV
4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect MVV’s results
Eerste DivisieMatchweek 8THE MATCH CENTREMVV vs Helmond Sport match centre
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Olivier·Dumont49′
Elias Sierra78′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 26 Sep 18:01 UK.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MVVHelmond Sport
—Expected goals · API-Football—
2Shots on target5
15Total Shots11
55%Ball Possession45%
6Corner Kicks2
8Fouls12
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves0
454Total passes377
366Passes accurate288
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
MVV 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Helmond Sport 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 26 Sep, 14:01 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Helmond Sport
3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Helmond Sport’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
MVV
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game2.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
WaalwijkAway · Eerste Divisie1–6Almere City FCHome · Eerste Divisie0–4RodaHome · Eerste Divisie1–1Jong AZAway · Eerste Divisie2–1KRC Genk IIAway · Friendlies Clubs0–6FC VolendamHome · Eerste Divisie1–0FC EindhovenAway · Eerste Divisie3–2Jong UtrechtHome · Eerste Divisie2–1Patro EisdenHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1KAA Gent IIAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1
Helmond Sport
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Den BoschAway · Eerste Divisie1–2Jong PSV U21Home · Eerste Divisie3–1VVV VenloHome · Eerste Divisie4–2Jong AjaxAway · Eerste Divisie2–3WaalwijkHome · Eerste Divisie1–1RodaAway · Eerste Divisie1–2De GraafschapHome · Eerste Divisie1–1St. TruidenHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0Al TaawonHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2KVC WesterloHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare MVV at home with Helmond Sport away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Eerste Divisie · 2026/27 · all league matches
MVVHelmond Sport
7Matches played7
13Points earned8
4Wins2
1.4Goals scored / match1.9
2.1Goals conceded / match1.7
1Clean sheets0
1Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares MVV at home with Helmond Sport away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
MVV
2wins5MEETINGS
Helmond Sport
2winsApr 2024 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
MVV
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1A. Jonker
- 1
H. WentgesG - 21
D. AsanteD - 6
F. DickeD - 22
Sven BoulandD - 17
S. WegenD - 16
R. KlaasenM - 18
E. SierraM - 24
N. El HamdaouiM - 10
O. DumontM - 7
L. DaneelsM - 9
T. VinogradacF
Substitutes (8)
20 · A. Amgar
12 · S. van der Heijden
19 · Mika Luijendijk
27 · Naïm Matoug
13 · S. Timmers
11 · T. Verheijen
29 · O. Zimuangana
14 · M. Kuipers
Helmond Sport
Confirmed formation4-4-2Frédéric Frans
- 1
M. BergsenG - 20
S. DekkersD - 4
B. KoglinD - 43
T. LandheerD - 5
T. PollD - 7
J. van der SluijsM - 6
M. LudwigM - 8
Pol LlonchM - 44
Xander van der VeldeM - 11
L. CiceroF - 34
T. EssakkatiF
Substitutes (10)
22 · A. Dizdarević
30 · K. Ekoli
23 · A. El Maach
47 · Dayen Geerts
41 · J. Geerts
94 · Mauro Lenaerts
25 · N. Meissner
2 · R. van Bree
14 · Brian van den Boogaard
21 · Wessel van der Heijden
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Eerste Divisie table
Current standings · Eerste Divisie: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 16 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Almere City FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 16 | LWWLW |
| 3 | MVV | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 | WLLDW |
| 4 |  VVV Venlo | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Roda | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 15 | WDWDD |
| 6 |  Emmen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 15 | WLLWL |
| 7 |  Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  Vitesse | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 | LWLWW |
| 9 |  NAC Breda | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 | WWLLD |
| 10 |  Jong AZ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 13 | WDLWW |
| 11 |  FC Volendam | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 12 |  Jong PSV U21 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 13 |  FC Eindhoven | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 14 | Helmond Sport | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 8 | LLWWL |
| 15 |  Jong Ajax | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 8 | DLLWD |
| 16 |  Den Bosch | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 17 |  Dordrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 18 |  De Graafschap | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 | WLWLL |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 20 |  FC OSS | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | LWLLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | MVV | Draw | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.48 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.28 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 3.11 | 2.83 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
Snapshot from 26 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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