Lens
5/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Lens’s results
Coupe de FranceSemi-finalsTHE MATCH CENTRELens vs Toulouse match centre
90′ · Live
4:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
F. Thauvin9′ (pen)
A. Saint-Maximin18′
M. Udol35′
A. Thomasson74′
S. Hidalgo21′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Lens
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Toulouse
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Lens 4.9% · no further goal 92.0% · Toulouse 3.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.LensToulouse
—Expected goals · API-Football—
10Shots on target1
16Total Shots7
63%Ball Possession37%
6Corner Kicks0
9Fouls12
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves6
537Total passes314
458Passes accurate249
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
Semi-finalsLens 4–1 Toulouse
→Current progressionLens
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Lens 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Toulouse 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Toulouse
2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Toulouse’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Lens
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Toulouse
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Lens at home with Toulouse away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:58 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Coupe de France · 2025/26 · all league matches
LensToulouse
4Matches played4
12Points earned12
4Wins4
3.2Goals scored / match2.0
1.2Goals conceded / match1.0
1Clean sheets1
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Lens at home with Toulouse away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Lens
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Pierre Sage
- 40
R. RisserG - 25
I. GaniouD - 6
S. BaidooD - 20
M. SarrD - 23
S. AbdulhamidM - 8
M. SangareM - 28
A. ThomassonM - 14
M. UdolM - 10
F. ThauvinF - 9
A. Saint-MaximinF - 11
O. EdouardF
Substitutes (9)
16 · M. Gorgelin
22 · W. Said
27 · A. Masuaku
7 · F. Sotoca
2 · R. Aguilar
21 · A. Haidara
19 · A. Sima
5 · A. Bulatovic
38 · R. Fofana
Toulouse
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Carles Martinez
- 16
K. HaugG - 35
S. KoumbassaD - 4
C. CresswellD - 2
R. NicolaisenD - 19
D. SidibeM - 23
C. CasseresM - 18
P. DembaM - 24
D. MethalieM - 15
A. DonnumF - 11
S. HidalgoF - 20
EmersonnF
Substitutes (9)
1 · G. Restes
40 · N. Said Mchindra
12 · W. Kamanzi
77 · M. Sauer
44 · G. Bakhouche Piernas
37 · I. Azizi
13 · J. Russell-Rowe
7 · J. Vignolo
45 · A. Vossah
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Lens
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin Risser | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Ismaelo Ganiou | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 60 | 3 |
| Samson Baidoo | 64 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 65 | — |
| Malang Sarr | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 77 | 4 |
| Saud Abdulhamid | 78 | 9.2 | — | 2 | — | 36 | 3 |
| Mamadou Sangare | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 50 | 2 |
| Adrien Thomasson | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 1 |
| Matthieu Udol | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 5 |
| Florian Thauvin | 79 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 39 | 2 |
| Allan Saint-Maximin | 64 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | — |
| Odsonne Édouard | 72 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 4 | 14 | 2 |
| Arthur Masuaku | 26 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 2 |
| Wesley Said | 26 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Abdallah Sima | 18 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Ruben Aguilar | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Amadou Haidara | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Mathieu Gorgelin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrija Bulatovic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Florian Sotoca | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Fofana | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Toulouse
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kjetil Haug | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Seny Koumbassa | 76 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Charlie Cresswell | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 55 | — |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 50 | 3 |
| Djibril Sidibe | 64 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Cristian Cásseres Jr. | 86 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 4 |
| Pape Diop | 64 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 4 |
| Dayann Methalie | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Aron Dønnum | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Santiago Hidalgo | 76 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 |
| Emersonn | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 |
| Alexis Vossah | 26 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 26 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Warren Kamanzi | 14 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 2 |
| Ilyas Azizi | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Mario Sauer | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Guillaume Restes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Naime Said Mchindra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gaëtan Bakhouche | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Vignolo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Coupe de France table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Lens | Draw | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.25 |
Snapshot from 20 Apr 2026, 18:15 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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