Strasbourg
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Strasbourg’s results
Ligue 1Matchweek 32THE MATCH CENTREStrasbourg vs Toulouse match centre
90′ · Live
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. Amo-Ameyaw27′
D. Methalie43′
Emersonn84′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Strasbourg
Draw3.9%at full time
Current result estimate96.0%Toulouse
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Strasbourg 4.0% · no further goal 91.9% · Toulouse 4.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.StrasbourgToulouse
0.320Expected goals · API-Football1.170
4Shots on target6
8Total Shots15
54%Ball Possession46%
8Corner Kicks3
7Fouls14
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves3
451Total passes380
399Passes accurate330
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Ligue 1 Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 34 | +45 | 76 | — |
| 2 |  Lens | 34 | +31 | 70 | — |
| 3 |  Lille | 34 | +15 | 61 | — |
| 4 |  Lyon | 34 | +13 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Marseille | 34 | +18 | 59 | — |
| 6 |  Rennes | 34 | +9 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  Monaco | 34 | +6 | 54 | — |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 35 | +10 | 53 | — |
| 9 |  Toulouse | 34 | +2 | 47 | ↑ 1 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 34 | -3 | 45 | ↓ 1 |
| 11 |  Paris FC | 34 | -3 | 44 | — |
| 12 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 34 | -12 | 39 | — |
| 13 |  Angers | 34 | -19 | 36 | — |
| 14 |  Le Havre | 34 | -12 | 35 | — |
| 15 |  Auxerre | 34 | -10 | 34 | — |
| 16 |  Nice | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  Nantes | 33 | -23 | 23 | — |
| 18 |  Metz | 34 | -44 | 17 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Strasbourg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Toulouse 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Toulouse
2/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Toulouse’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Strasbourg
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Rayo VallecanoAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–1LorientAway · Ligue 13–2NiceHome · Coupe de France0–2RennesHome · Ligue 10–3FSV Mainz 05Home · UEFA Europa Conference League4–0FSV Mainz 05Away · UEFA Europa Conference League0–2NiceHome · Ligue 13–1NantesAway · Ligue 13–2HNK RijekaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League1–1Paris FCHome · Ligue 10–0
Toulouse
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game2.3
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Strasbourg at home with Toulouse away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:03 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Ligue 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
StrasbourgToulouse
29Matches played30
43Points earned37
12Wins10
1.6Goals scored / match1.4
1.3Goals conceded / match1.4
9Clean sheets9
6Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Strasbourg at home with Toulouse away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Strasbourg
Confirmed formation4-4-1-1Gary O'Neil
- 39
M. PendersG - 8
M. OyedeleD - 6
I. DoukoureD - 24
L. HogsbergD - 42
A. OuattaraD - 27
S. Amo-AmeyawM - 17
M. AmougouM - 83
R. LuisM - 80
G. YassineM - 11
S. NanasiF - 34
Y. DiemeF
Substitutes (9)
1 · K. Johnsson
10 · E. Emegha
7 · D. Moreira
29 · S. El Mourabet
2 · A. Omobamidele
19 · J. Enciso
18 · J. Mwanga
45 · A. Cisse
28 · T. Noubissie
Toulouse
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Carles Martinez
- 1
G. RestesG - 3
M. McKenzieD - 4
C. CresswellD - 2
R. NicolaisenD - 15
A. DonnumM - 45
A. VossahM - 23
C. CasseresM - 24
D. MethalieM - 11
S. HidalgoF - 10
Y. GbohoF - 13
J. Russell-RoweF
Substitutes (9)
16 · K. Haug
12 · W. Kamanzi
77 · M. Sauer
44 · G. Bakhouche Piernas
37 · I. Azizi
19 · D. Sidibe
20 · Emersonn
35 · S. Koumbassa
7 · J. Vignolo
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Strasbourg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Penders | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Maxi Oyedele | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 6 |
| Ismael Doukouré | 71 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 63 | — |
| Lucas Høgsberg | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 64 | 3 |
| Abdoul Ouattara | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Samuel Amo-Ameyaw | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
| Mathis Amougou | 63 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | 3 |
| Rafael Luis | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 3 |
| Gessime Yassine | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Sebastian Nanasi | 82 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 2 |
| Yaya Diémé | 72 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Samir El Mourabet | 45 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 4 |
| Diego Moreira | 27 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Andrew Omobamidele | 19 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Julio Enciso | 18 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Emmanuel Emegha | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Karl-Johan Johnsson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amadou Cissé | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyrese Noubissie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Junior Mwanga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Toulouse
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guillaume Restes | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Mark McKenzie | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 1 |
| Charlie Cresswell | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 51 | — |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 3 |
| Aron Dønnum | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 2 |
| Alexis Vossah | 82 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Cristian Cásseres Jr. | 90 | 8.0 | — | 2 | — | 46 | 5 |
| Dayann Methalie | 78 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 3 |
| Santiago Hidalgo | 78 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 21 | 7 |
| Yann Gboho | 82 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 26 | 2 |
| Jacen Russell Rowe | 63 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 |
| Emersonn | 27 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Djibril Sidibé | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Waren Kamanzi | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Mario Sauer | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Ilyas Azizi | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Kjetil Haug | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gaëtan Bakhouche | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seny Koumbassa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Vignolo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →