Aston Villa
2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Aston Villa’s results
Premier LeagueMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTREAston Villa vs Nottingham Forest match centre
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha74′
Liam Delap46′
Igor Jesus88′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
0.820Expected goals · API-Football2.280
5Shots on target7
7Total Shots22
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks1
11Fouls16
2Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves5
421Total passes360
346Passes accurate309
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Aston Villa 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Nottingham Forest 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Nottingham Forest
3/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Nottingham Forest’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Aston Villa
10 matchesResults2 wins · 1 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Club Brugge KVAway · UEFA Champions League3–2Hull CityAway · Premier League0–0ArsenalHome · Premier League0–1BrightonAway · Premier League0–4Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2Paris Saint GermainAway · UEFA Super Cup1–2Bayern MünchenAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2BG Pathum UnitedAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1Real SociedadHome · Friendlies Clubs2–4FC PortoAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2
Nottingham Forest
10 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
TottenhamHome · Premier League0–0LiverpoolAway · Premier League2–2LeedsHome · League Cup0–2LeedsHome · Premier League0–1Stade Brestois 29Home · Friendlies Clubs2–0Bayer LeverkusenHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1BarcelonaAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1UdineseAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1Sporting CPAway · Friendlies Clubs1–4PortimonenseAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Aston Villa at home with Nottingham Forest away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 11:02 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
Aston VillaNottingham Forest
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Aston Villa at home with Nottingham Forest away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Aston Villa
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Unai Emery
- 1
Z. SuzukiG - 29
A. Wan-BissakaD - 3
V. LindelöfD - 14
Pau TorresD - 22
I. MaatsenD - 8
B. KamaraM - 6
R. BarkleyM - 7
J. McGinnM - 10
E. BuendíaM - 53
George HemmingsM - 11
N. JacksonF
Substitutes (9)
19 · I. Mbaye
18 · T. Abraham
17 · A. Garnacho
47 · Alysson Edward
44 · J. Manzambi
26 · L. Bogarde
13 · M. Ruggeri
5 · T. Mings
40 · M. Bizot
Nottingham Forest
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1O. Glasner
- 26
M. SelsG - 34
O. AinaD - 2
O. DiomandeD - 5
MurilloD - 27
D. MuñozM - 24
J. McAteeM - 21
X. SchlagerM - 3
N. WilliamsM - 14
D. NdoyeM - 10
M. Gibbs-WhiteM - 19
L. DelapF
Substitutes (9)
9 · C. Wood
15 · A. Kalimuendo
12 · John
25 · L. Netz
7 · C. Hudson-Odoi
6 · I. Sangaré
8 · N. Domínguez
22 · R. Yates
11 · Igor Jesus
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gibbs-White | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 1 |
| A. Kalimuendo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| C. Wood | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Igor Jesus | 15 | 7.8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| R. Yates | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Domínguez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Sangaré | 8 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| C. Hudson-Odoi | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Netz | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| John | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Delap | 89 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 1 |
| D. Ndoye | 75 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| N. Williams | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| J. McAtee | 82 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 48 | 3 |
| X. Schlager | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 6 |
| O. Diomande | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 1 |
| Murillo | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 43 | 2 |
| O. Aina | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 3 |
| M. Sels | 90 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 0 |
| D. Muñoz | 90 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 4 |
Aston Villa
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wan-Bissaka | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 5 |
| V. Lindelöf | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 66 | 0 |
| Pau Torres | 25 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 |
| I. Maatsen | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 1 |
| B. Kamara | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36 | 3 |
| R. Barkley | 63 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 4 |
| J. McGinn | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 1 |
| E. Buendía | 63 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 |
| George Hemmings | 45 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| I. Mbaye | 27 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| T. Abraham | 45 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| A. Garnacho | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alysson Edward | 45 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 |
| J. Manzambi | 27 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 |
| L. Bogarde | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Ruggeri | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Mings | 65 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| M. Bizot | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Jackson | 45 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Z. Suzuki | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 5 |  Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | LDDWW |
| 9 |  Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LDDDL |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LDDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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