F. AzeezAbdominal strain
Reported out
Premier LeagueMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTREBrighton vs Arsenal match centre
Full time
3:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Pascal Groß31′
Charalampos Kostoulas45′
Chema Andrés57′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 10:04 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 14:52 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
BrightonArsenal
—Expected goals · API-Football—
5Shots on target2
17Total Shots8
42%Ball Possession58%
5Corner Kicks5
13Fouls10
4Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
335Total passes476
255Passes accurate402
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Brighton 10 reported
E. FergusonAnkle Injury
Reported out
J. HinshelwoodInjury
Reported out
Y. MintehInjury
Reported out
K. MitomaHamstring Injury
Reported out
M. SvobodaInjury
Reported out
S. TzimasKnee Injury
Reported out
M. WiefferKnee Injury
Reported out
Z. YohannaLacking Match Fitness
Reported out
J. HadjamInjury
Doubtful
Arsenal 3 reported
W. SalibaBack Injury
Reported out
C. MosqueraMuscle Injury
Doubtful
B. WhiteGroin Injury
DoubtfulFetched 18 Sep, 21:36 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Brighton
7/10Wins
2.8Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Brighton’s resultsArsenal
7/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Arsenal’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Brighton
10 matchesResults7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.8
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Manchester UnitedAway · League Cup3–2CoventryAway · Premier League5–0LeedsHome · Premier League1–1ChelseaAway · Premier League3–4TromsoHome · UEFA Europa Conference League4–0Aston VillaHome · Premier League4–0TromsoAway · UEFA Europa Conference League0–0BolognaHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0AS RomaHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0StrasbourgHome · Friendlies Clubs4–3
Arsenal
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
IpswichAway · League Cup4–2SunderlandAway · Premier League2–0NapoliAway · UEFA Champions League1–0ChelseaHome · Premier League2–1Aston VillaAway · Premier League1–0CoventryHome · Premier League3–0Manchester CityHome · Community Shield3–0ComoHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1Borussia DortmundHome · Emirates Cup2–3Real BetisHome · Friendlies Clubs1–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Brighton at home with Arsenal away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:46 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2026/27 · all league matches
BrightonArsenal
4Matches played4
7Points earned12
2Wins4
3.3Goals scored / match2.0
1.3Goals conceded / match0.3
2Clean sheets3
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Brighton at home with Arsenal away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Brighton
0wins4MEETINGS
Arsenal
3winsJan 2025 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Brighton first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Brighton
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1F. Hürzeler
- 1
B. VerbruggenG - 24
F. KadıoğluD - 44
L. VuškovićD - 4
P. StruijkD - 21
O. BoscagliD - 14
José María Andrés BaixauliM - 13
P. GroßM - 25
D. GómezM - 26
Y. AyariM - 29
M. De CuyperM - 19
C. KostoulasF
Substitutes (9)
12 · P. David
35 · M. Yalcouyé
33 · M. O'Riley
15 · I. Osman
10 · G. Rutter
30 · M. Svoboda
20 · Costinha
3 · J. Hadjam
23 · J. Steele
Arsenal
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mikel Arteta
- 1
David RayaG - 12
J. TimberD - 15
E. KonsaD - 6
Gabriel MagalhãesD - 33
R. CalafioriD - 41
D. RiceM - 39
Bruno GuimarãesM - 7
B. SakaM - 8
M. ØdegaardM - 17
C. TzolisM - 29
K. HavertzF
Substitutes (9)
13 · Kepa
5 · P. Hincapié
49 · M. Lewis-Skelly
10 · E. Eze
23 · Mikel Merino
36 · Martín Zubimendi
56 · M. Dowman
14 · V. Gyökeres
20 · N. Madueke
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Brighton
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Kadıoğlu | 76 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 0 |
| B. Verbruggen | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 |
| C. Kostoulas | 76 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 1 |
| M. De Cuyper | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 3 |
| José María Andrés Baixauli | 85 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 0 |
| D. Gómez | 86 | 7.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 5 |
| Y. Ayari | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| P. Groß | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 1 |
| O. Boscagli | 90 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 2 |
| P. Struijk | 86 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 49 | 1 |
| L. Vušković | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 2 |
| P. David | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Yalcouyé | 5 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| M. O'Riley | 4 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| I. Osman | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Rutter | 14 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| M. Svoboda | 4 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Costinha | 14 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| J. Hadjam | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Steele | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Arsenal
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Madueke | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| V. Gyökeres | 17 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| M. Dowman | 9 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Martín Zubimendi | 30 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 |
| Mikel Merino | 30 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
| E. Eze | 17 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| M. Lewis-Skelly | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| P. Hincapié | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kepa | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Havertz | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 0 |
| C. Tzolis | 73 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 1 |
| M. Ødegaard | 73 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 0 |
| B. Saka | 81 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| D. Rice | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 2 |
| Bruno Guimarães | 60 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 |
| R. Calafiori | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 3 |
| Gabriel Magalhães | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 3 |
| E. Konsa | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 0 |
| J. Timber | 60 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 |
| David Raya | 90 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Premier League table
Current standings · Premier League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 5 |  Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 | WDWDD |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | WDDDW |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 | LDDWW |
| 9 |  Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 | LDDDL |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 | DDLLL |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | LDDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Brighton | Draw | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| Marathonbet | 5.25 | 3.95 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.67 |
| Pinnacle | 5.35 | 3.90 | 1.71 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 14:52 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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