Derby
3/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Derby’s results
ChampionshipMatchweek 2THE MATCH CENTREDerby vs Cardiff match centre
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
C. Morris26′
B. Clark49′
C. Ashford19′
Y. Salech39′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
DerbyCardiff
1.620Expected goals · API-Football1.980
7Shots on target7
15Total Shots16
36%Ball Possession64%
7Corner Kicks7
12Fouls10
5Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves4
282Total passes521
222Passes accurate445
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Derby 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Cardiff 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Cardiff
7/10Wins
3.2Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Cardiff’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Derby
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CharltonAway · Championship1–2LincolnHome · League Cup1–2RotherhamAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1Burton AlbionAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1Mansfield TownAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1ValenciaHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2SC FreiburgAway · Friendlies Clubs1–3Alfreton TownAway · Friendlies Clubs2–0Sheffield UtdHome · Championship1–2QPRAway · Championship3–2
Cardiff
10 matchesResults7 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game3.2
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
WrexhamHome · Championship1–1Swindon TownHome · League Cup3–2AS RomaHome · Friendlies Clubs4–1Forest GreenAway · Friendlies Clubs5–1Cork CityAway · Friendlies Clubs6–1FC MidtjyllandHome · Friendlies Clubs0–6Mansfield TownAway · League One4–5NorthamptonHome · League One5–1Port ValeHome · League One1–0ReadingAway · League One3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Derby at home with Cardiff away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Championship · 2026/27 · all league matches
DerbyCardiff
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Derby at home with Cardiff away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Derby
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1John Eustace
- 1
J. Widell ZetterstromG - 22
M. JohnstonD - 28
D. SandersonD - 6
S. LangasD - 18
C. TaylorD - 27
L. TravisM - 20
A. MowattM - 8
B. ClarkM - 29
O. FrauloM - 33
C. Blackett-TaylorM - 9
C. MorrisF
Substitutes (9)
31 · J. Vickers
3 · C. Forsyth
24 · R. Nyambe
37 · O. Eames
23 · J. Ward
13 · F. Bilbija
26 · R. Hedges
15 · L. Salvesen
10 · R. Brewster
Cardiff
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Brian Barry-Murphy
- 1
N. TrottG - 44
R. KpakioD - 38
P. NgD - 3
J. BaganD - 23
C. ScanlonD - 8
J. MoylanM - 18
A. RobertsonM - 11
O. TannerM - 10
R. ColwillM - 45
C. AshfordM - 9
Y. SalechF
Substitutes (9)
30 · H. Tyrer
41 · M. Turner
40 · N. Anyadike
14 · D. Turnbull
16 · C. Willock
27 · J. Colwill
33 · R. Tankiewicz
39 · I. Davies
47 · C. Robinson
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Derby
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Widell Zetterström | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Max Johnston | 88 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 |
| Dion Sanderson | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 3 |
| Sondre Langås | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Charlie Taylor | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Lewis Travis | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | — |
| Alex Mowatt | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 3 |
| Bobby Clark | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 1 |
| Oscar Fraulo | 64 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 11 | — |
| Corey Blackett-Taylor | 65 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 88 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 1 |
| Ryan Hedges | 26 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Rhian Brewster | 25 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Ryan Nyambe | 8 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Lars-Jørgen Salvesen | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Josh Vickers | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Craig Forsyth | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Ward | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Eames | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Bilbija | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Cardiff
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Trott | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 54 | — |
| Ronan Kpakio | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 48 | 3 |
| Perry Ng | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 62 | 2 |
| Joel Bagan | 90 | 8.7 | — | 0 | — | 99 | 2 |
| Calum Scanlon | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 51 | — |
| Jack Moylan | 71 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 |
| Alex Robertson | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 61 | 1 |
| Ollie Tanner | 71 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 |
| Rubin Colwill | 59 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 3 |
| Cian Ashford | 59 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Yousef Salech | 90 | 6.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | — |
| Chris Willock | 31 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| David Turnbull | 31 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 31 | 2 |
| Joel Colwill | 19 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Isaak Davies | 19 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 |
| Matthew Turner | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harry Tyrer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Anyadike | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rob Tankiewicz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum Robinson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Championship table
Current standings · Championship. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | WWLDW |
| 2 |  West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | DDWWD |
| 4 |  Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | DDDLW |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WLLWW |
| 9 |  Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | DWLDD |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 12 |  Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | LWWDD |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 | LWWDD |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | WLDDW |
| 15 |  Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 | WWLLL |
| 16 |  Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | DWLLD |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 18 |  Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | WLDLL |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 23 |  Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | DLLWL |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 | DLDLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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