Derby
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Derby’s results
League CupRound of 128THE MATCH CENTREDerby vs Lincoln match centre
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. Szmodics45+1′
B. House3′
D. Jefferies23′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
DerbyLincoln
—Expected goals · API-Football—
1Shots on target3
2Total Shots5
71%Ball Possession29%
2Corner Kicks2
3Fouls7
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves1
200Total passes80
171Passes accurate53
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Derby 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Lincoln 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Lincoln
5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Lincoln’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Derby
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
RotherhamAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1Burton AlbionAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1Mansfield TownAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1ValenciaHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2SC FreiburgAway · Friendlies Clubs1–3Alfreton TownAway · Friendlies Clubs2–0Sheffield UtdHome · Championship1–2QPRAway · Championship3–2NorwichAway · Championship1–2Oxford UnitedHome · Championship1–0
Lincoln
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BarnsleyAway · Friendlies Clubs0–3DoncasterAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0GrimsbyAway · Friendlies Clubs1–5Leyton OrientHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2Boston UnitedAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0Lincoln UnitedAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2Port ValeAway · League One2–0WycombeHome · League One4–3DoncasterAway · League One2–0StevenageAway · League One2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Derby at home with Lincoln away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:01 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League Cup · 2026/27 · all league matches
DerbyLincoln
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Derby at home with Lincoln away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Derby
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1John Eustace
- 1
J. Widell ZetterstromG - 23
J. WardD - 6
S. LangasD - 5
M. ClarkeD - 18
C. TaylorD - 29
O. FrauloM - 27
L. TravisM - 11
S. SzmodicsM - 8
B. ClarkM - 33
C. Blackett-TaylorM - 9
C. MorrisF
Substitutes (9)
31 · J. Vickers
28 · D. Sanderson
13 · F. Bilbija
37 · O. Eames
3 · C. Forsyth
15 · L. Salvesen
22 · M. Johnston
40 · C. Allen
41 · C. Smith
Lincoln
Confirmed formationPending
- 1
G. WickensG - 2
T. DarikwaD - 22
T. HamerD - 25
D. ElereweD - 3
A. ReachD - 16
D. JefferiesM - 14
C. McGrandlesM - 24
I. VarfolomeevM - 18
B. HouseM - 17
R. StreetF - 34
F. DraperF
Substitutes (9)
46 · J. Gauci
21 · J. Pardington
20 · C. Elder
7 · R. Hackett-Fairchild
19 · T. Olaofe
4 · A. Coubis
23 · J. Honohan
6 · R. Towler
10 · M. Melia
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Derby
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Widell Zetterström | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 36 | — |
| Joe Ward | 95 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 33 | — |
| Sondre Langås | 95 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 72 | 2 |
| Matt Clarke | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 53 | — |
| Charlie Taylor | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 39 | 3 |
| Oscar Fraulo | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 28 | 1 |
| Lewis Travis | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 89 | 4 |
| Sammie Szmodics | 80 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 3 |
| Bobby Clark | 95 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 28 | — |
| Corey Blackett-Taylor | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 10 | 1 |
| Carlton Morris | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 2 |
| Dion Sanderson | 50 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 30 | — |
| Craig Forsyth | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 33 | — |
| Max Johnston | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 16 | 1 |
| Filip Bilbija | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 12 | 2 |
| Lars-Jørgen Salvesen | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Josh Vickers | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cruz Allen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charlie Smith | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Owen Eames | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lincoln
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Wickens | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 29 | — |
| Tendayi Darikwa | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 25 | 3 |
| Thomas Hamer | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 2 |
| Deji Elerewe | 95 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 2 |
| Adam Reach | 88 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 19 | 2 |
| Dom Jefferies | 67 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| Conor McGrandles | 95 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 26 | — |
| Varfolomieiev Ivan | 95 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 4 |
| Ben House | 79 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 15 | 2 |
| Robert Street | 79 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 10 | — |
| Freddie Draper | 79 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Ryley Towler | 28 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 4 | 1 |
| Reeco Hackett-Fairchild | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 5 | — |
| Isaac Olaofe | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Mason Melia | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Callum Elder | 7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 |
| Joe Gauci | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Pardington | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrei Coubiș | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joshua Honohan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗League Cup table
Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
Standings are not available for this competition and season.
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Derby | Draw | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
Snapshot from 7 Aug 2026, 16:16 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →