Derby
2/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Derby’s results
ChampionshipMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTREDerby vs Swansea match centre
Full time
0:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Opoku2′
Eom Ji-Sung44′
Ronald90′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
DerbySwansea
0.700Expected goals · API-Football3.000
0Shots on target12
8Total Shots23
47%Ball Possession53%
5Corner Kicks6
16Fouls7
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
9Goalkeeper Saves0
404Total passes475
308Passes accurate394
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Derby 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Swansea 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Swansea
4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Swansea’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Derby
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CardiffHome · Championship2–2CharltonAway · Championship1–2LincolnHome · League Cup1–2RotherhamAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1Burton AlbionAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1Mansfield TownAway · Friendlies Clubs3–1ValenciaHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2SC FreiburgAway · Friendlies Clubs1–3Alfreton TownAway · Friendlies Clubs2–0Sheffield UtdHome · Championship1–2
Swansea
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sheffield UtdHome · Championship0–0Stoke CityAway · Championship2–1BirminghamHome · League Cup0–1LeganesHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0Merthyr TownAway · Friendlies Clubs0–3UdineseHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0VfL BochumHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2Holstein KielHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2CharltonHome · Championship3–1NorwichAway · Championship1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Derby at home with Swansea away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:00 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Championship · 2026/27 · all league matches
DerbySwansea
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Derby at home with Swansea away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Derby
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1John Eustace
- 1
J. Widell ZetterstromG - 22
M. JohnstonD - 6
S. LangasD - 28
D. SandersonD - 18
C. TaylorD - 20
A. MowattM - 27
L. TravisM - 26
R. HedgesM - 8
B. ClarkM - 33
C. Blackett-TaylorM - 15
L. SalvesenF
Substitutes (9)
31 · J. Vickers
3 · C. Forsyth
24 · R. Nyambe
11 · S. Szmodics
37 · O. Eames
23 · J. Ward
29 · O. Fraulo
13 · F. Bilbija
10 · R. Brewster
Swansea
Confirmed formation4-3-3Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos
- 22
L. VigourouxG - 2
J. KeyD - 26
F. LissahD - 23
S. WelshD - 14
J. TymonD - 7
M. WidellM - 4
J. FultonM - 6
M. StamenicM - 30
J. Opoku - 33
A. IdahF - 10
Eom Ji-SungF
Substitutes (9)
1 · A. Fisher
3 · J. Seelt
20 · T. Parente
46 · S. Eustaquio
44 · T. Woodward
8 · E. Just
35 · Ronald
9 · Z. Vipotnik
49 · M. K. Yeo
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Derby
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Widell Zetterström | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Max Johnston | 45 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | — |
| Sondre Langås | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | — |
| Dion Sanderson | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 48 | — |
| Charlie Taylor | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Alex Mowatt | 78 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 6 |
| Lewis Travis | 86 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 56 | 4 |
| Ryan Hedges | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 2 |
| Bobby Clark | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 3 |
| Corey Blackett-Taylor | 45 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Lars-Jørgen Salvesen | 69 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Sammie Szmodics | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Joe Ward | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Rhian Brewster | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Filip Bilbija | 21 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Owen Eames | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Josh Vickers | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Craig Forsyth | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Nyambe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Fraulo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swansea
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Vigouroux | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 43 | — |
| Josh Key | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 5 |
| Filip Lissah | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 1 |
| Stephen Welsh | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 57 | 1 |
| Josh Tymon | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 1 |
| Melker Widell | 65 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 |
| Jay Fulton | 65 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 4 |
| Marko Stamenić | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 52 | 1 |
| Joseph Opoku | 24 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | — |
| Adam Idah | 65 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 15 | — |
| Ji-sung Eom | 85 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 1 |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 66 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 22 | 3 |
| Elijah Just | 25 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | — |
| Stephen Eustaquio | 25 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Žan Vipotnik | 25 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 3 | — |
| Ronald | 10 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| Andrew Fisher | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jenson Seelt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Parente | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Woodward | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Championship table
Current standings · Championship. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | WWLDW |
| 2 |  West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | DDWWD |
| 4 |  Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | DDDLW |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WLLWW |
| 9 |  Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | DWLDD |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 12 |  Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | LWWDD |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 | LWWDD |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | WLDDW |
| 15 |  Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 | WWLLL |
| 16 |  Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | DWLLD |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 18 |  Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | WLDLL |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 23 |  Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | DLLWL |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 | DLDLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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