Swansea
5/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Swansea’s results
ChampionshipMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTRESwansea vs Watford match centre
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Eom Ji-Sung8′
A. Idah29′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
SwanseaWatford
2.710Expected goals · API-Football0.880
8Shots on target3
18Total Shots9
60%Ball Possession40%
5Corner Kicks3
6Fouls14
0Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves6
577Total passes374
480Passes accurate303
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Swansea 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Watford 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Watford
3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Watford’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Swansea
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
DerbyAway · Championship3–0Sheffield UtdHome · Championship0–0Stoke CityAway · Championship2–1BirminghamHome · League Cup0–1LeganesHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0Merthyr TownAway · Friendlies Clubs0–3UdineseHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0VfL BochumHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2Holstein KielHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2CharltonHome · Championship3–1
Watford
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
West HamHome · Championship1–1PeterboroughHome · League Cup1–5WrexhamAway · Championship1–1SouthamptonHome · Championship2–1Crawley TownHome · League Cup1–0FiorentinaHome · Friendlies Clubs0–1Hansa RostockHome · Friendlies Clubs3–0BarnetAway · Friendlies Clubs2–2Boreham WoodAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2CoventryHome · Championship0–4
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Swansea at home with Watford away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:05 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Championship · 2026/27 · all league matches
SwanseaWatford
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Swansea at home with Watford away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Swansea
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Vitor Emanuel Soares Matos
- 22
L. VigourouxG - 2
J. KeyD - 26
F. LissahD - 23
S. WelshD - 14
J. TymonD - 6
M. StamenicM - 30
J. Opoku - 8
E. JustM - 46
S. EustaquioM - 10
Eom Ji-SungM - 33
A. IdahF
Substitutes (9)
1 · A. Fisher
50 · C. Heywood
3 · J. Seelt
7 · M. Widell
16 · T. Iorpenda
44 · T. Woodward
4 · J. Fulton
9 · Z. Vipotnik
49 · M. K. Yeo
Watford
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Alessio Dionisi
- 1
F. RavagliaG - 23
O. H. TraoreD - 6
M. PollockD - 4
K. KebenD - 33
J. ZemuraD - 39
E. KayembeM - 5
H. KyprianouM - 7
O. MaammaM - 17
I. BravoM - 21
A. NabizadaM - 20
M. DoumbiaF
Substitutes (9)
24 · S. Walker
26 · D. Bachmann
56 · A. Eames
22 · M. Payero
8 · E. Bove
29 · B. Mlacic
11 · R. Vata
9 · L. Kjerrumgaard
48 · M. Adu Poku
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Swansea
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lawrence Vigouroux | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 52 | — |
| Josh Key | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 56 | 1 |
| Filip Lissah | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 73 | 1 |
| Stephen Welsh | 86 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 75 | 2 |
| Josh Tymon | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 55 | — |
| Marko Stamenić | 68 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
| Joseph Opoku | 57 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 25 | 3 |
| Elijah Just | 57 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Stephen Eustaquio | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 2 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 90 | 8.6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 4 |
| Adam Idah | 67 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 |
| Moussa Kounfolo Yeo | 33 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Melker Widell | 33 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 22 | 2 |
| Žan Vipotnik | 23 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Jay Fulton | 22 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Jenson Seelt | 8 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Andrew Fisher | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carter Heywood | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Iorpenda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Woodward | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Watford
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Ravaglia | 90 | 9.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Omar Haktab Traore | 31 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Matthew Pollock | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | 1 |
| Kévin Keben Biakolo | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Jordan Zemura | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | 1 |
| Hector Kyprianou | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 52 | 2 |
| Othmane Maamma | 65 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 1 |
| Iker Bravo | 83 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 2 |
| Amin Nabizada | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 4 |
| Mamadou Doumbia | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 16 | 2 |
| Branimir Mlačić | 59 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| Edoardo Bove | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Rocco Vata | 25 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Sam Walker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bachmann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Albert Eames | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Adu-Poku | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martín Payero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Championship table
Current standings · Championship. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | WWLDW |
| 2 |  West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | DDWWD |
| 4 |  Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | DDDLW |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WLLWW |
| 9 |  Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | DWLDD |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 12 |  Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | LWWDD |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 | LWWDD |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | WLDDW |
| 15 |  Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 | WWLLL |
| 16 |  Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | DWLLD |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 18 |  Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 20 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | WLDLL |
| 22 |  Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 23 |  Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | DLLWL |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 | DLDLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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