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ChampionshipMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTRE

Bristol City vs Lincoln match centre

Bristol City badgeBristol CityHome · 8 in league
DWWWL
Momentum↘ Falling65/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Lincoln badgeLincolnAway · 12 in league
WDDLW
Momentum→ Steady52/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
F. Draper53′
Ashton Gate Stadium · BristolSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 15 Sep 15:09 UK.

Odds updated 15 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win1.90Our model 33.7%Market 49.3% Draw3.50Our model 26.2%Market 26.7% Away win3.90Our model 40.1%Market 24.0% Bet365 · Updated 15 Sep 19:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Bristol CityLincoln
13Corner Kicks4
13Fouls18
2Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
507Total passes244
428Passes accurate155

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Bristol City 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Lincoln 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Bristol City

4/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Bristol City’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Lincoln

4/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Lincoln’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bristol City at home with Lincoln away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:59 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Championship · 2026/27 · all league matches

Bristol CityLincoln
6Matches played6
10Points earned8
3Wins2
1.7Goals scored / match0.9
1.8Goals conceded / match1.0
0Clean sheets3
1Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bristol City at home with Lincoln away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

1 recorded meetings

Bristol City

0wins
0 draws

Lincoln

1wins

Nov 2022 – Nov 2022 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.

Scores shown with Bristol City first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Bristol City

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1M. Skubala
  1. 1S. TickleG
  2. 21Rio CardinesD
  3. 16R. DickieD
  4. 2L. EissatD
  5. 3C. PringD
  6. 12J. KnightM
  7. 27G. YahM
  8. 17J. WallaceM
  9. 10S. TwineM
  10. 7Y. HirakawaM
  11. 9L. TolajF
Substitutes (9)

4 · A. Randell

19 · G. Tanner

45 · E. Adebayo

5 · R. Atkinson

23 · D. Ballard

11 · S. Bell

40 · B. Collins

38 · N. Eile

20 · S. Greenwood

Lincoln

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Chris Cohen
  1. 1G. WickensG
  2. 25D. ElereweD
  3. 15S. BradleyD
  4. 6R. TowlerD
  5. 16D. JefferiesM
  6. 24I. VarfolomeevM
  7. 14C. McGrandlesM
  8. 3A. ReachM
  9. 18B. HouseM
  10. 27C. OgbeneM
  11. 34F. DraperF
Substitutes (9)

4 · A. Coubiș

46 · J. Gauci

7 · R. Hackett

26 · Y. Konak

11 · M. Ladefoged

19 · I. Olaofe

33 · D. Oyegoke

17 · R. Street

8 · T. Bayliss

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Bristol City

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rio Cardines907.8000722
S. Tickle906.5000280
G. Tanner00.000000
A. Randell00.000000
S. Greenwood146.600111
N. Eile00.000000
B. Collins00.000000
S. Bell46.300020
D. Ballard317.000380
R. Atkinson146.7001130
E. Adebayo146.300030
J. Wallace595.9001170
S. Twine766.0000271
L. Tolaj766.100380
C. Pring866.6000440
J. Knight906.4000691
Y. Hirakawa906.2003201
L. Eissat906.8003700
R. Dickie767.2001680
G. Yah906.7002622

Lincoln

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
I. Varfolomeev966.3000223
T. Bayliss00.000010
A. Coubiș00.000000
J. Gauci00.000000
R. Hackett276.900070
Y. Konak00.000000
M. Ladefoged00.000000
I. Olaofe00.000000
D. Oyegoke197.200151
R. Street196.600041
R. Towler906.0000221
A. Reach716.7000221
C. Ogbene636.600390
C. McGrandles906.2000331
D. Jefferies907.0001130
B. House907.6010104
D. Elerewe906.8001252
F. Draper717.9103110
S. Bradley906.9000201
G. Wickens906.8000440
2026/27 STANDINGS

Championship table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Championship. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Swansea8521136717
WWLDW
2West Ham843122111115
DWWWW
3Middlesbrough84311612415
DDWWD
4Wolves74211510514
WWDLW
5West Brom8422108214
LDWWD
6QPR8341107313
DDDLW
7Stoke City84131312113
WWDWW
8Bristol City84131112-113
WLLWW
9Charlton8332710-312
LDDLD
10Birmingham82511211111
DWLDD
11Millwall83231515011
DDLWL
12Lincoln832378-111
LWWDD
13Southampton84221910910
LWWDD
14Wrexham8242912-310
WLDDW
15Bolton83141115-410
WWLLL
16Blackburn8233121209
DWLLD
17Norwich83051617-19
LLWWL
18Sheffield Utd8233911-29
LLWLW
19Portsmouth7223910-18
DDWLL
20Watford8224710-38
LLWLL
21Cardiff81431012-27
WLDLL
22Derby8125714-75
DLLLW
23Preston8116815-74
DLLWL
24Burnley8044917-84
DLDLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerBristol CityDrawLincoln
William Hill1.853.304.00
Bet3651.903.503.90
Marathonbet1.843.454.15
Betfair1.913.404.20
BetVictor1.873.504.20

Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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