Cardiff
4/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Cardiff’s results
ChampionshipMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTRECardiff vs Stoke City match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Colwill63′
B. Johnson23′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
CardiffStoke City
2.920Expected goals · API-Football0.750
7Shots on target4
27Total Shots12
71%Ball Possession29%
7Corner Kicks5
5Fouls19
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves6
562Total passes230
489Passes accurate156
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Cardiff 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Stoke City 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Stoke City
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Stoke City’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Cardiff
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
PortsmouthAway · Championship0–2QPRAway · Championship1–2Sheffield UtdHome · Championship2–2NorwichHome · League Cup1–2DerbyAway · Championship2–2WrexhamHome · Championship1–1Swindon TownHome · League Cup3–2AS RomaHome · Friendlies Clubs4–1Forest GreenAway · Friendlies Clubs5–1Cork CityAway · Friendlies Clubs6–1
Stoke City
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CharltonHome · Championship4–0NorwichHome · Championship1–0WolvesAway · Championship1–4Hull CityHome · League Cup1–1SouthamptonAway · Championship1–3SwanseaHome · Championship1–2OldhamHome · League Cup2–0ValenciaHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1EvertonHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0CreweAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Cardiff at home with Stoke City away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:00 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Championship · 2026/27 · all league matches
CardiffStoke City
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Cardiff at home with Stoke City away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Cardiff
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Brian Barry-Murphy
- 1
N. TrottG - 38
P. NgD - 5
K. BielikD - 4
G. OshoD - 3
J. BaganD - 18
A. RobertsonM - 27
J. ColwillM - 11
O. TannerM - 8
J. MoylanM - 16
C. WillockM - 9
Y. SalechF
Substitutes (9)
30 · H. Tyrer
23 · C. Scanlon
44 · R. Kpakio
40 · N. Anyadike
14 · D. Turnbull
45 · C. Ashford
33 · R. Tankiewicz
43 · P. Moreno
47 · C. Robinson
Stoke City
Confirmed formation3-5-2Mark Robins
- 1
V. JohanssonG - 16
B. WilmotD - 40
M. TalovierovD - 5
L. GrahamD - 2
B. JohnsonM - 13
J. DevennyM - 27
D. SoumareM - 8
E. GalbraithM - 21
L. BombinoM - 15
G. HirstF - 9
R. BozenikF
Substitutes (9)
24 · J. Griffiths
43 · F. Anderson
17 · E. Bocat
4 · B. Pearson
7 · J. McGlynn
19 · T. Rigo
10 · Bae Jun-Ho
42 · M. Manhoef
11 · L. Cisse
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Cardiff
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Trott | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Perry Ng | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 71 | 2 |
| Krystian Bielik | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 86 | 1 |
| Gabriel Osho | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 77 | — |
| Joel Bagan | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 68 | 2 |
| Alex Robertson | 90 | 8.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 81 | 1 |
| Joel Colwill | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 1 |
| Ollie Tanner | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 5 | 33 | 3 |
| Jack Moylan | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 33 | 2 |
| Chris Willock | 82 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | 29 | — |
| Yousef Salech | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 5 | 11 | — |
| Cian Ashford | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Harry Tyrer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calum Scanlon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Anyadike | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronan Kpakio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Turnbull | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Moreno | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rob Tankiewicz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum Robinson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Stoke City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Johansson | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Ben Wilmot | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Maksym Talovierov | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Luke Graham | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Ben Johnson | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1 |
| Justin Devenny | 69 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Djibril Soumaré | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Ethan Galbraith | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Luca Bombino | 59 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 4 |
| George Hirst | 59 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 8 | — |
| Róbert Boženík | 69 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 19 | — |
| Eric Bocat | 31 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Jun-Ho Bae | 31 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 2 |
| Jack McGlynn | 21 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 2 |
| Lamine Cissé | 21 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Joshua Griffiths | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Freddie Anderson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Rigo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Million Manhoef | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Pearson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Championship table
Current standings · Championship. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | WWLDW |
| 2 |  West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | DDWWD |
| 4 |  Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | DDDLW |
| 7 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WLLWW |
| 9 |  Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | DWLDD |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 12 |  Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | LWWDD |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 | LWWDD |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | WLDDW |
| 15 |  Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 | WWLLL |
| 16 |  Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | DWLLD |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 18 |  Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | WLDLL |
| 22 |  Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 23 |  Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | DLLWL |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 | DLDLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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