Middlesbrough
6/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Middlesbrough’s results
ChampionshipMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTREMiddlesbrough vs Millwall match centre
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Amario Cozier-Duberry50′
will lankshear61′
Taïryk Arconte11′
Lyndon Dykes36′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 15 Sep 15:09 UK.
Odds updated 15 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MiddlesbroughMillwall
1.520Expected goals · API-Football1.690
7Shots on target4
21Total Shots11
81%Ball Possession19%
14Corner Kicks1
3Fouls12
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
636Total passes157
587Passes accurate97
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Middlesbrough 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Millwall 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Millwall
5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Millwall’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Middlesbrough
10 matchesResults6 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Millwall
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BlackburnAway · Championship1–3NewcastleHome · League Cup0–1BoltonHome · Championship4–0WrexhamHome · Championship0–3SouthamptonAway · Championship1–5Cambridge UnitedAway · League Cup1–0NorwichHome · Championship3–0Bristol CityAway · Championship2–0QPRAway · League Cup1–1AntwerpHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Middlesbrough at home with Millwall away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 09:51 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Championship · 2026/27 · all league matches
MiddlesbroughMillwall
6Matches played6
13Points earned9
4Wins3
2.0Goals scored / match1.8
1.4Goals conceded / match1.9
1Clean sheets3
0Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Middlesbrough at home with Millwall away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Middlesbrough
2wins4MEETINGS
Millwall
2winsDec 2024 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Middlesbrough first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Middlesbrough
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1K. Hellberg
- 1
R. VítekG - 2
C. BrittainD - 12
L. AylingD - 4
A. PhillipsD - 30
Neto BorgesD - 10
A. MorrisM - 6
S. BerhalterM - 11
A. Cozier-DuberryM - 8
R. McGreeM - 9
T. ConwayM - 7
W. LankshearF
Substitutes (9)
14 · M. Peart-Harris
21 · R. Pukštas
13 · D. Strelec
16 · J. Sarmiento
17 · M. Arfsten
31 · S. Brynn
3 · S. Byram
19 · Leo Castledine
22 · K. Joseph
Millwall
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1A. Neil
- 15
M. CrocombeG - 2
J. Osei-TutuD - 6
C. TaylorD - 5
J. CooperD - 3
Zak Norton SturgeD - 14
Jenson MetcalfeM - 49
D. Mazou-SackoM - 17
M. SykesM - 13
L. DykesM - 10
C. NeghliM - 7
T. ArconteF
Substitutes (9)
25 · L. Cundle
35 · Y. Issoufou
16 · D. Kelly
29 · Z. Lovelace
34 · F. Marschall
44 · Alfie Massey
55 · Tristan Parkes
12 · E. Baggott
23 · D. Batth
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Middlesbrough
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ayling | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 77 | 0 |
| R. Vítek | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 |
| D. Strelec | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| J. Sarmiento | 44 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| R. Pukštas | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Peart-Harris | 12 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
| K. Joseph | 44 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| Leo Castledine | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Byram | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| S. Brynn | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Arfsten | 44 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 1 |
| Neto Borges | 46 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 |
| A. Morris | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 107 | 1 |
| R. McGree | 78 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 0 |
| W. Lankshear | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
| A. Cozier-Duberry | 85 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 44 | 0 |
| T. Conway | 46 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 |
| C. Brittain | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 1 |
| S. Berhalter | 46 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| A. Phillips | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 1 |
Millwall
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Taylor | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 |
| E. Baggott | 34 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| D. Batth | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Cundle | 6 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Y. Issoufou | 6 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| D. Kelly | 15 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Z. Lovelace | 15 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| F. Marschall | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alfie Massey | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tristan Parkes | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Sykes | 84 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 |
| Zak Norton Sturge | 84 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 |
| J. Osei-Tutu | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| C. Neghli | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 1 |
| Jenson Metcalfe | 75 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 |
| D. Mazou-Sacko | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
| L. Dykes | 56 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| J. Cooper | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 |
| T. Arconte | 75 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| M. Crocombe | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Championship table
Current standings · Championship. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | WWLDW |
| 2 |  West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | DDWWD |
| 4 |  Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | DDDLW |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 8 |  Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WLLWW |
| 9 |  Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | DWLDD |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 12 |  Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | LWWDD |
| 13 |  Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 | LWWDD |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | WLDDW |
| 15 |  Bolton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 10 | WWLLL |
| 16 |  Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | DWLLD |
| 17 |  Norwich | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 18 |  Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | LLWLW |
| 19 |  Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | DDWLL |
| 20 |  Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 21 |  Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | WLDLL |
| 22 |  Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 23 |  Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | DLLWL |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 | DLDLD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Middlesbrough | Draw | Millwall |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.75 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 4.80 | 6.55 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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