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League OneMatchweek 1THE MATCH CENTRE

Burton Albion vs Stevenage match centre

Burton Albion badgeBurton AlbionHome · 7 in league
LLDWL
Momentum↗ Rising29/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London
Stevenage badgeStevenageAway · 13 in league
DLWWW
Momentum↗ Rising73/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Armer74′
O. Sanderson90′
Pirelli Stadium · Burton upon TrentSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Burton AlbionStevenage
2Corner Kicks0
14Fouls17
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
428Total passes392
301Passes accurate278

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Burton Albion 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Stevenage 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Burton Albion

2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Burton Albion’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Stevenage

4/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Stevenage’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Burton Albion at home with Stevenage away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:54 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2026/27 · all league matches

Burton AlbionStevenage
7Matches played7
9Points earned9
2Wins2
1.7Goals scored / match1.6
1.7Goals conceded / match1.1
0Clean sheets1
1Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Burton Albion at home with Stevenage away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Burton Albion

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Gary Bowyer
  1. 34C. AddaiG
  2. 6T. SibbickD
  3. 26F. DelapD
  4. 16C. TiltD
  5. 15K. LofthouseM
  6. 12G. EvansM
  7. 41S. KruballyM
  8. 3J. ArmerM
  9. 4K. ChaukeF
  10. 8C. WebsterF
  11. 19M. DennisF
Substitutes (6)

27 · K. Dudek

20 · J. Sraha

52 · M. Henry

14 · W. Collar

28 · M. Matthews Lewis

40 · Z. Scutt

Stevenage

Confirmed formationPending
  1. 1F. MarschallG
  2. 2L. James-WildinD
  3. 15T. VancootenD
  4. 5C. PiergianniD
  5. 6L. FreestoneD
  6. 23L. ThompsonM
  7. 11J. RobertsM
  8. 8D. PhillipsM
  9. 10D. KempM
  10. 44P. PattersonM
  11. 19J. ReidF
Substitutes (7)

12 · D. Barden

4 · J. Houghton

14 · S. Earley

7 · T. Taylor

9 · J. Magennis

45 · J. Malcolm

18 · O. Sanderson

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Burton Albion

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Corey Addai906.9—0—34—
Toby Sibbick906.7—01481
Finn Delap906.3—0—522
Curtis Tilt906.9—01451
Kyran Lofthouse906.3—0127—
George Evans907.0—0—543
Sulyman Krubally897.2—1—403
Jack Armer908.3101363
Kgagelo Chauke906.3—01391
Charlie Webster726.9—0231—
Matthew Dennis906.5—0215—
Will Collar186.5—0—51
Zac Scutt1——0—2—
Kamil Dudek———————
Jason Sraha———————
Miles Henry———————
Millar Matthews-Lewis———————

Stevenage

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Filip Marschall906.5—0—51—
Luther James-Wildin906.5—01533
Terence Vancooten756.7—0—421
Carl Piergianni907.2—0—481
Lewis Freestone906.7—0—474
Louis Thompson846.7—0—371
Jordan Roberts756.3—0—14—
Daniel Phillips906.3—0—363
Daniel Kemp906.3—0—17—
Phoenix Patterson596.3—0—61
Jamie Reid846.0—01111
Josh Magennis317.3—1—3—
Terry Taylor156.7—0—111
Saxon Earley156.7—0—82
Jordan Houghton126.9—0—6—
Oliver Sanderson127.21022—
Daniel Barden———————
Jovan Malcolm———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

League One table

League centre ↗

Current standings · League One. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Bradford750274315
WWWLL
2Sheffield Wednesday7421136714
DDWWW
3Stockport County84131710713
WDLWL
4Plymouth84131411313
LWWWL
5Cambridge United83411311213
DDWDW
6Huddersfield7331116512
LDDWW
7Burton Albion83321312112
WDLDW
8AFC Wimbledon833268-212
DDWWL
9Reading7322169711
DWLWW
10Oxford United6321137611
DWWLW
11Leyton Orient7313139410
WLDWL
12Wycombe82421316-310
DWWDL
13Stevenage723211839
LWWDD
14Leicester7232911-29
DWLWD
15Blackpool7223131308
LDLLW
16Luton72231214-28
LLDWL
17Mansfield Town72231013-38
DDLLW
18Barnsley7223712-58
DLLWW
19Bromley7223818-108
WDLLL
20Notts County714279-27
LLDDW
21Doncaster713389-16
WLLDD
22Milton Keynes Dons7061810-26
DDDLD
23Peterborough8125413-95
LLDLD
24Wigan7115512-74
LDLWL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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