Leyton Orient
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Leyton Orient’s results
League OneMatchweek 46THE MATCH CENTRELeyton Orient vs Burton Albion match centre
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
W. Forrester2′
D. Ballard52′
F. Tavares34′
A. Hartridge58′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.4%Leyton Orient
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.1%Burton Albion
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Leyton Orient 3.5% · no further goal 92.3% · Burton Albion 4.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Leyton OrientBurton Albion
1.340Expected goals · API-Football2.930
4Shots on target8
12Total Shots14
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks1
10Fouls9
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
6Goalkeeper Saves2
307Total passes272
211Passes accurate167
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
League One: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lincoln | 46 | +48 | 103 | — |
| 2 |  Cardiff | 46 | +40 | 91 | — |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 46 | +13 | 77 | — |
| 4 |  Bradford | 46 | +7 | 77 | — |
| 5 |  Bolton | 46 | +18 | 75 | — |
| 6 |  Stevenage | 46 | +3 | 75 | — |
| 7 |  Luton | 46 | +12 | 74 | — |
| 8 |  Plymouth | 46 | +12 | 73 | — |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | +10 | 67 | — |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | +12 | 65 | — |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | +11 | 63 | — |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | +4 | 63 | — |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | -11 | 60 | — |
| 14 |  Doncaster | 46 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | -5 | 59 | — |
| 16 |  Wigan | 46 | -9 | 56 | — |
| 17 |  Burton Albion | 47 | -10 | 55 | — |
| 18 |  Peterborough | 46 | -4 | 53 | — |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 47 | -12 | 53 | ↑ 1 |
| 20 |  AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -21 | 53 | ↓ 1 |
| 21 |  Exeter City | 46 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 46 | -25 | 42 | — |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | -30 | 41 | — |
| 24 |  Northampton | 46 | -35 | 35 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Leyton Orient 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Burton Albion 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Burton Albion
3/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Burton Albion’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Leyton Orient
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Burton Albion
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Exeter CityHome · League One1–1PeterboroughAway · League One1–1AFC WimbledonHome · League One1–0Mansfield TownAway · League One0–0BarnsleyHome · League One1–1BlackpoolAway · League One0–1BradfordHome · League One2–1ReadingHome · League One1–2NorthamptonAway · League One2–0StevenageHome · League One0–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Leyton Orient at home with Burton Albion away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:40 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
Leyton OrientBurton Albion
45Matches played45
51Points earned53
14Wins13
1.3Goals scored / match1.1
1.6Goals conceded / match1.3
10Clean sheets12
13Failed to score16
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Leyton Orient at home with Burton Albion away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Leyton Orient
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Richie Wellens
- 12
W. DennisG - 14
M. CraigD - 6
W. ForresterD - 4
J. SimpsonD - 3
J. MorrisD - 28
S. ClareM - 22
A. AbdulaiM - 11
D. MitchellM - 25
C. WellensM - 10
A. ConnollyM - 32
D. BallardF
Substitutes (7)
33 · K. Cahill
15 · T. Bakinson
24 · D. Levitt
2 · T. James
5 · D. Happe
8 · I. El Mizouni
20 · S. Perkins
Burton Albion
Confirmed formation4-3-2-1Gary Bowyer
- 24
B. CollinsG - 2
U. Godwin-MalifeD - 18
J. MoonD - 16
A. HartridgeD - 3
J. ArmerD - 7
J. J. McKiernanM - 12
G. EvansM - 8
C. WebsterM - 15
K. LofthouseM - 11
F. TavaresM - 9
J. BeesleyF
Substitutes (6)
27 · K. Dudek
5 · T. Vancooten
6 · T. Sibbick
10 · T. Shade
26 · F. Delap
41 · S. Krubally
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Leyton Orient
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dennis | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Michael Craig | 68 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 2 |
| William Forrester | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 39 | — |
| Jack Simpson | 59 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| James Morris | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 3 |
| Sean Clare | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Azeem Abdulai | 68 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 5 |
| Demetri Mitchell | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 20 | 2 |
| Charlie Wellens | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Aaron Connolly | 78 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1 |
| Dominic Ballard | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Idris El Mizouni | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 2 |
| Daniel Happe | 31 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Tom James | 22 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Tyreeq Bakinson | 22 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Sonny Perkins | 12 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Killian Cahill | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Levitt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Burton Albion
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Collins | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Udoka Godwin-Malife | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 2 |
| Jasper Moon | 82 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 2 |
| Alex Hartridge | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 1 |
| Jack Armer | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| John Joshua Mckiernan | 82 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| George Evans | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Charlie Webster | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 14 | 1 |
| Kyran Lofthouse | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 3 |
| Fábio Tavares | 63 | 6.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | — |
| Jake Beesley | 89 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | — |
| Sulyman Krubally | 27 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Toby Sibbick | 8 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Terence Vancooten | 8 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Finn Delap | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Kamil Dudek | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyrese Shade | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Leyton Orient | Draw | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
Snapshot from 1 May 2026, 21:24 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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