Stevenage
6/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Stevenage’s results
League OneMatchweek 44THE MATCH CENTREStevenage vs Lincoln match centre
90′ · Live
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
L. Thompson3′
J. Reid27′
T. Darikwa17′
R. Street90+1′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.5%Stevenage
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.0%Lincoln
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Stevenage 3.6% · no further goal 92.3% · Lincoln 4.1%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.StevenageLincoln
0.890Expected goals · API-Football0.810
3Shots on target4
6Total Shots7
39%Ball Possession61%
2Corner Kicks7
11Fouls14
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
240Total passes387
153Passes accurate255
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
League One: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lincoln | 47 | +48 | 104 | — |
| 2 |  Cardiff | 46 | +40 | 91 | — |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 46 | +13 | 77 | — |
| 4 |  Bradford | 46 | +7 | 77 | — |
| 5 | Stevenage | 47 | +3 | 76 | ↑ 1 |
| 6 |  Bolton | 46 | +18 | 75 | ↓ 1 |
| 7 |  Luton | 46 | +12 | 74 | — |
| 8 |  Plymouth | 46 | +12 | 73 | — |
| 9 |  Huddersfield | 46 | +10 | 67 | — |
| 10 |  Mansfield Town | 46 | +12 | 65 | — |
| 11 |  Wycombe | 46 | +11 | 63 | — |
| 12 |  Reading | 46 | +4 | 63 | — |
| 13 |  Blackpool | 46 | -11 | 60 | — |
| 14 |  Doncaster | 46 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 15 |  Barnsley | 46 | -5 | 59 | — |
| 16 |  Wigan | 46 | -9 | 56 | — |
| 17 |  Burton Albion | 46 | -10 | 54 | — |
| 18 |  Peterborough | 46 | -4 | 53 | — |
| 19 |  AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -21 | 53 | — |
| 20 |  Leyton Orient | 46 | -12 | 52 | — |
| 21 |  Exeter City | 46 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 22 |  Port Vale | 46 | -25 | 42 | — |
| 23 |  Rotherham | 46 | -30 | 41 | — |
| 24 |  Northampton | 46 | -35 | 35 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Stevenage 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Lincoln 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Lincoln
9/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Lincoln’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Stevenage
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BoltonAway · League One1–5BradfordAway · League One1–0BlackpoolHome · League One1–0RotherhamAway · League One0–0ReadingHome · League One1–0PlymouthAway · League One0–1AFC WimbledonHome · League One1–0Leyton OrientHome · League One1–2Burton AlbionAway · League One1–0Stockport CountyHome · League One2–1
Lincoln
10 matchesResults9 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Leyton OrientHome · League One2–1ReadingAway · League One2–1AFC WimbledonHome · League One1–0RotherhamHome · League One3–0HuddersfieldAway · League One2–2Stockport CountyHome · League One3–1CardiffAway · League One2–0BlackpoolHome · League One4–0Mansfield TownAway · League One2–0NorthamptonHome · League One4–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Stevenage at home with Lincoln away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2025/26 · all league matches
StevenageLincoln
42Matches played42
67Points earned93
19Wins28
1.1Goals scored / match1.9
1.1Goals conceded / match0.9
17Clean sheets17
11Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Stevenage at home with Lincoln away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Stevenage
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2
- 1
Filip MarschallG - 15
Charlie GoodeD - 5
Carl PiergianniD - 14
Saxon EarleyD - 17
Jasper PattendenM - 23
Louis ThompsonM - 18
Harvey WhiteM - 11
Jordan RobertsM - 10
Daniel KempF - 25
Matt PhillipsF - 19
Jamie ReidF
Substitutes (7)
13 · Taye Ashby-Hammond
6 · Dan Sweeney
3 · Dan Butler
30 · Beryly Lubala
44 · Phoenix Patterson
4 · Jordan Houghton
20 · Chem Campbell
Lincoln
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Michael Skubala
- 1
George WickensG - 2
Tendayi DarikwaD - 22
Thomas HamerD - 15
Sonny BradleyD - 6
Ryley TowlerD - 24
Ivan VarfolomeevM - 14
Conor McGrandlesM - 7
Reeco Hackett-FairchildM - 10
Jack MoylanM - 18
Ben HouseM - 20
Ryan OneF
Substitutes (7)
13 · Zachary Jeacock
25 · Deji Elerewe
16 · Dom Jefferies
8 · Tom Bayliss
12 · Erik Ring
19 · Alfie Lloyd
17 · Robert Street
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Stevenage
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Marschall | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Jasper Pattenden | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 4 |
| Carl Piergianni | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 20 | — |
| Charlie Goode | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | — |
| Saxon Earley | 89 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 3 |
| Daniel Kemp | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 27 | — |
| Louis Thompson | 56 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 3 |
| Harvey White | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1 |
| Jordan Roberts | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 3 |
| Matt Phillips | 87 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Jamie Reid | 87 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Jordan Houghton | 34 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Dan Sweeney | 11 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Beryly Lubala | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Dan Butler | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Taye Ashby-Hammond | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Phoenix Patterson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chem Campbell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lincoln
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Wickens | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 56 | — |
| Tendayi Darikwa | 77 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 3 |
| Thomas Hamer | 90 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 51 | — |
| Sonny Bradley | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 2 |
| Ryley Towler | 78 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 3 |
| Ivan Varfolomeev | 62 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Conor McGrandles | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 1 |
| Reeco Hackett-Fairchild | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | 2 |
| Jack Moylan | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 24 | 1 |
| Ben House | 63 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Ryan One | 63 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Tom Bayliss | 28 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 7 | — |
| Alfie Lloyd | 27 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Robert Street | 27 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Deji Elerewe | 13 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Dom Jefferies | 12 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Zachary Jeacock | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Ring | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Stevenage | Draw | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
Snapshot from 17 Apr 2026, 18:26 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →