Plymouth
6/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Plymouth’s results
League OneMatchweek 8THE MATCH CENTREPlymouth vs Burton Albion match centre
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Jack Armer70′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 26 Sep 14:59 UK.
Odds updated 26 Sep 14:16 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
PlymouthBurton Albion
—Expected goals · API-Football—
3Shots on target3
12Total Shots9
57%Ball Possession43%
3Corner Kicks4
11Fouls4
3Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
450Total passes331
358Passes accurate239
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Plymouth 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Burton Albion 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 26 Sep, 14:59 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Burton Albion
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Burton Albion’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Plymouth
10 matchesResults6 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Crystal Palace U21Home · EFL Trophy5–1BlackpoolAway · League One4–2BarnsleyHome · League One3–0DoncasterAway · League One3–2LeicesterAway · League One0–2BradfordHome · League One2–0CoventryHome · League Cup2–4WycombeAway · League One1–1Stockport CountyHome · League One1–3Exeter CityHome · League Cup2–0
Burton Albion
10 matchesResults3 wins · 4 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Nottingham Forest U21Home · EFL Trophy1–1Mansfield TownHome · League One2–2Oxford UnitedAway · League One0–3Cambridge UnitedHome · League One2–2AFC WimbledonHome · League One4–1Notts CountyAway · League One1–2LeicesterAway · League One2–1StevenageHome · League One1–1BlackburnHome · League Cup1–2DerbyHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Plymouth at home with Burton Albion away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 09:17 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2026/27 · all league matches
PlymouthBurton Albion
7Matches played7
13Points earned9
4Wins2
2.0Goals scored / match1.7
1.4Goals conceded / match1.7
2Clean sheets0
1Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Plymouth at home with Burton Albion away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Plymouth
3wins5MEETINGS
Burton Albion
0winsApr 2022 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Plymouth
Confirmed formation4-4-2Tom Cleverley
- 1
M. MahoneyG - 45
W. HardingD - 15
A. MitchellD - 5
Julio PleguezueloD - 29
M. SorinolaD - 11
R. CurtisM - 19
T. BakinsonM - 7
H. WhiteM - 14
O. IrowM - 9
W. EvansF - 27
A. PeppleF
Substitutes (7)
10 · X. Amaechi
8 · J. Edwards
23 · B. Ibrahim
3 · Jack Mackenzie
2 · M. Ross
21 · James Storer
17 · C. Watts
Burton Albion
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2G. Bowyer
- 34
C. AddaiG - 12
G. EvansD - 26
F. DelapD - 16
C. TiltD - 17
R. Borges RodriguesM - 14
W. CollarM - 8
C. WebsterM - 3
J. ArmerM - 18Caylon VickersM
- 29Kain AdomF
- 4
K. ChaukeF
Substitutes (7)
24 · Harvey Araujo
19 · M. Dennis
27 · K. Dudek
41 · Sulyman Krubally
40 · Zac Scutt
20 · J. Sraha
23 · Emeka Adeile
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗League One table
Current standings · League One. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bradford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 2 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 13 | WDLWL |
| 4 | Plymouth | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 5 |  Cambridge United | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 | DDWDW |
| 6 |  Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Burton Albion | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 | WDLDW |
| 8 |  AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 12 | DDWWL |
| 9 |  Reading | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 11 | DWLWW |
| 10 |  Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 | DWWLW |
| 11 |  Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 10 | WLDWL |
| 12 |  Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 13 |  Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 9 | LWWDD |
| 14 |  Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | DWLWD |
| 15 |  Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 16 |  Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | LLDWL |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 | DDLLW |
| 18 |  Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 | DLLWW |
| 19 |  Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 20 |  Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | LLDDW |
| 21 |  Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 22 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 | DDDLD |
| 23 |  Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 24 |  Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 | LDLWL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Plymouth | Draw | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.49 | 4.33 | 5.80 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.50 | 6.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52 | 4.64 | 5.93 |
| SBO | 1.44 | 4.06 | 5.32 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
Snapshot from 26 Sep 2026, 14:16 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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