Notts County
2/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Notts County’s results
League OneMatchweek 3THE MATCH CENTRENotts County vs Burton Albion match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
L. Smyth78′
L. Smyth84′ (pen)
F. Delap22′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Notts CountyBurton Albion
2.290Expected goals · API-Football0.110
8Shots on target1
20Total Shots2
60%Ball Possession40%
7Corner Kicks1
13Fouls22
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves6
487Total passes326
389Passes accurate226
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Notts County 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Burton Albion 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Burton Albion
2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Burton Albion’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Notts County
10 matchesResults2 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LutonAway · League One2–2LeicesterHome · League One1–1BurnleyAway · League Cup1–1WalsallAway · Friendlies Clubs0–0Nottingham ForestHome · Friendlies Clubs0–2Randers FCAway · Friendlies Clubs1–3ViborgAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2Alfreton TownAway · Friendlies Clubs5–0Salford CityHome · League Two3–0ChesterfieldHome · League Two0–0
Burton Albion
10 matchesResults2 wins · 5 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
LeicesterAway · League One2–1StevenageHome · League One1–1BlackburnHome · League Cup1–2DerbyHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0Solihull MoorsAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1BirminghamHome · Friendlies Clubs0–1LeicesterHome · Friendlies Clubs0–3Alfreton TownAway · Friendlies Clubs0–0Leyton OrientAway · League One2–2Exeter CityHome · League One1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Notts County at home with Burton Albion away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 12:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
League One · 2026/27 · all league matches
Notts CountyBurton Albion
7Matches played7
7Points earned9
1Wins2
1.0Goals scored / match1.7
1.3Goals conceded / match1.7
0Clean sheets0
2Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Notts County at home with Burton Albion away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Notts County
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Martin Paterson
- 1
J. BelshawG - 2
J. GibbonsD - 12
L. NessD - 4
J. BedeauD - 25
N. TsaroullaM - 27
R. Finneran - 15
J. EvansM - 14
D. LipsiucM - 42
H. MustaphaF - 7
C. RobertsF - 8
O. CooperF
Substitutes (7)
21 · H. Griffiths
44 · M. Baker
26 · I. Samuels-Smith
17 · Q. Kouhyar
11 · C. Grant
49 · K. Muir
19 · L. Smyth
Burton Albion
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Gary Bowyer
- 34
C. AddaiG - 6
T. SibbickD - 26
F. DelapD - 16
C. TiltD - 15
K. LofthouseM - 12
G. EvansM - 41
S. KruballyM - 3
J. ArmerM - 4
K. ChaukeF - 8
C. WebsterF - 40
Z. ScuttF
Substitutes (7)
27 · K. Dudek
23 · E. Adiele
20 · J. Sraha
24 · H. Araujo
14 · W. Collar
29 · K. Adom
10 · T. Shade
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Notts County
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Belshaw | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| James Gibbons | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 63 | 2 |
| Lucas Ness | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 86 | — |
| Jacob Bedeau | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 66 | — |
| Nick Tsaroulla | 89 | 8.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 37 | 2 |
| Rory Finneran | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 42 | 3 |
| Jack Evans | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Darius Lipsiuc | 66 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| Hindolo Mustapha | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 26 | 1 |
| Callum Roberts | 66 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Oliver Cooper | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | 6 |
| Luka Smyth | 45 | 8.6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | — |
| Qamaruddin Kouhyar | 24 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Conor Grant | 24 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Ishé Samuels-Smith | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Harry Griffiths | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Baker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kameron Muir | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Burton Albion
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Addai | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 49 | — |
| Toby Sibbick | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 2 |
| Finn Delap | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 54 | 2 |
| Curtis Tilt | 83 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 35 | 1 |
| Kyran Lofthouse | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| George Evans | 87 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Sulyman Krubally | 62 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Jack Armer | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 2 |
| Kgagelo Chauke | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Charlie Webster | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Zac Scutt | 62 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Will Collar | 28 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Tyrese Shade | 28 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Kain Adom | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Kamil Dudek | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jason Sraha | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harvey Araujo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emeka Adeile | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗League One table
Current standings · League One. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bradford | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 2 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 13 | WDLWL |
| 4 |  Plymouth | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 | LWWWL |
| 5 |  Cambridge United | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 | DDWDW |
| 6 |  Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Burton Albion | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 | WDLDW |
| 8 |  AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 12 | DDWWL |
| 9 |  Reading | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 11 | DWLWW |
| 10 |  Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 | DWWLW |
| 11 |  Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 10 | WLDWL |
| 12 |  Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 13 |  Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 9 | LWWDD |
| 14 |  Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | DWLWD |
| 15 |  Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 16 |  Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 | LLDWL |
| 17 |  Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 | DDLLW |
| 18 |  Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 | DLLWW |
| 19 |  Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | LLDDW |
| 21 |  Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 22 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 | DDDLD |
| 23 |  Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 24 |  Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 | LDLWL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →