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League OneMatchweek 40THE MATCH CENTRE

Doncaster vs Lincoln match centre

Doncaster badgeDoncasterHome · 14 in league
WLLWW
Momentum↗ Rising63/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Lincoln badgeLincolnAway · 1 in league
WDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising89/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
B. House43′
B. House72′
Eco-Power Stadium · DoncasterSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate0.0%Doncaster
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate100.0%Lincoln
Another goal8.0%before full time

Next goal: Doncaster 3.0% · no further goal 92.0% · Lincoln 5.0%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
DoncasterLincoln
1Corner Kicks8
16Fouls13
3Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves0
343Total passes268
256Passes accurate176

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

League One: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Lincoln47+50106—
2Cardiff46+4091—
3Stockport County46+1377—
4Bradford46+777—
5Bolton46+1875—
6Stevenage46+375—
7Luton46+1274—
8Plymouth46+1273—
9Huddersfield46+1067—
10Mansfield Town46+1265—
11Wycombe46+1163—
12Reading46+463—
13Blackpool46-1160—
14Doncaster47-2160—
15Barnsley46-559—
16Wigan46-956—
17Burton Albion46-1054—
18Peterborough46-453—
19AFC Wimbledon46-2153—
20Leyton Orient46-1252—
21Exeter City46-949—
22Port Vale46-2542—
23Rotherham46-3041—
24Northampton46-3535—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Doncaster 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Lincoln 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Doncaster

4/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 9 available matches.

Inspect Doncaster’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Lincoln

8/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 8 available matches.

Inspect Lincoln’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Doncaster at home with Lincoln away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 05:14 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

League One · 2025/26 · all league matches

DoncasterLincoln
43Matches played43
56Points earned94
16Wins28
1.0Goals scored / match1.9
1.5Goals conceded / match0.9
11Clean sheets17
13Failed to score5

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Doncaster at home with Lincoln away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Doncaster

Confirmed formation4-3-3Grant McCann
  1. 29T. Lo-TutalaG
  2. 2J. SterryD
  3. 27S. GrehanD
  4. 5M. PearsonD
  5. 23J. SeniorD
  6. 4O. BaileyM
  7. 22R. GottsM
  8. 15H. CliftonM
  9. 9B. HanlanF
  10. 18E. LeeF
  11. 47H. AdelakunF
Substitutes (7)

1 · Z. Clark

12 · N. Byrne

11 · J. Gibson

17 · G. Middleton

8 · G. Broadbent

16 · T. Nixon

20 · D. Robinson

Lincoln

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Michael Skubala
  1. 1G. WickensG
  2. 2T. DarikwaD
  3. 22T. HamerD
  4. 15S. BradleyD
  5. 6R. TowlerD
  6. 24I. VarfolomeevM
  7. 14C. McGrandlesM
  8. 17R. StreetM
  9. 10J. MoylanM
  10. 18B. HouseM
  11. 20R. OneF
Substitutes (7)

13 · Z. Jeacock

7 · R. Hackett-Fairchild

8 · T. Bayliss

16 · D. Jefferies

12 · E. Ring

19 · A. Lloyd

25 · D. Elerewe

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Doncaster

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Thimothee Lo-Tutala987.2———37—
Jamie Sterry646.9———25—
Sean Grehan987.2———431
Matty Pearson986.2———33—
Jack Senior986.6——2373
Owen Bailey986.9———26—
Robbie Gotts456.7———102
Harry Clifton656.0———171
Brandon Hanlan986.5———18—
Elliott Lee777.0———22—
Hakeeb Adelakun776.3———221
George Broadbent536.7———24—
Tom Nixon346.2———162
Jordan Gibson336.2———14—
Glenn Middleton216.5———3—
Darren Robinson216.3———3—
Zander Clark———————
Neill Byrne———————

Lincoln

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
George Wickens987.3———35—
Tendayi Darikwa987.0———26—
Thomas Hamer787.0——120—
Sonny Bradley987.0——3221
Ryley Towler986.7———232
Ivan Varfolomeev988.2———303
Conor McGrandles987.3———352
Robert Street845.9—1415—
Jack Moylan798.2—1116—
Ben House848.52—3153
Ryan One636.2——181
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild357.0———7—
Deji Elerewe206.7———1—
Tom Bayliss196.9———7—
Dom Jefferies146.7———4—
Alfie Lloyd146.3———5—
Zachary Jeacock———————
Erik Ring———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerDoncasterDrawLincoln
Bet3653.103.252.25

Snapshot from 20 Apr 2026, 21:10 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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