Burgos
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Burgos’s results
Segunda DivisiónMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTREBurgos vs Eldense match centre
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
David Gonzalez45′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 27 Sep 17:06 UK.
Odds updated 27 Sep 13:54 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
BurgosEldense
—Expected goals · API-Football—
2Shots on target3
6Total Shots10
49%Ball Possession51%
2Corner Kicks4
14Fouls14
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
389Total passes385
300Passes accurate311
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Burgos 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Eldense 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 27 Sep, 13:43 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Eldense
2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Eldense’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Burgos
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Las PalmasAway · Segunda División2–1AD Ceuta FCHome · Segunda División3–1OviedoAway · Segunda División0–0Real Sociedad IIHome · Segunda División2–2Sporting GijonAway · Segunda División0–1CordobaHome · Segunda División3–2Cultural LeonesaHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0Athletic ClubHome · Friendlies Clubs0–3Unionistas de SalamancaAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0Athletic Club IIHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1
Eldense
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
EibarHome · Segunda División1–2Sporting GijonAway · Segunda División1–0MallorcaHome · Segunda División0–0LeganesAway · Segunda División0–1CadizHome · Segunda División2–2AlmeriaAway · Segunda División0–3AlbaceteAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1Villarreal IIHome · Friendlies Clubs1–3Real MurciaAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2Al-EttifaqHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Burgos at home with Eldense away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 05:14 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Segunda División · 2026/27 · all league matches
BurgosEldense
6Matches played6
11Points earned5
3Wins1
1.7Goals scored / match0.7
1.2Goals conceded / match1.3
1Clean sheets2
2Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Burgos at home with Eldense away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Burgos
1wins4MEETINGS
Eldense
2winsNov 2023 – Mar 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Burgos
Confirmed formation4-4-2Sergio Francisco
- 13
Ander CanteroG - 23
Alberto DadieD - 15
Oier LuengoD - 8
GregoD - 3
Ignasi VilarrasaD - 14
David GonzálezM - 20
José GrageraM - 12
Unai VencedorM - 19
Javi LlabrésM - 7
Jon KarrikaburuF - 9
Álex ForésF
Substitutes (12)
21 · Fermin Garcia
4 · P. Galdames
39 · David Hernáiz García
24 · S. Lencinas
2 · Álex
22 · Brais Martínez
36 · I. Martinez
11 · Víctor Mollejo
30 · M. Monedero
16 · Curro Sánchez
18 · Saúl del Cerro
17 · Mario Cantero
Eldense
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Javi Calleja
- 1
Ramón VilaG - 17
Jesús ClementeD - 5
Alex SerradellD - 4
F. SmandD - 3
Juan LariosD - 14
J. SmithM - 15
Carlos GuiraoM - 10
FidelM - 12
Roberto LópezM - 33
Aingeru OlabarrietaM - 7
Jorge RastrojoF
Substitutes (11)
18 · Guillermo Macho
8 · Marcos Bustillo
6 · Borja Calvo
19 · A. Ibarrondo
24 · Javi Martínez
11 · Manu Nieto
13 · Juanpa
29 · Dinis Rodrigues
2 · Iker Recio
20 · Waldo Rubio
22 · J. Yanda
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Segunda División table
Current standings · Segunda. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 19 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Eibar | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 18 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Almeria | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Burgos | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 14 | WWWDD |
| 5 |  Girona | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 6 |  Mallorca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | LWWDW |
| 7 |  Sabadell | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 12 | DWLWW |
| 8 |  Oviedo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | WLWDW |
| 9 |  Tenerife | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 | DLWDL |
| 10 |  Leganes | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 11 | LWLDW |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 | LLWDL |
| 12 |  Sporting Gijon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 10 | LWLLW |
| 13 |  Granada CF | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 | LLDLW |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | LLWDD |
| 15 |  Celta de Vigo II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 16 |  Valladolid | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 | WDLWD |
| 17 |  FC Andorra | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 6 | WLLLL |
| 18 |  Cordoba | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 | LWLLL |
| 19 | Eldense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 5 | LLWDL |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | DLLLD |
| 21 |  AD Ceuta FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | WDLLL |
| 22 |  Albacete | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 | LLDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Burgos | Draw | Eldense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.18 | 3.76 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.19 | 3.96 |
| SBO | 2.03 | 3.06 | 3.46 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.70 |
Snapshot from 27 Sep 2026, 13:54 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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