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AD Ceuta FC vs Real Sociedad II match centre

AD Ceuta FC badgeAD Ceuta FCHome · 21 in league
LLLD
Momentum↓ Low10/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Real Sociedad II badgeReal Sociedad IIAway · 14 in league
DWLL
Momentum↘ Falling29/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Carlos Hernández67′
Carlos Hernández81′
Kazunari Kita48′
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube · CeutaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Out of date · Calculated 26 Sep 11:23 UK.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win2.70Our model 21.8%Market 34.8% Draw3.30Our model 21.9%Market 28.4% Away win2.55Our model 56.2%Market 36.8% Bet365 · Updated 26 Sep 13:00 UK · Older than 24 hours Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
AD Ceuta FCReal Sociedad II
10Corner Kicks2
10Fouls21
3Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
462Total passes192
400Passes accurate130

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

AD Ceuta FC 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Real Sociedad II 0 reported

No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.

Fetched 26 Sep, 07:22 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

AD Ceuta FC

2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect AD Ceuta FC’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Real Sociedad II

2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Real Sociedad II’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AD Ceuta FC at home with Real Sociedad II away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Segunda División · 2026/27 · all league matches

AD Ceuta FCReal Sociedad II
6Matches played6
1Points earned8
0Wins2
0.5Goals scored / match1.3
2.7Goals conceded / match1.2
0Clean sheets0
3Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AD Ceuta FC at home with Real Sociedad II away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

2 recorded meetings

AD Ceuta FC

1wins
1 draw

Real Sociedad II

0wins

Dec 2025 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

AD Ceuta FC

Confirmed formation4-3-3José Juan Romero
  1. 13Guille VallejoG
  2. 2Toni AbadD
  3. 6Carlos HernándezD
  4. 4Albert CaparrósD
  5. 3José MatosD
  6. 23A. TuhamiM
  7. 15JoaquínM
  8. 32Chidiebere Gabriel OkoroM
  9. 22K. KonéF
  10. 8KukiF
  11. 7Alejandro Camacho RamírezF
Substitutes (10)

9 · Jordi Escobar

28 · Abraham Bueno Espinosa

14 · Y. Bodiger

26 · Arick Betancourt

10 · Marino Illescas

27 · U. Konare

1 · Pedro López

34 · D. Mas

20 · Álex Meléndez

17 · Mawuli Mensah

Real Sociedad II

Confirmed formation4-4-2Ion Ansotegi
  1. 1Aitor FragaG
  2. 2Jon GarroD
  3. 29Iker RoperoD
  4. 5K. KitaD
  5. 3Jon BaldaD
  6. 7Dani DíazM
  7. 14Tomás CarbonellM
  8. 6A. LebarbierM
  9. 11Alex GarciaM
  10. 18Gorka CarreraF
  11. 10Arkaitz MariezkurrenaF
Substitutes (12)

16 · Gorka Gorosabel

12 · J. Oleaga

20 · Sydney Osazuwa

22 · Rupérez

19 · Javier Soroeta

13 · T. Folgado

21 · Jon Eceizabarrena

15 · I. Calderon

24 · A. Unax

17 · Lander Astiazarán

8 · Ibai Aguirre

23 · Unax Agote

2026/27 STANDINGS

Segunda División table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Segunda. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Castellón76101421219
WWWWW
2Eibar7601156918
WWWWW
3Almeria7502114715
WWWWL
4Burgos7421117414
WWWDD
5Girona7412148613
WWLWW
6Mallorca741283513
LWWDW
7Sabadell733186212
DWLWW
8Oviedo732274311
WLWDW
9Tenerife732289-111
DLWDL
10Leganes732267-111
LWLDW
11Las Palmas73131011-110
LLWDL
12Sporting Gijon731356-110
LWLLW
13Granada CF72231011-18
LLDLW
14Real Sociedad II7223910-18
LLWDD
15Celta de Vigo II7223811-38
DLLWL
16Valladolid722369-38
WDLWD
17FC Andorra72051215-36
WLLLL
18Cordoba72051016-66
LWLLL
19Eldense712449-55
LLWDL
20Cadiz7043710-34
DLLLD
21AD Ceuta FC7115617-114
WDLLL
22Albacete7016412-81
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes
BookmakerAD Ceuta FCDrawReal Sociedad II
Marathonbet2.673.302.52
Betfair2.553.102.40
Pinnacle2.813.352.64
SBO2.643.162.41
William Hill2.623.202.45

Snapshot from 26 Sep 2026, 13:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.

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