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La LigaMatchweek 1THE MATCH CENTRE

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad match centre

Real Madrid badgeReal MadridHome · 4 in league
DWWWW
Momentum↗ Rising90/100OlderLatest
Full time
4:1
UK time · Europe/London
Real Sociedad badgeReal SociedadAway · 8 in league
WLLLL
Momentum↘ Falling14/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
K. Mbappe40′
K. Mbappe60′
Vinicius Junior68′
K. Mbappe80′
L. Sucic44′
Bernabéu · MadridSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Real MadridReal Sociedad
4Corner Kicks7
10Fouls8
3Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves7
581Total passes554
531Passes accurate501

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Real Madrid 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Real Sociedad 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Real Madrid

8/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Real Madrid’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Real Sociedad

2/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Real Sociedad’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Real Madrid at home with Real Sociedad away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:06 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

La Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

Real MadridReal Sociedad
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Real Madrid at home with Real Sociedad away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Real Madrid

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jose Mourinho
  1. 1T. CourtoisG
  2. 24D. DumfriesD
  3. 16I. KonateD
  4. 4D. HuijsenD
  5. 18A. CarrerasD
  6. 8F. ValverdeM
  7. 20B. SilvaM
  8. 15A. GulerM
  9. 5J. BellinghamM
  10. 7Vinicius JuniorM
  11. 10K. MbappeF
Substitutes (12)

13 · A. Lunin

26 · S. Mestre

22 · A. Rudiger

33 · M. Rivas

17 · M. Cucurella

12 · T. Alexander-Arnold

6 · E. Camavinga

21 · B. Diaz

29 · J. Cestero Sancho

19 · C. Espi

36 · A. Ciria

25 · Y. Diomande

Real Sociedad

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pellegrino Matarazzo
  1. 1A. RemiroG
  2. 2J. AramburuD
  3. 34L. BeitiaD
  4. 31J. MartinD
  5. 17S. GomezD
  6. 21Y. HerreraM
  7. 8B. TurrientesM
  8. 14T. KuboM
  9. 24L. SucicM
  10. 12J. OchiengM
  11. 10M. OyarzabalF
Substitutes (12)

13 · U. Marrero

5 · I. Zubeldia

16 · J. Pacheco

3 · A. Munoz

18 · C. Soler

23 · A. Zakharyan

28 · A. Lebarbier

26 · I. Aguirre

11 · G. Guedes

9 · O. Oskarsson

7 · A. Barrenetxea

29 · A. Marchal

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Real Madrid

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Thibaut Courtois906.7—0—23—
Denzel Dumfries906.2—0—441
Ibrahima Konaté907.2—0—542
Dean Huijsen907.2—02721
Álvaro Carreras456.3—0—35—
Federico Valverde907.6—11592
Bernardo Silva867.0—0—714
Arda Güler787.5—01472
Jude Bellingham789.0—2—422
Vinícius Júnior847.911331—
Kylian Mbappé9010.030739—
Marc Cucurella456.9—0—282
Eduardo Camavinga126.9—0—181
Brahim Díaz126.7—0—121
Yan Diomande106.7—0—6—
Carlos Espí86.5—0———
Sergio Mestre———————
Andriy Lunin———————
Trent Alexander-Arnold———————
Mario Rivas———————
Antonio Rüdiger———————
Alexis Ciria———————
Jorge Cestero———————

Real Sociedad

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Álex Remiro908.2—0—37—
Jon Aramburu576.2—0134—
Luken Beitia905.6—0—58—
Jon Martin906.2—0—521
Sergio Gómez906.2—02731
Yangel Herrera666.5—0—412
Beñat Turrientes907.0—01742
Takefusa Kubo746.2—0—16—
Luka Sučić907.210256—
Job Ochieng666.3—0—13—
Mikel Oyarzabal576.3—0126—
Igor Zubeldia336.0—0—213
Orri Óskarsson336.3—0—10—
Ander Barrenetxea246.7—0—9—
Carlos Soler246.9—0—243
Gonçalo Guedes166.5—0—10—
Unai Marrero———————
Aihen Muñoz———————
Jon Pacheco———————
Alex Marchal———————
Ibai Aguirre———————
Alex Lebarbier———————
Arsen Zakharyan———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

La Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · La Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Barcelona77003172421
WWWWW
2Atletico Madrid7511167916
WWWLW
3Real Betis751197216
DWWWL
4Real Madrid75021881015
LWWLW
5Sevilla7412109113
LWWDL
6Alaves7322116511
DLLWW
7Deportivo La Coruna7241108210
DLDWW
8Real Sociedad7313913-410
WLWDW
9Villarreal7223131218
WWLLL
10Athletic Club62227618
DDWWL
11Getafe722347-38
WLDDL
12Rayo Vallecano72231116-58
DWLWL
13Osasuna7223613-78
DLLLW
14Celta Vigo71428627
WDDDL
15Espanyol7214101007
LLWDL
16Racing Santander72141121-107
LLWLW
17Levante6123812-45
LLDWD
18Elche71241117-65
WLDLL
19Valencia7115413-94
LWLLL
20Malaga7034312-93
LLDDL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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