Sevilla
4/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect Sevilla’s results
La LigaMatchweek 37THE MATCH CENTRESevilla vs Real Madrid match centre
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Vinicius Junior15′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Sevilla
Draw4.6%at full time
Current result estimate95.3%Real Madrid
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Sevilla 4.8% · no further goal 91.8% · Real Madrid 3.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.SevillaReal Madrid
0.730Expected goals · API-Football1.030
5Shots on target1
12Total Shots12
41%Ball Possession59%
3Corner Kicks4
18Fouls11
3Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves5
351Total passes528
281Passes accurate463
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 39 | +43 | 89 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | — |
| 13 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 15 | Sevilla | 39 | -15 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | -34 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Sevilla 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Real Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Real Madrid
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Real Madrid’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Sevilla
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Real Madrid
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sevilla at home with Real Madrid away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
SevillaReal Madrid
35Matches played34
40Points earned77
11Wins24
1.2Goals scored / match2.1
1.6Goals conceded / match0.9
6Clean sheets12
8Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sevilla at home with Real Madrid away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Sevilla
Confirmed formation4-4-2Luis Garcia Plaza
- 1
O. VlachodimosG - 2
J. A. CarmonaD - 32
CastrinD - 4
K. SalasD - 12
G. SuazoD - 11
R. VargasM - 6
N. GudeljM - 20
D. SowM - 36
OsoM - 9
A. AdamsF - 17
N. MaupayF
Substitutes (12)
13 · O. Nyland
3 · C. Azpilicueta
10 · A. Sanchez
21 · C. Ejuke
18 · L. Agoume
5 · T. Nianzou
15 · F. Cardoso
8 · Joan Jordan
19 · B. Mendy
14 · Peque
16 · J. Sanchez
7 · I. Romero
Real Madrid
Confirmed formation4-3-3Alvaro Arbeloa
- 1
T. CourtoisG - 2
D. CarvajalD - 22
A. RudigerD - 24
D. HuijsenD - 20
F. GarciaD - 5
J. BellinghamM - 14
A. TchouameniM - 45
T. PitarchM - 21
B. DiazF - 10
K. MbappeF - 7
Vinicius JuniorF
Substitutes (11)
43 · S. Mestre
29 · J. Navarro Jimenez
4 · D. Alaba
6 · E. Camavinga
18 · A. Carreras
30 · F. Mastantuono
12 · T. Alexander-Arnold
46 · A. Leiva
17 · R. Asencio
16 · G. Garcia
47 · D. Mesonero
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Sevilla
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odysseas Vlachodimos | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| José Ángel Carmona | 70 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Andres Castrin | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 4 |
| Kike Salas | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 36 | 5 |
| Gabriel Suazo | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Ruben Vargas | 54 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 |
| Nemanja Gudelj | 54 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Djibril Sow | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 5 |
| Oso | 78 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| Akor Adams | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 15 | 1 |
| Neal Maupay | 53 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 14 | — |
| Alexis Sánchez | 37 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Lucien Agoumé | 36 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 3 |
| Chidera Ejuke | 36 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Juanlu Sánchez | 20 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Isaac Romero | 12 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Ørjan Nyland | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| César Azpilicueta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fábio Cardoso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanguy Nianzou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peque Fernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Batista Mendy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joan Jordán | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Real Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 60 | — |
| Dani Carvajal | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Antonio Rüdiger | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 2 |
| Dean Huijsen | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 73 | — |
| Fran García | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 44 | — |
| Jude Bellingham | 87 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 5 |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni | 70 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 3 |
| Thiago Pitarch | 70 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 54 | — |
| Brahim Díaz | 77 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 31 | — |
| Vinicius Júnior | 77 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | — |
| Eduardo Camavinga | 20 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Franco Mastantuono | 20 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Gonzalo García | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Alvaro Leiva | 3 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Javier Navarro Jimenez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Mestre | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Carreras | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Asencio | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Alaba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Meso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Sevilla | Draw | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
Snapshot from 17 May 2026, 08:22 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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