Real Madrid
4/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Real Madrid’s results
La LigaMatchweek 36THE MATCH CENTREReal Madrid vs Oviedo match centre
90′ · Live
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
G. Garcia44′
J. Bellingham80′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate99.9%Real Madrid
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Oviedo
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Real Madrid 4.6% · no further goal 92.0% · Oviedo 3.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Real MadridOviedo
1.460Expected goals · API-Football1.030
7Shots on target1
18Total Shots9
64%Ball Possession36%
4Corner Kicks5
6Fouls12
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves5
565Total passes313
520Passes accurate267
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 39 | +44 | 89 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | +18 | 69 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | — |
| 13 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 39 | -36 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Real Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Oviedo 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Oviedo
3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Oviedo’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Real Madrid
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
BarcelonaAway · La Liga0–2EspanyolAway · La Liga2–0Real BetisAway · La Liga1–1AlavesHome · La Liga2–1Bayern MünchenAway · UEFA Champions League3–4GironaHome · La Liga1–1Bayern MünchenHome · UEFA Champions League1–2MallorcaAway · La Liga1–2Atletico MadridHome · La Liga3–2Manchester CityAway · UEFA Champions League2–1
Oviedo
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Real Madrid at home with Oviedo away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:57 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Real MadridOviedo
34Matches played34
77Points earned28
24Wins6
2.1Goals scored / match0.8
0.9Goals conceded / match1.6
12Clean sheets9
3Failed to score17
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Real Madrid at home with Oviedo away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Real Madrid
Confirmed formation4-4-2Alvaro Arbeloa
- 1
T. CourtoisG - 12
T. Alexander-ArnoldD - 17
R. AsencioD - 4
D. AlabaD - 18
A. CarrerasD - 30
F. MastantuonoM - 6
E. CamavingaM - 14
A. TchouameniM - 21
B. DiazM - 16
G. GarciaF - 7
Vinicius JuniorF
Substitutes (11)
26 · Fran
43 · S. Mestre
2 · D. Carvajal
22 · A. Rudiger
10 · K. Mbappe
38 · C. Palacios
36 · J. Martinez
45 · T. Pitarch
20 · F. Garcia
5 · J. Bellingham
42 · D. Yanez
Oviedo
Confirmed formation4-3-3Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge
- 13
A. EscandellG - 22
N. VidalD - 2
E. BaillyD - 4
D. CostasD - 3
R. AlhassaneD - 23
N. FonsecaM - 11
S. ColombattoM - 5
A. ReinaM - 7
I. ChairaF - 9
F. VinasF - 15
T. FernandezF
Substitutes (10)
1 · H. Moldovan
8 · S. Cazorla
12 · D. Calvo
24 · L. Ahijado
21 · L. Ilic
16 · D. Carmo
10 · H. Hassan
17 · T. Borbas
19 · A. Fores
27 · P. Agudin
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Real Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thibaut Courtois | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | 64 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 37 | — |
| Raúl Asencio | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 2 |
| David Alaba | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 63 | — |
| Álvaro Carreras | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 66 | — |
| Franco Mastantuono | 77 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 44 | — |
| Eduardo Camavinga | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 76 | 3 |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni | 64 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 76 | 1 |
| Brahim Díaz | 77 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 3 | 44 | — |
| Gonzalo García | 69 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Vinicius Júnior | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | 1 |
| Dani Carvajal | 26 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 2 |
| Jude Bellingham | 26 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | 21 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 2 | 11 | — |
| Daniel Yañez | 13 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| César Palacios | 13 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Sergio Mestre | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran González | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Rüdiger | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran García | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joan Martínez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Pitarch | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Oviedo
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarón Escandell | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Nacho Vidal | 79 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 26 | — |
| Eric Bailly | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| David Costas | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Abdel Rahim | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Nicolas Fonseca | 79 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 3 |
| Santiago Colombatto | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Alberto Reina | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 1 |
| Ilyas Chaira | 55 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Federico Viñas | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 |
| Thiago Fernández | 69 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Santi Cazorla | 35 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Haissem Hassan | 21 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Lucas Ahijado | 11 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Pablo Agudín | 11 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Horațiu Moldovan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Carmo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Calvo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Ilić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Borbas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Forés | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Real Madrid | Draw | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 6.50 | 10.00 |
Snapshot from 13 May 2026, 20:07 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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