Elche
1/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Elche’s results
La LigaMatchweek 6THE MATCH CENTREElche vs Real Madrid match centre
Full time
2:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Abiel Alessio Osorio71′
Fernando Niño Rodríguez83′
Matías Dituro25′ (og)
Kylian Mbappé33′
Carlos Espí90+1′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 15 Sep 15:09 UK.
Odds updated 15 Sep 19:00 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
ElcheReal Madrid
0.780Expected goals · API-Football3.610
3Shots on target4
11Total Shots20
56%Ball Possession44%
2Corner Kicks5
19Fouls7
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
540Total passes425
491Passes accurate379
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Elche 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Real Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Real Madrid
8/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Real Madrid’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Elche
10 matchesResults1 wins · 6 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.9
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Athletic ClubAway · La Liga1–1Real SociedadHome · La Liga2–3Racing SantanderAway · La Liga2–3BarcelonaHome · La Liga0–5Deportivo La CorunaAway · La Liga1–1CordobaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2Al AinHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2Johor Darul Takzim FCHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0Kaizer ChiefsHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1GironaAway · La Liga1–1
Real Madrid
10 matchesResults8 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.4
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Rayo VallecanoHome · La Liga4–1InterHome · UEFA Champions League2–1Real BetisAway · La Liga0–1MalagaHome · La Liga4–0Real SociedadHome · La Liga4–1EspanyolAway · La Liga2–1FC Schalke 04Away · Friendlies Clubs3–0Deportivo La CorunaAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0Ferencvarosi TCAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1FiorentinaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Elche at home with Real Madrid away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:57 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches
ElcheReal Madrid
5Matches played5
2Points earned12
0Wins4
1.2Goals scored / match2.8
2.6Goals conceded / match0.8
0Clean sheets1
1Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Elche at home with Real Madrid away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Elche
0wins4MEETINGS
Real Madrid
3winsOct 2022 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Elche first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Elche
Confirmed formation4-5-1M. Anselmi
- 1
M. DituroG - 2
Buba SangaréD - 5
F. RedondoD - 23
Víctor ChustD - 3
R. RevivoD - 11
Germán ValeraM - 16
Martim NetoM - 8
Marc AguadoM - 12
Gonzalo VillarM - 20
Tete MorenteM - 24
A. OsorioF
Substitutes (12)
26 · Matia Barzic Gutiérrez
6 · Bigas
10 · F. Buonanotte
21 · L. Cepeda
19 · G. Diangana
13 · Alejandro Iturbe
17 · Josan
18 · T. Lemar
14 · Fer Niño
9 · E. Ponce
22 · Rubén Sánchez
47 · J. Morcillo
Real Madrid
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1José Mourinho
- 1
T. CourtoisG - 12
T. Alexander-ArnoldD - 16
I. KonatéD - 4
D. HuijsenD - 17
Marc CucurellaD - 8
F. ValverdeM - 14
A. TchouaméniM - 25
Y. DiomandeM - 15
A. GülerM - 7
Vinícius JúniorM - 10
Kylian MbappéF
Substitutes (12)
20 · Bernardo Silva
22 · A. Rüdiger
27 · Thiago Pitarch
13 · A. Lunin
19 · Carlos Espí
9 · Endrick
24 · D. Dumfries
21 · Brahim Díaz
18 · Álvaro Fernández
6 · E. Camavinga
2 · Raúl Asencio
5 · J. Bellingham
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Real Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bellingham | 22 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
| T. Alexander-Arnold | 87 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 1 |
| Marc Cucurella | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 2 |
| Y. Diomande | 89 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 2 |
| A. Güler | 68 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 0 |
| D. Huijsen | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 1 |
| I. Konaté | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 0 |
| Kylian Mbappé | 90 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 38 | 1 |
| A. Tchouaméni | 86 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 2 |
| F. Valverde | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 1 |
| Vinícius Júnior | 68 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 1 |
| Raúl Asencio | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Courtois | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| E. Camavinga | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Álvaro Fernández | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Brahim Díaz | 22 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| D. Dumfries | 1 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Endrick | 4 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlos Espí | 3 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| A. Lunin | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thiago Pitarch | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Rüdiger | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernardo Silva | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Elche
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matia Barzic Gutiérrez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Marc Aguado | 58 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 0 |
| Buba Sangaré | 68 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 1 |
| Víctor Chust | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99 | 3 |
| Martim Neto | 68 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 0 |
| A. Osorio | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 0 |
| F. Redondo | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 4 |
| R. Revivo | 90 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 0 |
| Tete Morente | 80 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
| Germán Valera | 58 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
| Gonzalo Villar | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 4 |
| M. Dituro | 90 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 0 |
| Bigas | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Buonanotte | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Cepeda | 32 | 6.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
| G. Diangana | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alejandro Iturbe | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josan | 10 | 5.7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| T. Lemar | 32 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 2 |
| Fer Niño | 22 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| E. Ponce | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rubén Sánchez | 22 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 |
| J. Morcillo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗La Liga table
Current standings · La Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 | LWWDL |
| 6 |  Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 | DLLWW |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 | DLDWW |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 8 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 | DDWWL |
| 11 |  Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 | WLDDL |
| 12 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 | DWLWL |
| 13 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 | DLLLW |
| 14 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WDDDL |
| 15 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | WLDLL |
| 19 |  Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 20 |  Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | LLDDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Elche | Draw | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 11.00 | 6.50 | 1.20 |
| Bet365 | 11.00 | 7.00 | 1.22 |
| Marathonbet | 13.00 | 7.40 | 1.22 |
| Betfair | 12.00 | 7.00 | 1.18 |
| BetVictor | 13.00 | 7.50 | 1.18 |
Snapshot from 15 Sep 2026, 19:00 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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