M. GomezHamstring Injury
Reported out
La LigaMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTREOsasuna vs Rayo Vallecano match centre
Full time
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Ante Budimir16′
Sergio Camello50′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 09:56 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 11:27 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
OsasunaRayo Vallecano
0.530Expected goals · API-Football1.010
3Shots on target2
9Total Shots19
36%Ball Possession64%
4Corner Kicks4
20Fouls10
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
253Total passes465
179Passes accurate390
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Osasuna 4 reported
J. HerrandoMuscle Injury
Reported out
A. OrozMuscle Injury
Reported out
V. RosierHamstring Injury
Doubtful
Rayo Vallecano 5 reported
A. BatallaBroken calfbone
Reported out
I. PalazonMuscle Injury
Reported out
Luiz FelipeHamstring Injury
Doubtful
R. NtekaMuscle Injury
Doubtful
J. VertrouwdMuscle Injury
DoubtfulFetched 18 Sep, 22:20 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Osasuna
4/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Osasuna’s resultsRayo Vallecano
3/10Wins
1.5Goals / game
2.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Rayo Vallecano’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Osasuna
10 matchesResults4 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
Rayo Vallecano
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.5
Goals conceded per game2.4
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
EspanyolHome · La Liga2–1Real MadridAway · La Liga1–4Racing SantanderHome · La Liga3–2BarcelonaAway · La Liga2–5AlavesHome · La Liga1–1SevillaAway · La Liga1–2IpswichAway · Friendlies Clubs0–3CharleroiAway · Friendlies Clubs3–2FeyenoordAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2Heart Of MidlothianAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Osasuna at home with Rayo Vallecano away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches
OsasunaRayo Vallecano
5Matches played5
7Points earned4
2Wins1
1.0Goals scored / match1.6
1.6Goals conceded / match2.8
2Clean sheets0
2Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Osasuna at home with Rayo Vallecano away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Osasuna
2wins4MEETINGS
Rayo Vallecano
1winsSep 2024 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Osasuna first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Osasuna
Confirmed formation5-4-1Luis Miguel Ramis
- 13
Aitor FernándezG - 27
Íñigo ArguibideD - 29
Asier OsambelaD - 24
CatenaD - 35
U. SantosD - 15
Diego RicoD - 14
Rubén GarcíaM - 7
MoncayolaM - 8
Iker MuñozM - 11
Kike BarjaM - 17
A. BudimirF
Substitutes (12)
30 · Asier Bonel
20 · R. Del Castillo
21 · Jonathan Dubasin
26 · Mauro Echegoyen
31 · Rafa Fernández
9 · Raúl García
1 · Sergio Herrera
18 · Raul Moro
6 · Lucas Torró
48 · R. Yeboah
22 · F. Boyomo
23 · Abel Bretones
Rayo Vallecano
Confirmed formation4-3-3Beñat San José
- 25
E. AuderoG - 2
A. RațiuD - 15
Mujaid SadickD - 24
F. LejeuneD - 17
Adrià PedrosaD - 8
Unai LópezM - 6
P. CissM - 23
Óscar ValentínM - 19
Jorge de FrutosF - 10
Sergio CamelloF - 18
Álvaro GarcíaF
Substitutes (11)
1 · Dani Cárdenas
20 · I. Balliu
37 · Rayane Belid
36 · G. Bouare
4 · Pedro Díaz
22 · Pelayo Fernández
3 · M. Kumbulla
21 · Fran Pérez
14 · G. Tsitaishvili
9 · Alemão
26 · Marco de las Sías
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Osasuna
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asier Bonel | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| F. Boyomo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aitor Fernández | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| Íñigo Arguibide | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| Catena | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 0 |
| U. Santos | 73 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| Diego Rico | 56 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| Rubén García | 69 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 |
| Moncayola | 69 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
| Iker Muñoz | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 |
| Asier Osambela | 90 | 5.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| Kike Barja | 56 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
| A. Budimir | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| R. Yeboah | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lucas Torró | 21 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
| Raul Moro | 34 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| Sergio Herrera | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Raúl García | 17 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| Rafa Fernández | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mauro Echegoyen | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonathan Dubasin | 21 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
| R. Del Castillo | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Abel Bretones | 34 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Cárdenas | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Balliu | 3 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Rayane Belid | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Bouare | 3 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Pedro Díaz | 30 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
| Pelayo Fernández | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Kumbulla | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Fran Pérez | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Tsitaishvili | 19 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Alemão | 19 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Marco de las Sías | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| E. Audero | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 0 |
| A. Rațiu | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 40 | 0 |
| Mujaid Sadick | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 0 |
| F. Lejeune | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 63 | 2 |
| Adrià Pedrosa | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 6 |
| Óscar Valentín | 60 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 1 |
| P. Ciss | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 63 | 3 |
| Unai López | 87 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 75 | 3 |
| Jorge de Frutos | 71 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 |
| Sergio Camello | 71 | 8.0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 3 |
| Álvaro García | 87 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 3 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗La Liga table
Current standings · La Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 16 | DWWWL |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 | LWWDL |
| 6 |  Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 | DLLWW |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 | DLDWW |
| 8 |  Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 | WLWDW |
| 9 |  Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 8 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 8 | DDWWL |
| 11 |  Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 | WLDDL |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 | DWLWL |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 | DLLLW |
| 14 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WDDDL |
| 15 |  Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | LLWDL |
| 16 |  Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 | LLWLW |
| 17 |  Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 18 |  Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 | WLDLL |
| 19 |  Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 20 |  Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 | LLDDL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.57 | 3.34 | 2.82 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58 | 3.35 | 2.94 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 11:27 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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