T. BuchmannKnee Injury
Reported out
BundesligaMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTREBayern München vs Union Berlin match centre
Full time
7:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Jamal Musiala18′
Harry Kane39′ (pen)
Michael Olise43′
Harry Kane54′
Ismael Saibari70′
Michael Olise73′
Michael Olise76′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 16:17 UK.
Odds updated 18 Sep 19:25 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 9 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Bayern MünchenUnion Berlin
—Expected goals · API-Football—
15Shots on target2
23Total Shots3
68%Ball Possession32%
9Corner Kicks2
11Fouls9
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves6
637Total passes289
586Passes accurate215
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bayern München 1 reported
Union Berlin 7 reported
O. BurkeAchilles Tendon Injury
Reported out
M. FriedrichInjury
Reported out
A. IlicIllness
Reported out
J. JuranovicIllness
Reported out
A. MarkgrafKnee Injury
Reported out
S. NsokiMuscle Injury
Reported out
K. ImeriThigh Injury
DoubtfulFetched 18 Sep, 17:12 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Bayern München
9/10Wins
2.9Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Bayern München’s resultsUnion Berlin
2/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
2.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Union Berlin’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bayern München
10 matchesResults9 wins · 1 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.9
Goals conceded per game0.9
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SV ElversbergAway · Bundesliga2–1Bodo/GlimtHome · UEFA Champions League5–0FC Schalke 04Away · Bundesliga0–0VfL OsnabrückAway · DFB Pokal4–1VfB StuttgartHome · Bundesliga5–1Borussia DortmundAway · Super Cup2–11. FC HeidenheimAway · Friendlies Clubs4–2RB LeipzigHome · Friendlies Clubs3–1Aston VillaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1Jeju United FCAway · Friendlies Clubs2–1
Union Berlin
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game2.5
Games with 3+ goals9 of 10
Both teams scored9 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC Schalke 04Home · Bundesliga1–3Bayer LeverkusenAway · Bundesliga0–4Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga3–3Eintracht BraunschweigAway · DFB Pokal4–2IpswichHome · Friendlies Clubs2–4ArisHome · Friendlies Clubs3–2CagliariHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2Dynamo DresdenAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2FC AarauAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2FC WinterthurAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayern München at home with Union Berlin away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 09:17 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2026/27 · all league matches
Bayern MünchenUnion Berlin
3Matches played3
7Points earned1
2Wins0
2.3Goals scored / match1.3
0.7Goals conceded / match3.3
1Clean sheets0
1Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayern München at home with Union Berlin away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Bayern München
2wins4MEETINGS
Union Berlin
0winsMar 2025 – Mar 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Bayern München first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bayern München
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1V. Kompany
- 1
M. NeuerG - 44
J. StanišićD - 2
D. UpamecanoD - 4
J. TahD - 19
A. DaviesD - 6
J. KimmichM - 45
A. PavlovićM - 17
M. OliseM - 10
J. MusialaM - 14
L. DíazM - 9
H. KaneF
Substitutes (9)
40 · J. Urbig
7 · S. Gnabry
11 · N. Brown
8 · T. Bischof
21 · H. Ito
42 · L. Karl
3 · Kim Min-Jae
39 · Bara Ndiaye
34 · I. Saibari
Union Berlin
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1M. Lustrinelli
- 1
F. RønnowG - 28
C. TrimmelD - 14
L. QuerfeldD - 2
F. UduokhaiD - 15
T. RotheD - 20
M. AebischerM - 8
R. KhediraM - 19
J. HabererM - 13
A. SchäferM - 11
Jeong Woo-YeongM - 29
E. Latte LathF
Substitutes (9)
9 · Livan Burcu
30 · K. Imeri
6 · A. Kemlein
17 · D. Köhn
27 · M. LjubiÄiÄ
31 · M. Raab
21 · T. Skarke
24 · R. Skov
4 · Z. Van Den Bosch
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Bayern München
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Urbig | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Saibari | 27 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 0 |
| Bara Ndiaye | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kim Min-Jae | 45 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 |
| L. Karl | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Ito | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Bischof | 27 | 7.5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 0 |
| N. Brown | 7 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| S. Gnabry | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| M. Neuer | 90 | 7.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 0 |
| J. Stanišić | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 52 | 0 |
| D. Upamecano | 45 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 |
| J. Tah | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 58 | 3 |
| A. Davies | 83 | 8.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 64 | 2 |
| J. Kimmich | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 1 |
| A. Pavlović | 63 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 1 |
| M. Olise | 90 | 9.6 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 60 | 3 |
| J. Musiala | 90 | 8.8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 1 |
| L. Díaz | 63 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 0 |
| H. Kane | 77 | 8.2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 1 |
Union Berlin
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Uduokhai | 90 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 3 |
| M. Aebischer | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 3 |
| J. Haberer | 60 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 |
| Jeong Woo-Yeong | 60 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 |
| R. Khedira | 90 | 5.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 |
| E. Latte Lath | 45 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| L. Querfeld | 90 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 4 |
| T. Rothe | 90 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 5 |
| A. Schäfer | 82 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 4 |
| C. Trimmel | 71 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 0 |
| F. Rønnow | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0 |
| Livan Burcu | 30 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 |
| K. Imeri | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Kemlein | 30 | 6.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
| D. Köhn | 8 | 5.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| M. LjubiÄiÄ | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Raab | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| T. Skarke | 45 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
| R. Skov | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Z. Van Den Bosch | 19 | 5.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Bundesliga table
Current standings · Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 | Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 10 | WWDW |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 7 | LDWW |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 7 | WDWL |
| 6 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 7 | WLWD |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | DLWW |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WDWL |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 6 | LWLW |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 | DWLD |
| 11 |  FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 | DWDL |
| 12 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | WLLD |
| 13 |  1. FC Köln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 | LDLW |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 | LWLL |
| 15 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 16 |  Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 | WLLL |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Bayern München | Draw | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.04 | 17.00 | 41.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.03 | 21.00 | 29.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.04 | 20.00 | 51.00 |
| Betfair | 1.04 | 18.00 | 41.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.03 | 17.00 | 31.00 |
Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 19:25 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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