Bayern München
8/10Wins
3.3Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Bayern München’s results
BundesligaMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTREBayern München vs Union Berlin match centre
90′ · Live
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Olise43′
S. Gnabry45+1′
H. Kane49′
S. Gnabry67′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Bayern München
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Union Berlin
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: Bayern München 5.0% · no further goal 92.0% · Union Berlin 3.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Bayern MünchenUnion Berlin
5.530Expected goals · API-Football0.210
9Shots on target1
30Total Shots5
75%Ball Possession25%
11Corner Kicks1
3Fouls8
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves5
657Total passes219
597Passes accurate154
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Bundesliga Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 35 | +90 | 92 | — |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | +36 | 73 | — |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | +19 | 65 | — |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | +22 | 62 | — |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | +13 | 61 | — |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | +21 | 59 | — |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | -6 | 47 | — |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | -4 | 44 | — |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | -16 | 43 | — |
| 10 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | -9 | 40 | — |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 35 | -18 | 39 | — |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | -11 | 38 | — |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | -14 | 38 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | -14 | 32 | — |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | -23 | 32 | — |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | -24 | 29 | — |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
| 18 |  FC St. Pauli | 34 | -31 | 26 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Bayern München 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Union Berlin 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Union Berlin
2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect Union Berlin’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Bayern München
10 matchesResults8 wins · 2 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game3.3
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AtalantaHome · UEFA Champions League4–1Bayer LeverkusenAway · Bundesliga1–1AtalantaAway · UEFA Champions League6–1Borussia MönchengladbachHome · Bundesliga4–1Borussia DortmundAway · Bundesliga3–2Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga3–2Werder BremenAway · Bundesliga3–0RB LeipzigHome · DFB Pokal2–01899 HoffenheimHome · Bundesliga5–1Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga2–2
Union Berlin
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SC FreiburgAway · Bundesliga1–0Werder BremenHome · Bundesliga1–4Borussia MönchengladbachAway · Bundesliga0–1Bayer LeverkusenHome · Bundesliga1–0Hamburger SVAway · Bundesliga2–3Eintracht FrankfurtHome · Bundesliga1–11899 HoffenheimAway · Bundesliga1–3Borussia DortmundHome · Bundesliga0–3VfB StuttgartAway · Bundesliga1–1FC AugsburgAway · Bundesliga1–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Bayern München at home with Union Berlin away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:22 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Bayern MünchenUnion Berlin
26Matches played26
67Points earned31
21Wins8
3.6Goals scored / match1.2
1.0Goals conceded / match1.6
9Clean sheets6
0Failed to score7
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Bayern München at home with Union Berlin away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Bayern München
3wins5MEETINGS
Union Berlin
0winsApr 2024 – Dec 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Bayern München first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Bayern München
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vincent Kompany
- 40
J. UrbigG - 44
J. StanisicD - 2
D. UpamecanoD - 3
Kim Min-JaeD - 27
K. LaimerD - 6
J. KimmichM - 8
L. GoretzkaM - 17
M. OliseM - 42
L. KarlM - 7
S. GnabryM - 9
H. KaneF
Substitutes (9)
37 · L. Prescott
22 · R. Guerreiro
20 · T. Bischof
21 · H. Ito
34 · D. Ofli
31 · G. Della Rovere
38 · E. Osmani
49 · M. Cardozo
43 · F. Pavic
Union Berlin
Confirmed formation3-5-2Steffen Baumgart
- 1
F. RonnowG - 5
D. DoekhiD - 14
L. QuerfeldD - 34
S. NsokiD - 28
C. TrimmelM - 19
J. HabererM - 6
A. KemleinM - 8
R. KhediraM - 39
D. KohnM - 21
T. SkarkeF - 9
L. BurcuF
Substitutes (9)
25 · C. Klaus
33 · A. Kral
18 · J. Juranovic
4 · D. Leite
15 · T. Rothe
10 · I. Ansah
7 · O. Burke
11 · Jeong Woo-Yeong
23 · A. Ilic
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Bayern München
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Urbig | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Josip Stanišić | 90 | 8.5 | — | 0 | — | 58 | — |
| Dayot Upamecano | 61 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 3 |
| Min-jae Kim | 71 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 57 | — |
| Konrad Laimer | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 71 | 3 |
| Joshua Kimmich | 90 | 8.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 113 | 2 |
| Leon Goretzka | 87 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 77 | — |
| Michael Olise | 90 | 8.9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 55 | 2 |
| Lennart Karl | 61 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 31 | — |
| Serge Gnabry | 87 | 10.0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 48 | — |
| Harry Kane | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 1 |
| Raphaël Guerreiro | 29 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Tom Bischof | 29 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Hiroki Itō | 19 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Erblin Osmani | 3 | — | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Maycon Cardozo | 3 | — | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Leonard Prescott | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Pavić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Deniz Ofli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guido Della Rovere | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Union Berlin
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Rønnow | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Danilho Doekhi | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Leopold Querfeld | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 5 |
| Stanley N'Soki | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Christopher Trimmel | 76 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Janik Haberer | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 2 |
| Aljoscha Kemlein | 61 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Rani Khedira | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Derrick Köhn | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 2 |
| Tim Skarke | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Livan Burcu | 61 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 2 |
| Tom Rothe | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 3 |
| Andrej Ilić | 45 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Alex Král | 29 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Woo-Yeong Jeong | 29 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 2 | 12 | — |
| Josip Juranović | 14 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Carl Klaus | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Leite | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Burke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilyas Ansah | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →