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Primeira LigaMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRE

Estrela vs Famalicao match centre

Estrela badgeEstrelaHome · 8 in league
WDDWD
Momentum→ Steady58/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London
Famalicao badgeFamalicaoAway · 13 in league
LDLLD
Momentum↓ Low14/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
L. Antonetti57′
M. Scholze69′
G. Koutsias2′
G. Koutsias80′ (pen)
Estádio José Gomes · AmadoraSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
EstrelaFamalicao
5Corner Kicks5
11Fouls9
3Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves2
300Total passes450
243Passes accurate381

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Estrela 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Famalicao 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Estrela

5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Estrela’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Famalicao

1/10Wins
0.5Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Famalicao’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Estrela at home with Famalicao away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:29 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

EstrelaFamalicao
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Estrela at home with Famalicao away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Estrela

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pepa
  1. 24Leo LinckG
  2. 21M. ScholzeD
  3. 30Luan PatrickD
  4. 5S. LekovicD
  5. 55Rafa SoaresD
  6. 39G. DoueM
  7. 71E. Pedro VangaM
  8. 99A. MarcusM
  9. 14L. ZvonarekM
  10. 10I. StoicaM
  11. 37L. AntonettiF
Substitutes (12)

22 · D. Grilo

51 · D. Pinto

79 · A. Chernev

4 · Bernardo Schappo

3 · L. Mincarelli

93 · B. Souza

78 · S. Serra

19 · Joan Jordan

8 · Robinho

17 · J. Encada

80 · Alisson Souza

72 · H. Poniewas

Famalicao

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Carlos Carvalhal
  1. 25L. CarevicG
  2. 17R. PinheiroD
  3. 3L. RealpeD
  4. 4F. van BreemenD
  5. 28Pedro BondoD
  6. 14M. De AmorimM
  7. 8M. PenaM
  8. 18R. BeneyM
  9. 19P. MoreiraM
  10. 7SorrisoM
  11. 70G. KoutsiasF
Substitutes (12)

1 · I. Zlobin

15 · V. G. Rofino

2 · Garcia

5 · L. Meyer

36 · M. Mattara

24 · M. Jangeal

21 · T. Szucs

23 · Gil Dias

11 · O. Aranda

10 · P. Santos

33 · P. Salas

9 · U. Abubakar

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Estrela

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Léo Linck907.3—0—36—
Max Scholze816.9101165
Luan Patrick907.0—0—425
Stefan Leković906.7—01502
Rafa Soares906.2—0—291
Eddy Doué906.9—0131—
Emerson Pedro Vanga326.2—0—91
Abraham Marcus906.5—0314—
Lovro Zvonarek906.7—02172
Ianis Stoica456.5—0—111
Leandro Antonetti898.2103114
Robinho576.0—0—15—
Bénito456.6—1—42
Jefferson Encada96.9—0—11—
Alisson Souza de Jesus1——0—3—
Joan Jordán1——0—11
David Grilo———————
Diogo Pinto———————
Lucas Mincarelli———————
Bernardo Schappo———————
Atanas Chernev———————
Santiago Serra———————
Henrique Poniewas———————

Famalicao

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Lazar Carević906.0—0—26—
Rodrigo Pinheiro906.9—0—552
Léo Realpe906.3—0—662
Finn van Breemen907.2—01751
Pedro Bondo746.3—0—272
Mathias De Amorim906.3—1—401
Marcos Peña686.6—01526
Romeo Beney686.3—0—191
Paulo Moreira906.7—01271
Sorriso746.9—02191
Georgios Koutsias837.920413—
Gil Dias226.2—018—
Pedro Santos226.2—0—9—
Leny Meyer166.6—0—41
Óscar Aranda166.3—016—
Umar Abubakar136.5—0—4—
Ivan Zlobin———————
Matheus Mattara———————
Victor Rofino———————
Gustavo García———————
Mathis Jangeal———————
Tamás Szűcs———————
Patricio Salas———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Primeira Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Porto77001831521
WWWWW
2Benfica75112271516
LWWWW
3Sporting CP7430178915
DDWWW
4Santa Clara7430114715
DWWDW
5Arouca7322107311
DLDWL
6SC Braga632175211
DWLWW
7Academico Viseu732299011
WWWLD
8Estrela72411414010
LDWDW
9GIL Vicente62225508
DLLDW
10Alverca7223911-28
WWLDL
11Maritimo7223812-48
DLLLD
12Moreirense7223814-68
DWLLW
13Famalicao71429727
WDDDL
14Vitória SC712458-35
DLDLW
15Nacional7115715-84
LLLLL
16Rio Ave7115515-104
LDLLW
17Casa Pia7115316-134
WLDLL
18Estoril7025310-72
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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