Nacional
2/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Nacional’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 4THE MATCH CENTRENacional vs Estrela match centre
Full time
2:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Wesley Gasolina3′
Pablo Ruan66′
I. Stoica45′ (pen)
A. Marcus62′
L. Antonetti83′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
NacionalEstrela
0.830Expected goals · API-Football2.100
5Shots on target4
10Total Shots14
51%Ball Possession49%
4Corner Kicks3
12Fouls9
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
410Total passes390
337Passes accurate319
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Nacional 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Estrela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Estrela
4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Estrela’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Nacional
10 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Vitória SCAway · Primeira Liga0–1EstorilHome · Primeira Liga2–0Santa ClaraAway · Primeira Liga2–2EstrelaAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2LeganesHome · Friendlies Clubs0–0TondelaAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1LeixoesHome · Friendlies Clubs3–3MachicoHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2GuimaraesHome · Primeira Liga2–0Santa ClaraAway · Primeira Liga0–2
Estrela
10 matchesResults4 wins · 5 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AlvercaAway · Primeira Liga2–2Sporting CPHome · Primeira Liga2–2Al-NassrHome · Friendlies Clubs4–2Lusitano Évora 1911Home · Friendlies Clubs1–0PortimonenseHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1NacionalHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0Casa PiaHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2Naval 1893Home · Friendlies Clubs2–0SC BragaAway · Primeira Liga2–2FamalicaoHome · Primeira Liga0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nacional at home with Estrela away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:23 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches
NacionalEstrela
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nacional at home with Estrela away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Nacional
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Giao Joao
- 1
R. MarinG - 34
Leo SantosD - 6
Matheus DiasD - 38
Ze VitorD - 52
Wesley GasolinaM - 28
LizieroM - 22
F. SoaresM - 21
W. KokoloM - 8
M. BaezaF - 10
Daniel JuniorF - 99
Pablo RuanF
Substitutes (12)
13 · Joao Goncalves
50 · K. V. Medeiros de Freitas
2 · D. I. de la Cruz
33 · C. Goncalves
23 · Mateus Iseppe
88 · Deivison
31 · D. Dongmo
7 · M. Jensen
9 · A. Obando
11 · S. Gavriel
20 · M. Djalo
17 · F. Nava
Estrela
Confirmed formation4-3-3Pepa
- 24
Leo LinckG - 21
M. ScholzeD - 30
Luan PatrickD - 5
S. LekovicD - 55
Rafa SoaresD - 14
L. ZvonarekM - 39
G. DoueM - 8
RobinhoM - 99
A. MarcusF - 37
L. AntonettiF - 10
I. StoicaF
Substitutes (12)
22 · D. Grilo
51 · D. Pinto
79 · A. Chernev
4 · Bernardo Schappo
3 · L. Mincarelli
93 · B. Souza
78 · S. Serra
71 · E. Pedro Vanga
19 · Joan Jordan
9 · S. van Hooijdonk
17 · J. Encada
80 · Alisson Souza
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Nacional
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renato Marin | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Léo Santos | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 3 |
| Matheus Dias | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 71 | 1 |
| Ze Vitor | 90 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 1 |
| Wesley Gasolina | 79 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2 |
| Liziero | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 56 | 2 |
| Filipe Soares | 40 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Williams Kokolo | 78 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | 13 | 2 |
| Miguel Baeza | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Daniel Júnior | 69 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 3 |
| Pablo Messias Cardozo | 69 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | — |
| Matchoi Djaló | 50 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | — |
| Stavros Gavriel | 21 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Allen Obando | 21 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Markus Jensen | 12 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Daniel De la Cruz | 11 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Kevyn | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Gonçalves | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Gonçalves | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Deivison Souza Brito | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateus Jose Iseppe | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nava | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danel Dongmo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Estrela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Linck | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Max Scholze | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 6 |
| Luan Patrick | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | 1 |
| Stefan Leković | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 63 | 1 |
| Rafa Soares | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | — |
| Lovro Zvonarek | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | 2 |
| Eddy Doué | 89 | 7.3 | — | 2 | — | 43 | 3 |
| Robinho | 67 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Abraham Marcus | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| Leandro Antonetti | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
| Ianis Stoica | 72 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 1 |
| Joan Jordán | 23 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 19 | — |
| Bénito | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Bernardo Schappo | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Diogo Pinto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Grilo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Encada | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Atanas Chernev | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Mincarelli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Serra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emerson Pedro Vanga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alisson Souza de Jesus | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sydney van Hooijdonk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 15 | DDWWW |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 | DWWDW |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 | DLDWL |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 | DWLWW |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | WWWLD |
| 8 | Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 | LDWDW |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | DLLDW |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 | DWLLW |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | WDDDL |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 | LLDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →