Alverca
5/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Alverca’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 2THE MATCH CENTREAlverca vs Estrela match centre
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Ian Luccas58′
V. Semedo62′
L. Antonetti51′
A. Marcus69′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
AlvercaEstrela
1.940Expected goals · API-Football1.360
4Shots on target7
14Total Shots10
46%Ball Possession54%
2Corner Kicks0
10Fouls12
2Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves2
330Total passes397
267Passes accurate334
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Alverca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Estrela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Estrela
4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect Estrela’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Alverca
10 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
FC PortoAway · Primeira Liga0–2Sporting CP BHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0MafraAway · Friendlies Clubs0–1EstorilHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0CF Os BelenensesHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1União de LeiriaAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0FamalicaoAway · Primeira Liga0–1EstorilHome · Primeira Liga1–1FC PortoAway · Primeira Liga0–1AroucaHome · Primeira Liga2–1
Estrela
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Sporting CPHome · Primeira Liga2–2Al-NassrHome · Friendlies Clubs4–2Lusitano Évora 1911Home · Friendlies Clubs1–0PortimonenseHome · Friendlies Clubs1–1NacionalHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0Casa PiaHome · Friendlies Clubs1–2Naval 1893Home · Friendlies Clubs2–0SC BragaAway · Primeira Liga2–2FamalicaoHome · Primeira Liga0–0MoreirenseAway · Primeira Liga2–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Alverca at home with Estrela away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:31 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches
AlvercaEstrela
0Matches played0
0Points earned0
0Wins0
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
0Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Alverca at home with Estrela away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
2 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Alverca
0wins2MEETINGS
Estrela
0winsAug 2025 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Alverca first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Alverca
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Sergio Ferreira
- 31
Matheus MendesG - 14
S. BaseyaD - 4
Y. BojangD - 33
B. MeupiyouD - 2
N. TouaiziM - 6
D. GuiM - 25
Ian LuccasM - 12
I. JamesM - 10
ChiquinhoF - 22
FigueiredoF - 9
V. SemedoF
Substitutes (12)
91 · Jhonatan Luiz
55 · Chissumba
20 · D. Spencer
15 · I. Julian
27 · T. Tamarit
18 · Z. Kassary
8 · V. Moreira
30 · A. Soumare
35 · Rayan Lucas
19 · M. Essimi
17 · S. J. Merheg
11 · C. Nuozzi
Estrela
Confirmed formation4-3-3Pepa
- 24
Leo LinckG - 17
J. EncadaD - 30
Luan PatrickD - 5
S. LekovicD - 55
Rafa SoaresD - 14
L. ZvonarekM - 39
G. DoueM - 8
RobinhoM - 99
A. MarcusF - 37
L. AntonettiF - 10
I. StoicaF
Substitutes (12)
22 · D. Grilo
51 · D. Pinto
79 · A. Chernev
4 · Bernardo Schappo
21 · M. Scholze
3 · L. Mincarelli
28 · T. Moustier
93 · B. Souza
78 · S. Serra
71 · E. Pedro Vanga
9 · S. van Hooijdonk
80 · Alisson Souza
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Alverca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Mendes | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Steven Baseya | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 48 | — |
| Yaya Bojang | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Bastien Meupiyou | 83 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Nabil Touaizi | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 20 | 2 |
| Davy Gui | 59 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | — |
| Ian Luccas | 83 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | — |
| Isaac James | 75 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 3 |
| Chiquinho | 74 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| Figueiredo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 29 | 3 |
| Vivaldo | 83 | 6.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | — |
| Rayan Lucas | 31 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | 9 | 3 |
| Francisco Chissumba | 15 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 2 |
| Vasco Moreira | 14 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Marco Essimi | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Samy Jr Merheg | 14 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Jhonatan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Spencer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ikker dos Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Kassary | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abderrahmane Soumare | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cédric Nuozzi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Tamarit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Estrela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Linck | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Jefferson Encada | 64 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Luan Patrick | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 69 | 1 |
| Stefan Leković | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 1 |
| Rafa Soares | 89 | 6.2 | — | 2 | — | 37 | 3 |
| Lovro Zvonarek | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Eddy Doué | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 49 | 1 |
| Robinho | 64 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Abraham Marcus | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 1 |
| Leandro Antonetti | 88 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| Ianis Stoica | 64 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
| Max Scholze | 26 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Bénito | 26 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Emerson Pedro Vanga | 26 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Sydney van Hooijdonk | 9 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Mincarelli | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Diogo Pinto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Grilo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Atanas Chernev | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Schappo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Moustier | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alisson Souza de Jesus | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Serra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 15 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 15 | DDWWW |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 15 | DWWDW |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 | DLDWL |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 | DWLWW |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | WWWLD |
| 8 | Estrela | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 | LDWDW |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | DLLDW |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 | DWLLW |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 | WDDDL |
| 14 |  Vitória SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 15 |  Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 | LLDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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