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Primeira LigaMatchweek 5THE MATCH CENTRE

Sporting CP vs Nacional match centre

Sporting CP badgeSporting CPHome · 3 in league
WDWWW
Momentum↗ Rising89/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Nacional badgeNacionalAway · 15 in league
LDWLL
Momentum↘ Falling26/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
L. Suarez32′ (pen)
F. Goncalves49′
Estádio José Alvalade · LisbonSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Sporting CPNacional
12Corner Kicks0
10Fouls7
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves6
660Total passes318
586Passes accurate255

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Sporting CP 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Nacional 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Sporting CP

8/10Wins
3.3Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Sporting CP’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Nacional

2/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Nacional’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sporting CP at home with Nacional away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:52 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2026/27 · all league matches

Sporting CPNacional
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sporting CP at home with Nacional away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Sporting CP

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rui Borges
  1. 1R. SilvaG
  2. 22I. FresnedaD
  3. 6Z. DebastD
  4. 25G. InacioD
  5. 20M. AraujoD
  6. 5S. AltimiraM
  7. 77I. DoumbiaM
  8. 10G. CatamoM
  9. 17R. ZalazarM
  10. 58F. GoncalvesM
  11. 97L. SuarezF
Substitutes (12)

30 · Kaique Pereira

72 · E. Quaresma

50 · R. Dias

13 · G. Vagiannidis

4 · S. Andersen

21 · Pedro Lima

73 · E. Felicissimo

9 · R. Nel

31 · Luis Guilherme

7 · F. Ioannidis

19 · N. Irankunda

28 · J. Derry

Nacional

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Giao Joao
  1. 1R. MarinG
  2. 34Leo SantosD
  3. 33C. GoncalvesD
  4. 38Ze VitorD
  5. 52Wesley GasolinaM
  6. 6Matheus DiasM
  7. 8M. BaezaM
  8. 21W. KokoloM
  9. 11S. GavrielF
  10. 7M. JensenF
  11. 99Pablo RuanF
Substitutes (9)

50 · K. V. Medeiros de Freitas

2 · D. I. de la Cruz

15 · C. Labidi

10 · Daniel Junior

88 · Deivison

31 · D. Dongmo

9 · A. Obando

20 · M. Djalo

17 · F. Nava

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Sporting CP

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rui Silva907.5—0—27—
Iván Fresneda907.2—02753
Zeno Debast908.0—0—1091
Gonçalo Inácio907.5—0—891
Maximiliano Araújo787.3—0245—
Sergi Altimira877.2—0—893
Issa Doumbia907.9—01473
Geny Catamo677.2—0238—
Rodrigo Zalazar676.5—03401
Flávio Gonçalves907.7101342
Luis Javier Suárez677.311227—
Luís Guilherme237.0—01161
Nestory Irankunda236.5—0291
Fotis Ioannidis236.5—023—
Georgios Vagiannidis126.6—0—5—
Silas Andersen3——0—7—
Kaique———————
Eduardo Quaresma———————
Rodrigo Dias———————
Pedro Lima———————
Jesse Derry———————
Eduardo Felicíssimo———————
Rafael Nel———————

Nacional

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Renato Marin907.7—0—29—
Léo Santos456.2—0—18—
Francisco Gonçalves906.7—0—354
Ze Vitor906.3—0—391
Wesley Gasolina906.2—0—281
Matheus Dias906.5—0—362
Miguel Baeza806.9—01322
Williams Kokolo906.2—0—151
Stavros Gavriel736.6—0—112
Markus Jensen626.7—0—52
Pablo Messias Cardozo626.3—0—91
Deivison Souza Brito456.6—0121—
Chiheb Labidi287.0—0—282
Allen Obando286.2—0—1—
Matchoi Djaló176.6—0—7—
Daniel Júnior106.7—0—4—
Kevyn———————
Fernando Nava———————
Danel Dongmo———————
Daniel De la Cruz———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Primeira Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Porto77001831521
WWWWW
2Benfica75112271516
LWWWW
3Sporting CP7430178915
DDWWW
4Santa Clara7430114715
DWWDW
5Arouca7322107311
DLDWL
6SC Braga632175211
DWLWW
7Academico Viseu732299011
WWWLD
8Estrela72411414010
LDWDW
9GIL Vicente62225508
DLLDW
10Alverca7223911-28
WWLDL
11Maritimo7223812-48
DLLLD
12Moreirense7223814-68
DWLLW
13Famalicao71429727
WDDDL
14Vitória SC712458-35
DLDLW
15Nacional7115715-84
LLLLL
16Rio Ave7115515-104
LDLLW
17Casa Pia7115316-134
WLDLL
18Estoril7025310-72
LLDLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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